Long Term Memory: The Foundation of AI Self-Evolution

Large language models (LLMs) like GPTs, trained on vast datasets, have demonstrated impressive capabilities in language understanding, reasoning, and planning, achieving human-level performance in various tasks. Most studies focus on enhancing these models by training on ever-larger datasets to build more powerful foundation models. While training stronger models is important, enabling models to evolve during inference is equally crucial, a process we refer to as AI self-evolution. Unlike large-scale training, self-evolution may rely on limited data or interactions. Inspired by the columnar organization of the human cerebral cortex, we hypothesize that AI models could develop cognitive abilities and build internal representations through iterative interactions with their environment. To achieve this, models need long-term memory (LTM) to store and manage processed interaction data. LTM supports self-evolution by representing diverse experiences across environments and agents. In this report, we explore AI self-evolution and its potential to enhance models during inference. We examine LTM's role in lifelong learning, allowing models to evolve based on accumulated interactions. We outline the structure of LTM and the systems needed for effective data retention and representation. We also classify approaches for building personalized models with LTM data and show how these models achieve self-evolution through interaction. Using LTM, our multi-agent framework OMNE achieved first place on the GAIA benchmark, demonstrating LTM's potential for AI self-evolution. Finally, we present a roadmap for future research, emphasizing the importance of LTM for advancing AI technology and its practical applications.

$\textit{X}^2$-DFD: A framework for e${X}$plainable and e${X}$tendable Deepfake Detection

Detecting deepfakes has become an important task. Most existing detection methods provide only real/fake predictions without offering human-comprehensible explanations. Recent studies leveraging MLLMs for deepfake detection have shown improvements in explainability. However, the performance of pre-trained MLLMs (e.g., LLaVA) remains limited due to a lack of understanding of their capabilities for this task and strategies to enhance them. In this work, we empirically assess the strengths and weaknesses of MLLMs specifically in deepfake detection via forgery features analysis. Building on these assessments, we propose a novel framework called ${X}^2$-DFD, consisting of three core modules. The first module, Model Feature Assessment (MFA), measures the detection capabilities of forgery features intrinsic to MLLMs, and gives a descending ranking of these features. The second module, Strong Feature Strengthening (SFS), enhances the detection and explanation capabilities by fine-tuning the MLLM on a dataset constructed based on the top-ranked features. The third module, Weak Feature Supplementing (WFS), improves the fine-tuned MLLM's capabilities on lower-ranked features by integrating external dedicated deepfake detectors. To verify the effectiveness of this framework, we further present a practical implementation, where an automated forgery features generation, evaluation, and ranking procedure is designed for MFA module; an automated generation procedure of the fine-tuning dataset containing real and fake images with explanations based on top-ranked features is developed for SFS model; an external conventional deepfake detector focusing on blending artifact, which corresponds to a low detection capability in the pre-trained MLLM, is integrated for WFS module. Experiments show that our approach enhances both detection and explanation performance.

C-MORL: Multi-Objective Reinforcement Learning through Efficient Discovery of Pareto Front

Multi-objective reinforcement learning (MORL) excels at handling rapidly changing preferences in tasks that involve multiple criteria, even for unseen preferences. However, previous dominating MORL methods typically generate a fixed policy set or preference-conditioned policy through multiple training iterations exclusively for sampled preference vectors, and cannot ensure the efficient discovery of the Pareto front. Furthermore, integrating preferences into the input of policy or value functions presents scalability challenges, in particular as the dimension of the state and preference space grow, which can complicate the learning process and hinder the algorithm's performance on more complex tasks. To address these issues, we propose a two-stage Pareto front discovery algorithm called Constrained MORL (C-MORL), which serves as a seamless bridge between constrained policy optimization and MORL. Concretely, a set of policies is trained in parallel in the initialization stage, with each optimized towards its individual preference over the multiple objectives. Then, to fill the remaining vacancies in the Pareto front, the constrained optimization steps are employed to maximize one objective while constraining the other objectives to exceed a predefined threshold. Empirically, compared to recent advancements in MORL methods, our algorithm achieves more consistent and superior performances in terms of hypervolume, expected utility, and sparsity on both discrete and continuous control tasks, especially with numerous objectives (up to nine objectives in our experiments).

SEAL: SEmantic-Augmented Imitation Learning via Language Model

Hierarchical Imitation Learning (HIL) is a promising approach for tackling long-horizon decision-making tasks. While it is a challenging task due to the lack of detailed supervisory labels for sub-goal learning, and reliance on hundreds to thousands of expert demonstrations. In this work, we introduce SEAL, a novel framework that leverages Large Language Models (LLMs)'s powerful semantic and world knowledge for both specifying sub-goal space and pre-labeling states to semantically meaningful sub-goal representations without prior knowledge of task hierarchies. SEAL employs a dual-encoder structure, combining supervised LLM-guided sub-goal learning with unsupervised Vector Quantization (VQ) for more robust sub-goal representations. Additionally, SEAL incorporates a transition-augmented low-level planner for improved adaptation to sub-goal transitions. Our experiments demonstrate that SEAL outperforms state-of-the-art HIL methods and LLM-based planning approaches, particularly in settings with small expert datasets and complex long-horizon tasks.

Channel-aware Contrastive Conditional Diffusion for Multivariate Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting

Forecasting faithful trajectories of multivariate time series from practical scopes is essential for reasonable decision-making. Recent methods majorly tailor generative conditional diffusion models to estimate the target temporal predictive distribution. However, it remains an obstacle to enhance the exploitation efficiency of given implicit temporal predictive information to bolster conditional diffusion learning. To this end, we propose a generic channel-aware Contrastive Conditional Diffusion model entitled CCDM to achieve desirable Multivariate probabilistic forecasting, obviating the need for curated temporal conditioning inductive biases. In detail, we first design a channel-centric conditional denoising network to manage intra-variate variations and cross-variate correlations, which can lead to scalability on diverse prediction horizons and channel numbers. Then, we devise an ad-hoc denoising-based temporal contrastive learning to explicitly amplify the predictive mutual information between past observations and future forecasts. It can coherently complement naive step-wise denoising diffusion training and improve the forecasting accuracy and generality on unknown test time series. Besides, we offer theoretic insights on the benefits of such auxiliary contrastive training refinement from both neural mutual information and temporal distribution generalization aspects. The proposed CCDM can exhibit superior forecasting capability compared to current state-of-the-art diffusion forecasters over a comprehensive benchmark, with best MSE and CRPS outcomes on $66.67\%$ and $83.33\%$ cases. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/LSY-Cython/CCDM.

Learning and Optimization for Price-based Demand Response of Electric Vehicle Charging

In the context of charging electric vehicles (EVs), the price-based demand response (PBDR) is becoming increasingly significant for charging load management. Such response usually encourages cost-sensitive customers to adjust their energy demand in response to changes in price for financial incentives. Thus, to model and optimize EV charging, it is important for charging station operator to model the PBDR patterns of EV customers by precisely predicting charging demands given price signals. Then the operator refers to these demands to optimize charging station power allocation policy. The standard pipeline involves offline fitting of a PBDR function based on historical EV charging records, followed by applying estimated EV demands in downstream charging station operation optimization. In this work, we propose a new decision-focused end-to-end framework for PBDR modeling that combines prediction errors and downstream optimization cost errors in the model learning stage. We evaluate the effectiveness of our method on a simulation of charging station operation with synthetic PBDR patterns of EV customers, and experimental results demonstrate that this framework can provide a more reliable prediction model for the ultimate optimization process, leading to more effective optimization solutions in terms of cost savings and charging station operation objectives with only a few training samples.

Can ChatGPT Detect DeepFakes? A Study of Using Multimodal Large Language Models for Media Forensics

DeepFakes, which refer to AI-generated media content, have become an increasing concern due to their use as a means for disinformation. Detecting DeepFakes is currently solved with programmed machine learning algorithms. In this work, we investigate the capabilities of multimodal large language models (LLMs) in DeepFake detection. We conducted qualitative and quantitative experiments to demonstrate multimodal LLMs and show that they can expose AI-generated images through careful experimental design and prompt engineering. This is interesting, considering that LLMs are not inherently tailored for media forensic tasks, and the process does not require programming. We discuss the limitations of multimodal LLMs for these tasks and suggest possible improvements.

DiffPLF: A Conditional Diffusion Model for Probabilistic Forecasting of EV Charging Load

Due to the vast electric vehicle (EV) penetration to distribution grid, charging load forecasting is essential to promote charging station operation and demand-side management.However, the stochastic charging behaviors and associated exogenous factors render future charging load patterns quite volatile and hard to predict. Accordingly, we devise a novel Diffusion model termed DiffPLF for Probabilistic Load Forecasting of EV charging, which can explicitly approximate the predictive load distribution conditioned on historical data and related covariates. Specifically, we leverage a denoising diffusion model, which can progressively convert the Gaussian prior to real time-series data by learning a reversal of the diffusion process. Besides, we couple such diffusion model with a cross-attention-based conditioning mechanism to execute conditional generation for possible charging demand profiles. We also propose a task-informed fine-tuning technique to better adapt DiffPLF to the probabilistic time-series forecasting task and acquire more accurate and reliable predicted intervals. Finally, we conduct multiple experiments to validate the superiority of DiffPLF to predict complex temporal patterns of erratic charging load and carry out controllable generation based on certain covariate. Results demonstrate that we can attain a notable rise of 39.58% and 49.87% on MAE and CRPS respectively compared to the conventional method.

Interpretable Short-Term Load Forecasting via Multi-Scale Temporal Decomposition

Rapid progress in machine learning and deep learning has enabled a wide range of applications in the electricity load forecasting of power systems, for instance, univariate and multivariate short-term load forecasting. Though the strong capabilities of learning the non-linearity of the load patterns and the high prediction accuracy have been achieved, the interpretability of typical deep learning models for electricity load forecasting is less studied. This paper proposes an interpretable deep learning method, which learns a linear combination of neural networks that each attends to an input time feature. We also proposed a multi-scale time series decomposition method to deal with the complex time patterns. Case studies have been carried out on the Belgium central grid load dataset and the proposed model demonstrated better accuracy compared to the frequently applied baseline model. Specifically, the proposed multi-scale temporal decomposition achieves the best MSE, MAE and RMSE of 0.52, 0.57 and 0.72 respectively. As for interpretability, on one hand, the proposed method displays generalization capability. On the other hand, it can demonstrate not only the feature but also the temporal interpretability compared to other baseline methods. Besides, the global time feature interpretabilities are also obtained. Obtaining global feature interpretabilities allows us to catch the overall patterns, trends, and cyclicality in load data while also revealing the significance of various time-related features in forming the final outputs.

Large Foundation Models for Power Systems

Foundation models, such as Large Language Models (LLMs), can respond to a wide range of format-free queries without any task-specific data collection or model training, creating various research and application opportunities for the modeling and operation of large-scale power systems. In this paper, we outline how such large foundation model such as GPT-4 are developed, and discuss how they can be leveraged in challenging power and energy system tasks. We first investigate the potential of existing foundation models by validating their performance on four representative tasks across power system domains, including the optimal power flow (OPF), electric vehicle (EV) scheduling, knowledge retrieval for power engineering technical reports, and situation awareness. Our results indicate strong capabilities of such foundation models on boosting the efficiency and reliability of power system operational pipelines. We also provide suggestions and projections on future deployment of foundation models in power system applications.