Predictive Inference With Fast Feature Conformal Prediction

Conformal prediction is widely adopted in uncertainty quantification, due to its post-hoc, distribution-free, and model-agnostic properties. In the realm of modern deep learning, researchers have proposed Feature Conformal Prediction (FCP), which deploys conformal prediction in a feature space, yielding reduced band lengths. However, the practical utility of FCP is limited due to the time-consuming non-linear operations required to transform confidence bands from feature space to output space. In this paper, we introduce Fast Feature Conformal Prediction (FFCP), which features a novel non-conformity score and is convenient for practical applications. FFCP serves as a fast version of FCP, in that it equivalently employs a Taylor expansion to approximate the aforementioned non-linear operations in FCP. Empirical validations showcase that FFCP performs comparably with FCP (both outperforming the vanilla version) while achieving a significant reduction in computational time by approximately 50x. The code is available at https://github.com/ElvisWang1111/FastFeatureCP

Data Scaling Laws in Imitation Learning for Robotic Manipulation

Data scaling has revolutionized fields like natural language processing and computer vision, providing models with remarkable generalization capabilities. In this paper, we investigate whether similar data scaling laws exist in robotics, particularly in robotic manipulation, and whether appropriate data scaling can yield single-task robot policies that can be deployed zero-shot for any object within the same category in any environment. To this end, we conduct a comprehensive empirical study on data scaling in imitation learning. By collecting data across numerous environments and objects, we study how a policy's generalization performance changes with the number of training environments, objects, and demonstrations. Throughout our research, we collect over 40,000 demonstrations and execute more than 15,000 real-world robot rollouts under a rigorous evaluation protocol. Our findings reveal several intriguing results: the generalization performance of the policy follows a roughly power-law relationship with the number of environments and objects. The diversity of environments and objects is far more important than the absolute number of demonstrations; once the number of demonstrations per environment or object reaches a certain threshold, additional demonstrations have minimal effect. Based on these insights, we propose an efficient data collection strategy. With four data collectors working for one afternoon, we collect sufficient data to enable the policies for two tasks to achieve approximately 90% success rates in novel environments with unseen objects.

Can Transformers Capture Spatial Relations between Objects?

Spatial relationships between objects represent key scene information for humans to understand and interact with the world. To study the capability of current computer vision systems to recognize physically grounded spatial relations, we start by proposing precise relation definitions that permit consistently annotating a benchmark dataset. Despite the apparent simplicity of this task relative to others in the recognition literature, we observe that existing approaches perform poorly on this benchmark. We propose new approaches exploiting the long-range attention capabilities of transformers for this task, and evaluating key design principles. We identify a simple "RelatiViT" architecture and demonstrate that it outperforms all current approaches. To our knowledge, this is the first method to convincingly outperform naive baselines on spatial relation prediction in in-the-wild settings. The code and datasets are available in \url{https://sites.google.com/view/spatial-relation}.

General Flow as Foundation Affordance for Scalable Robot Learning

We address the challenge of acquiring real-world manipulation skills with a scalable framework.Inspired by the success of large-scale auto-regressive prediction in Large Language Models (LLMs), we hold the belief that identifying an appropriate prediction target capable of leveraging large-scale datasets is crucial for achieving efficient and universal learning. Therefore, we propose to utilize flow, which represents the future trajectories of 3D points on objects of interest, as an ideal prediction target in robot learning. To exploit scalable data resources, we turn our attention to cross-embodiment datasets. We develop, for the first time, a language-conditioned prediction model directly from large-scale RGBD human video datasets. Our predicted flow offers actionable geometric and physics guidance, thus facilitating stable zero-shot skill transfer in real-world scenarios.We deploy our method with a policy based on closed-loop flow prediction. Remarkably, without any additional training, our method achieves an impressive 81% success rate in human-to-robot skill transfer, covering 18 tasks in 6 scenes. Our framework features the following benefits: (1) scalability: leveraging cross-embodiment data resources; (2) universality: multiple object categories, including rigid, articulated, and soft bodies; (3) stable skill transfer: providing actionable guidance with a small inference domain-gap. These lead to a new pathway towards scalable general robot learning. Data, code, and model weights will be made publicly available.

Any-point Trajectory Modeling for Policy Learning

Learning from demonstration is a powerful method for teaching robots new skills, and more demonstration data often improves policy learning. However, the high cost of collecting demonstration data is a significant bottleneck. Videos, as a rich data source, contain knowledge of behaviors, physics, and semantics, but extracting control-specific information from them is challenging due to the lack of action labels. In this work, we introduce a novel framework, Any-point Trajectory Modeling (ATM), that utilizes video demonstrations by pre-training a trajectory model to predict future trajectories of arbitrary points within a video frame. Once trained, these trajectories provide detailed control guidance, enabling the learning of robust visuomotor policies with minimal action-labeled data. Our method's effectiveness is demonstrated across 130 simulation tasks, focusing on language-conditioned manipulation tasks. Visualizations and code are available at: \url{https://xingyu-lin.github.io/atm}.

Imitation Learning from Observation with Automatic Discount Scheduling

Humans often acquire new skills through observation and imitation. For robotic agents, learning from the plethora of unlabeled video demonstration data available on the Internet necessitates imitating the expert without access to its action, presenting a challenge known as Imitation Learning from Observations (ILfO). A common approach to tackle ILfO problems is to convert them into inverse reinforcement learning problems, utilizing a proxy reward computed from the agent's and the expert's observations. Nonetheless, we identify that tasks characterized by a progress dependency property pose significant challenges for such approaches; in these tasks, the agent needs to initially learn the expert's preceding behaviors before mastering the subsequent ones. Our investigation reveals that the main cause is that the reward signals assigned to later steps hinder the learning of initial behaviors. To address this challenge, we present a novel ILfO framework that enables the agent to master earlier behaviors before advancing to later ones. We introduce an Automatic Discount Scheduling (ADS) mechanism that adaptively alters the discount factor in reinforcement learning during the training phase, prioritizing earlier rewards initially and gradually engaging later rewards only when the earlier behaviors have been mastered. Our experiments, conducted on nine Meta-World tasks, demonstrate that our method significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods across all tasks, including those that are unsolvable by them.

Seer: Language Instructed Video Prediction with Latent Diffusion Models

Imagining the future trajectory is the key for robots to make sound planning and successfully reach their goals. Therefore, text-conditioned video prediction (TVP) is an essential task to facilitate general robot policy learning, i.e., predicting future video frames with a given language instruction and reference frames. It is a highly challenging task to ground task-level goals specified by instructions and high-fidelity frames together, requiring large-scale data and computation. To tackle this task and empower robots with the ability to foresee the future, we propose a sample and computation-efficient model, named \textbf{Seer}, by inflating the pretrained text-to-image (T2I) stable diffusion models along the temporal axis. We inflate the denoising U-Net and language conditioning model with two novel techniques, Autoregressive Spatial-Temporal Attention and Frame Sequential Text Decomposer, to propagate the rich prior knowledge in the pretrained T2I models across the frames. With the well-designed architecture, Seer makes it possible to generate high-fidelity, coherent, and instruction-aligned video frames by fine-tuning a few layers on a small amount of data. The experimental results on Something Something V2 (SSv2) and Bridgedata datasets demonstrate our superior video prediction performance with around 210-hour training on 4 RTX 3090 GPUs: decreasing the FVD of the current SOTA model from 290 to 200 on SSv2 and achieving at least 70\% preference in the human evaluation.

Delving into Transformer for Incremental Semantic Segmentation

Incremental semantic segmentation(ISS) is an emerging task where old model is updated by incrementally adding new classes. At present, methods based on convolutional neural networks are dominant in ISS. However, studies have shown that such methods have difficulty in learning new tasks while maintaining good performance on old ones (catastrophic forgetting). In contrast, a Transformer based method has a natural advantage in curbing catastrophic forgetting due to its ability to model both long-term and short-term tasks. In this work, we explore the reasons why Transformer based architecture are more suitable for ISS, and accordingly propose propose TISS, a Transformer based method for Incremental Semantic Segmentation. In addition, to better alleviate catastrophic forgetting while preserving transferability on ISS, we introduce two patch-wise contrastive losses to imitate similar features and enhance feature diversity respectively, which can further improve the performance of TISS. Under extensive experimental settings with Pascal-VOC 2012 and ADE20K datasets, our method significantly outperforms state-of-the-art incremental semantic segmentation methods.

Predictive Inference with Feature Conformal Prediction

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free technique for establishing valid prediction intervals. Although conventionally people conduct conformal prediction in the output space, this is not the only possibility. In this paper, we propose feature conformal prediction, which extends the scope of conformal prediction to semantic feature spaces by leveraging the inductive bias of deep representation learning. From a theoretical perspective, we demonstrate that feature conformal prediction provably outperforms regular conformal prediction under mild assumptions. Our approach could be combined with not only vanilla conformal prediction, but also other adaptive conformal prediction methods. Experiments on various predictive inference tasks corroborate the efficacy of our method.

Resolving Copycat Problems in Visual Imitation Learning via Residual Action Prediction

Imitation learning is a widely used policy learning method that enables intelligent agents to acquire complex skills from expert demonstrations. The input to the imitation learning algorithm is usually composed of both the current observation and historical observations since the most recent observation might not contain enough information. This is especially the case with image observations, where a single image only includes one view of the scene, and it suffers from a lack of motion information and object occlusions. In theory, providing multiple observations to the imitation learning agent will lead to better performance. However, surprisingly people find that sometimes imitation from observation histories performs worse than imitation from the most recent observation. In this paper, we explain this phenomenon from the information flow within the neural network perspective. We also propose a novel imitation learning neural network architecture that does not suffer from this issue by design. Furthermore, our method scales to high-dimensional image observations. Finally, we benchmark our approach on two widely used simulators, CARLA and MuJoCo, and it successfully alleviates the copycat problem and surpasses the existing solutions.