Predictive Control and Regret Analysis of Non-Stationary MDP with Look-ahead Information

Policy design in non-stationary Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) is inherently challenging due to the complexities introduced by time-varying system transition and reward, which make it difficult for learners to determine the optimal actions for maximizing cumulative future rewards. Fortunately, in many practical applications, such as energy systems, look-ahead predictions are available, including forecasts for renewable energy generation and demand. In this paper, we leverage these look-ahead predictions and propose an algorithm designed to achieve low regret in non-stationary MDPs by incorporating such predictions. Our theoretical analysis demonstrates that, under certain assumptions, the regret decreases exponentially as the look-ahead window expands. When the system prediction is subject to error, the regret does not explode even if the prediction error grows sub-exponentially as a function of the prediction horizon. We validate our approach through simulations, confirming the efficacy of our algorithm in non-stationary environments.

Locally Interdependent Multi-Agent MDP: Theoretical Framework for Decentralized Agents with Dynamic Dependencies

Many multi-agent systems in practice are decentralized and have dynamically varying dependencies. There has been a lack of attempts in the literature to analyze these systems theoretically. In this paper, we propose and theoretically analyze a decentralized model with dynamically varying dependencies called the Locally Interdependent Multi-Agent MDP. This model can represent problems in many disparate domains such as cooperative navigation, obstacle avoidance, and formation control. Despite the intractability that general partially observable multi-agent systems suffer from, we propose three closed-form policies that are theoretically near-optimal in this setting and can be scalable to compute and store. Consequentially, we reveal a fundamental property of Locally Interdependent Multi-Agent MDP's that the partially observable decentralized solution is exponentially close to the fully observable solution with respect to the visibility radius. We then discuss extensions of our closed-form policies to further improve tractability. We conclude by providing simulations to investigate some long horizon behaviors of our closed-form policies.

Learning to Stabilize Unknown LTI Systems on a Single Trajectory under Stochastic Noise

We study the problem of learning to stabilize unknown noisy Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) systems on a single trajectory. It is well known in the literature that the learn-to-stabilize problem suffers from exponential blow-up in which the state norm blows up in the order of $\Theta(2^n)$ where $n$ is the state space dimension. This blow-up is due to the open-loop instability when exploring the $n$-dimensional state space. To address this issue, we develop a novel algorithm that decouples the unstable subspace of the LTI system from the stable subspace, based on which the algorithm only explores and stabilizes the unstable subspace, the dimension of which can be much smaller than $n$. With a new singular-value-decomposition(SVD)-based analytical framework, we prove that the system is stabilized before the state norm reaches $2^{O(k \log n)}$, where $k$ is the dimension of the unstable subspace. Critically, this bound avoids exponential blow-up in state dimension in the order of $\Theta(2^n)$ as in the previous works, and to the best of our knowledge, this is the first paper to avoid exponential blow-up in dimension for stabilizing LTI systems with noise.

Efficient Reinforcement Learning for Global Decision Making in the Presence of Local Agents at Scale

We study reinforcement learning for global decision-making in the presence of many local agents, where the global decision-maker makes decisions affecting all local agents, and the objective is to learn a policy that maximizes the rewards of both the global and the local agents. Such problems find many applications, e.g. demand response, EV charging, queueing, etc. In this setting, scalability has been a long-standing challenge due to the size of the state/action space which can be exponential in the number of agents. This work proposes the SUB-SAMPLE-Q algorithm where the global agent subsamples $k\leq n$ local agents to compute an optimal policy in time that is only exponential in $k$, providing an exponential speedup from standard methods that are exponential in $n$. We show that the learned policy converges to the optimal policy in the order of $\tilde{O}(1/\sqrt{k}+\epsilon_{k,m})$ as the number of sub-sampled agents $k$ increases, where $\epsilon_{k,m}$ is the Bellman noise. We also conduct numerical simulations in a demand-response setting and a queueing setting.

Efficient Reinforcement Learning for Routing Jobs in Heterogeneous Queueing Systems

We consider the problem of efficiently routing jobs that arrive into a central queue to a system of heterogeneous servers. Unlike homogeneous systems, a threshold policy, that routes jobs to the slow server(s) when the queue length exceeds a certain threshold, is known to be optimal for the one-fast-one-slow two-server system. But an optimal policy for the multi-server system is unknown and non-trivial to find. While Reinforcement Learning (RL) has been recognized to have great potential for learning policies in such cases, our problem has an exponentially large state space size, rendering standard RL inefficient. In this work, we propose ACHQ, an efficient policy gradient based algorithm with a low dimensional soft threshold policy parameterization that leverages the underlying queueing structure. We provide stationary-point convergence guarantees for the general case and despite the low-dimensional parameterization prove that ACHQ converges to an approximate global optimum for the special case of two servers. Simulations demonstrate an improvement in expected response time of up to ~30% over the greedy policy that routes to the fastest available server.

CoVO-MPC: Theoretical Analysis of Sampling-based MPC and Optimal Covariance Design

Sampling-based Model Predictive Control (MPC) has been a practical and effective approach in many domains, notably model-based reinforcement learning, thanks to its flexibility and parallelizability. Despite its appealing empirical performance, the theoretical understanding, particularly in terms of convergence analysis and hyperparameter tuning, remains absent. In this paper, we characterize the convergence property of a widely used sampling-based MPC method, Model Predictive Path Integral Control (MPPI). We show that MPPI enjoys at least linear convergence rates when the optimization is quadratic, which covers time-varying LQR systems. We then extend to more general nonlinear systems. Our theoretical analysis directly leads to a novel sampling-based MPC algorithm, CoVariance-Optimal MPC (CoVo-MPC) that optimally schedules the sampling covariance to optimize the convergence rate. Empirically, CoVo-MPC significantly outperforms standard MPPI by 43-54% in both simulations and real-world quadrotor agile control tasks. Videos and Appendices are available at \url{https://lecar-lab.github.io/CoVO-MPC/}.

A Scalable Network-Aware Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Framework for Decentralized Inverter-based Voltage Control

This paper addresses the challenges associated with decentralized voltage control in power grids due to an increase in distributed generations (DGs). Traditional model-based voltage control methods struggle with the rapid energy fluctuations and uncertainties of these DGs. While multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) has shown potential for decentralized secondary control, scalability issues arise when dealing with a large number of DGs. This problem lies in the dominant centralized training and decentralized execution (CTDE) framework, where the critics take global observations and actions. To overcome these challenges, we propose a scalable network-aware (SNA) framework that leverages network structure to truncate the input to the critic's Q-function, thereby improving scalability and reducing communication costs during training. Further, the SNA framework is theoretically grounded with provable approximation guarantee, and it can seamlessly integrate with multiple multi-agent actor-critic algorithms. The proposed SNA framework is successfully demonstrated in a system with 114 DGs, providing a promising solution for decentralized voltage control in increasingly complex power grid systems.

Global Convergence of Localized Policy Iteration in Networked Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

We study a multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) problem where the agents interact over a given network. The goal of the agents is to cooperatively maximize the average of their entropy-regularized long-term rewards. To overcome the curse of dimensionality and to reduce communication, we propose a Localized Policy Iteration (LPI) algorithm that provably learns a near-globally-optimal policy using only local information. In particular, we show that, despite restricting each agent's attention to only its $\kappa$-hop neighborhood, the agents are able to learn a policy with an optimality gap that decays polynomially in $\kappa$. In addition, we show the finite-sample convergence of LPI to the global optimal policy, which explicitly captures the trade-off between optimality and computational complexity in choosing $\kappa$. Numerical simulations demonstrate the effectiveness of LPI.

KCRL: Krasovskii-Constrained Reinforcement Learning with Guaranteed Stability in Nonlinear Dynamical Systems

Learning a dynamical system requires stabilizing the unknown dynamics to avoid state blow-ups. However, current reinforcement learning (RL) methods lack stabilization guarantees, which limits their applicability for the control of safety-critical systems. We propose a model-based RL framework with formal stability guarantees, Krasovskii Constrained RL (KCRL), that adopts Krasovskii's family of Lyapunov functions as a stability constraint. The proposed method learns the system dynamics up to a confidence interval using feature representation, e.g. Random Fourier Features. It then solves a constrained policy optimization problem with a stability constraint based on Krasovskii's method using a primal-dual approach to recover a stabilizing policy. We show that KCRL is guaranteed to learn a stabilizing policy in a finite number of interactions with the underlying unknown system. We also derive the sample complexity upper bound for stabilization of unknown nonlinear dynamical systems via the KCRL framework.

Equipping Black-Box Policies with Model-Based Advice for Stable Nonlinear Control

Machine-learned black-box policies are ubiquitous for nonlinear control problems. Meanwhile, crude model information is often available for these problems from, e.g., linear approximations of nonlinear dynamics. We study the problem of equipping a black-box control policy with model-based advice for nonlinear control on a single trajectory. We first show a general negative result that a naive convex combination of a black-box policy and a linear model-based policy can lead to instability, even if the two policies are both stabilizing. We then propose an adaptive $\lambda$-confident policy, with a coefficient $\lambda$ indicating the confidence in a black-box policy, and prove its stability. With bounded nonlinearity, in addition, we show that the adaptive $\lambda$-confident policy achieves a bounded competitive ratio when a black-box policy is near-optimal. Finally, we propose an online learning approach to implement the adaptive $\lambda$-confident policy and verify its efficacy in case studies about the CartPole problem and a real-world electric vehicle (EV) charging problem with data bias due to COVID-19.