Position Paper: Rethinking Empirical Research in Machine Learning: Addressing Epistemic and Methodological Challenges of Experimentation

We warn against a common but incomplete understanding of empirical research in machine learning (ML) that leads to non-replicable results, makes findings unreliable, and threatens to undermine progress in the field. To overcome this alarming situation, we call for more awareness of the plurality of ways of gaining knowledge experimentally but also of some epistemic limitations. In particular, we argue most current empirical ML research is fashioned as confirmatory research while it should rather be considered exploratory.

Can Fairness be Automated? Guidelines and Opportunities for Fairness-aware AutoML

The field of automated machine learning (AutoML) introduces techniques that automate parts of the development of machine learning (ML) systems, accelerating the process and reducing barriers for novices. However, decisions derived from ML models can reproduce, amplify, or even introduce unfairness in our societies, causing harm to (groups of) individuals. In response, researchers have started to propose AutoML systems that jointly optimize fairness and predictive performance to mitigate fairness-related harm. However, fairness is a complex and inherently interdisciplinary subject, and solely posing it as an optimization problem can have adverse side effects. With this work, we aim to raise awareness among developers of AutoML systems about such limitations of fairness-aware AutoML, while also calling attention to the potential of AutoML as a tool for fairness research. We present a comprehensive overview of different ways in which fairness-related harm can arise and the ensuing implications for the design of fairness-aware AutoML. We conclude that while fairness cannot be automated, fairness-aware AutoML can play an important role in the toolbox of an ML practitioner. We highlight several open technical challenges for future work in this direction. Additionally, we advocate for the creation of more user-centered assistive systems designed to tackle challenges encountered in fairness work.

Mind the Gap: Measuring Generalization Performance Across Multiple Objectives

Modern machine learning models are often constructed taking into account multiple objectives, e.g., to minimize inference time while also maximizing accuracy. Multi-objective hyperparameter optimization (MHPO) algorithms return such candidate models and the approximation of the Pareto front is used to assess their performance. However, when estimating generalization performance of an approximation of a Pareto front found on a validation set by computing the performance of the individual models on the test set, models might no longer be Pareto-optimal. This makes it unclear how to measure performance. To resolve this, we provide a novel evaluation protocol that allows measuring the generalization performance of MHPO methods and to study its capabilities for comparing two optimization experiments.

Meta-Learning a Real-Time Tabular AutoML Method For Small Data

We present TabPFN, an AutoML method that is competitive with the state of the art on small tabular datasets while being over 1,000$\times$ faster. Our method is very simple: it is fully entailed in the weights of a single neural network, and a single forward pass directly yields predictions for a new dataset. Our AutoML method is meta-learned using the Transformer-based Prior-Data Fitted Network (PFN) architecture and approximates Bayesian inference with a prior that is based on assumptions of simplicity and causal structures. The prior contains a large space of structural causal models and Bayesian neural networks with a bias for small architectures and thus low complexity. Furthermore, we extend the PFN approach to differentiably calibrate the prior's hyperparameters on real data. By doing so, we separate our abstract prior assumptions from their heuristic calibration on real data. Afterwards, the calibrated hyperparameters are fixed and TabPFN can be applied to any new tabular dataset at the push of a button. Finally, on 30 datasets from the OpenML-CC18 suite we show that our method outperforms boosted trees and performs on par with complex state-of-the-art AutoML systems with predictions produced in less than a second. We provide all our code and our final trained TabPFN in the supplementary materials.

SMAC3: A Versatile Bayesian Optimization Package for Hyperparameter Optimization

Algorithm parameters, in particular hyperparameters of machine learning algorithms, can substantially impact their performance. To support users in determining well-performing hyperparameter configurations for their algorithms, datasets and applications at hand, SMAC3 offers a robust and flexible framework for Bayesian Optimization, which can improve performance within a few evaluations. It offers several facades and pre-sets for typical use cases, such as optimizing hyperparameters, solving low dimensional continuous (artificial) global optimization problems and configuring algorithms to perform well across multiple problem instances. The SMAC3 package is available under a permissive BSD-license at https://github.com/automl/SMAC3.

HPOBench: A Collection of Reproducible Multi-Fidelity Benchmark Problems for HPO

To achieve peak predictive performance, hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is a crucial component of machine learning and its applications. Over the last years,the number of efficient algorithms and tools for HPO grew substantially. At the same time, the community is still lacking realistic, diverse, computationally cheap,and standardized benchmarks. This is especially the case for multi-fidelity HPO methods. To close this gap, we propose HPOBench, which includes 7 existing and 5 new benchmark families, with in total more than 100 multi-fidelity benchmark problems. HPOBench allows to run this extendable set of multi-fidelity HPO benchmarks in a reproducible way by isolating and packaging the individual benchmarks in containers. It also provides surrogate and tabular benchmarks for computationally affordable yet statistically sound evaluations. To demonstrate the broad compatibility of HPOBench and its usefulness, we conduct an exemplary large-scale study evaluating 6 well known multi-fidelity HPO tools.

Squirrel: A Switching Hyperparameter Optimizer

In this short note, we describe our submission to the NeurIPS 2020 BBO challenge. Motivated by the fact that different optimizers work well on different problems, our approach switches between different optimizers. Since the team names on the competition's leaderboard were randomly generated "alliteration nicknames", consisting of an adjective and an animal with the same initial letter, we called our approach the Switching Squirrel, or here, short, Squirrel.

Neural Model-based Optimization with Right-Censored Observations

In many fields of study, we only observe lower bounds on the true response value of some experiments. When fitting a regression model to predict the distribution of the outcomes, we cannot simply drop these right-censored observations, but need to properly model them. In this work, we focus on the concept of censored data in the light of model-based optimization where prematurely terminating evaluations (and thus generating right-censored data) is a key factor for efficiency, e.g., when searching for an algorithm configuration that minimizes runtime of the algorithm at hand. Neural networks (NNs) have been demonstrated to work well at the core of model-based optimization procedures and here we extend them to handle these censored observations. We propose (i)~a loss function based on the Tobit model to incorporate censored samples into training and (ii) use an ensemble of networks to model the posterior distribution. To nevertheless be efficient in terms of optimization-overhead, we propose to use Thompson sampling s.t. we only need to train a single NN in each iteration. Our experiments show that our trained regression models achieve a better predictive quality than several baselines and that our approach achieves new state-of-the-art performance for model-based optimization on two optimization problems: minimizing the solution time of a SAT solver and the time-to-accuracy of neural networks.

Auto-Sklearn 2.0: The Next Generation

Automated Machine Learning, which supports practitioners and researchers with the tedious task of manually designing machine learning pipelines, has recently achieved substantial success. In this paper we introduce new Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) techniques motivated by our winning submission to the second ChaLearn AutoML challenge, PoSH Auto-sklearn. For this, we extend Auto-sklearn with a new, simpler meta-learning technique, improve its way of handling iterative algorithms and enhance it with a successful bandit strategy for budget allocation. Furthermore, we go one step further and study the design space of AutoML itself and propose a solution towards truly hand-free AutoML. Together, these changes give rise to the next generation of our AutoML system, Auto-sklearn (2.0). We verify the improvement by these additions in a large experimental study on 39 AutoML benchmark datasets and conclude the paper by comparing to Auto-sklearn (1.0), reducing the regret by up to a factor of five.

Towards Assessing the Impact of Bayesian Optimization's Own Hyperparameters

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a common approach for hyperparameter optimization (HPO) in automated machine learning. Although it is well-accepted that HPO is crucial to obtain well-performing machine learning models, tuning BO's own hyperparameters is often neglected. In this paper, we empirically study the impact of optimizing BO's own hyperparameters and the transferability of the found settings using a wide range of benchmarks, including artificial functions, HPO and HPO combined with neural architecture search. In particular, we show (i) that tuning can improve the any-time performance of different BO approaches, that optimized BO settings also perform well (ii) on similar problems and (iii) partially even on problems from other problem families, and (iv) which BO hyperparameters are most important.