Uncertainty Quantification for Flow-Based Vision-Language-Action Models

Vision-language-action models (VLAs) combine vision-language backbones with expressive generative action heads trained via flow matching on large-scale robotic datasets. Despite their strong empirical performance in robotic manipulation, VLAs lack mechanisms to quantify confidence in their predictions and to detect when their actions may be unreliable. This presents a critical limitation for real-world deployment in non-stationary environments, where models inevitably encounter scenarios outside their pretraining distribution and may fail without warning. To address this, we derive an efficient method for quantifying epistemic uncertainty in flow-matching models by leveraging velocity-field disagreement (VFD) across a small ensemble. We successfully use this uncertainty estimate for failure detection during deployment and active fine-tuning of flow-based VLAs. To this end, we propose SAVE, a framework for uncertainty-guided active multitask fine-tuning that reduces the number of costly expert demonstrations required to adapt VLAs to new tasks. Through extensive experiments on the LIBERO benchmark, we demonstrate that VFD yields better-calibrated uncertainty estimates predictive of downstream performance, that VFD achieves strong performance in detecting failures, and that uncertainty-guided data acquisition with SAVE requires at least 22% fewer samples than baselines. In summary, our work shows that quantifying epistemic uncertainty in flow-based VLAs improves both failure awareness and adaptation. Project website: tum-lsy.github.io/uq_vla/.

Active Flow Expansion for Out-of-Distribution Discovery: from Theory to Molecules

Standard flow and diffusion pre-training matches the distribution of available data (e.g., molecules), which often covers only a small fraction of the valid design space. In generative discovery, however, one aims to sample valid new-to-nature designs, assigned negligible probability under, and thus inaccessible to, standard models fitted to the observed data. To overcome this limitation, we depart from data distribution matching and view a generative model through its generable set: the region it covers with non-negligible probability. This allows to introduce a new learning principle for out-of-distribution flow modeling: enlarging a model's generable set to increase coverage of the valid design space. We propose Active Flow Expansion (ActFlow), a continued pre-training method that employs verifier feedback to expand a pre-trained model over new valid regions by iteratively adapting to synthetic data generated through active exploration in the learned flow representation. Theoretically, we establish to our knowledge first-of-their-kind statistical learning guarantees for out-of-distribution flow modeling, analyzing generable set expansion as a local-to-global reachability process over a learned representation. Empirically, we assess ActFlow with suitable out-of-distribution generative modeling metrics across small organic molecules, mid-sized drug-like molecules, therapeutic peptides, and protein sequence design tasks. Results show that ActFlow expands valid coverage far beyond the region modeled by the initial pre-trained model, significantly outperforming widely adopted synthetic flow pre-training methods.

Generative Molecular Morphing for Flexible-Size Design via Unbalanced Optimal Transport

The success of generative molecular design hinges on a model's steerability toward high-reward samples. Because many molecular properties are intrinsically linked to molecular size, accurately capturing the joint distribution of properties and the number of atoms is essential. However, current diffusion and flow-based models fix the number of atoms, which ultimately limits their ability to navigate this complex relationship. To address this, we introduce Morph, a flexible-size generative model for conditional and unconditional 3D molecular design based on geometric graphs. By dynamically adapting size, Morph can seamlessly integrate existing structural priors, like scaffolds, and significantly enhances property steering. We show that Morph matches current fixed-size state-of-the-art models while offering the benefit of unparalleled sampling flexibility. We demonstrate out-of-distribution generation in regimes where previous models fail, paving the way for enhanced generative modeling for molecular design.

Constrained Flow Optimization via Sequential Fine Tuning for Molecular Design

Adapting generative foundation models, in particular diffusion and flow models, to optimize given reward functions (e.g., binding affinity) while satisfying constraints (e.g., molecular synthesizability) is fundamental for their adoption in real-world scientific discovery applications such as molecular design or protein engineering. While recent works have introduced scalable methods for reward-guided fine-tuning of such models via reinforcement learning and control schemes, it remains an open problem how to algorithmically trade-off reward maximization and constraint satisfaction in a reliable and predictable manner. Motivated by this challenge, we first present a rigorous framework for Constrained Generative Optimization, which brings an optimization viewpoint to the introduced adaptation problem and retrieves the relevant task of constrained generation as a sub-case. Then, we introduce Constrained Flow Optimization (CFO), an algorithm that automatically and provably balances reward maximization and constraint satisfaction by reducing the original problem to sequential fine-tuning via established, scalable methods. We provide convergence guarantees for constrained generative optimization and constrained generation via CFO. Ultimately, we present an experimental evaluation of CFO on both synthetic, yet illustrative, settings, and a molecular design task. Across these evaluations, CFO achieves consistent increases in reward while ensuring high constraint satisfaction, showcasing its practical utility for constrained generative optimization.

Bounded Ratio Reinforcement Learning

Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) has become the predominant algorithm for on-policy reinforcement learning due to its scalability and empirical robustness across domains. However, there is a significant disconnect between the underlying foundations of trust region methods and the heuristic clipped objective used in PPO. In this paper, we bridge this gap by introducing the Bounded Ratio Reinforcement Learning (BRRL) framework. We formulate a novel regularized and constrained policy optimization problem and derive its analytical optimal solution. We prove that this solution ensures monotonic performance improvement. To handle parameterized policy classes, we develop a policy optimization algorithm called Bounded Policy Optimization (BPO) that minimizes an advantage-weighted divergence between the policy and the analytic optimal solution from BRRL. We further establish a lower bound on the expected performance of the resulting policy in terms of the BPO loss function. Notably, our framework also provides a new theoretical lens to interpret the success of the PPO loss, and connects trust region policy optimization and the Cross-Entropy Method (CEM). We additionally extend BPO to Group-relative BPO (GBPO) for LLM fine-tuning. Empirical evaluations of BPO across MuJoCo, Atari, and complex IsaacLab environments (e.g., Humanoid locomotion), and of GBPO for LLM fine-tuning tasks, demonstrate that BPO and GBPO generally match or outperform PPO and GRPO in stability and final performance.

Optimistic Online LQR via Intrinsic Rewards

Optimism in the face of uncertainty is a popular approach to balance exploration and exploitation in reinforcement learning. Here, we consider the online linear quadratic regulator (LQR) problem, i.e., to learn the LQR corresponding to an unknown linear dynamical system by adapting the control policy online based on closed-loop data collected during operation. In this work, we propose Intrinsic Rewards LQR (IR-LQR), an optimistic online LQR algorithm that applies the idea of intrinsic rewards originating from reinforcement learning and the concept of variance regularization to promote uncertainty-driven exploration. IR-LQR retains the structure of a standard LQR synthesis problem by only modifying the cost function, resulting in an intuitively pleasing, simple, computationally cheap, and efficient algorithm. This is in contrast to existing optimistic online LQR formulations that rely on more complicated iterative search algorithms or solve computationally demanding optimization problems. We show that IR-LQR achieves the optimal worst-case regret rate of $\sqrt{T}$, and compare it to various state-of-the-art online LQR algorithms via numerical experiments carried out on an aircraft pitch angle control and an unmanned aerial vehicle example.

ActiveUltraFeedback: Efficient Preference Data Generation using Active Learning

Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) has become the standard for aligning Large Language Models (LLMs), yet its efficacy is bottlenecked by the high cost of acquiring preference data, especially in low-resource and expert domains. To address this, we introduce ACTIVEULTRAFEEDBACK, a modular active learning pipeline that leverages uncertainty estimates to dynamically identify the most informative responses for annotation. Our pipeline facilitates the systematic evaluation of standard response selection methods alongside DOUBLE REVERSE THOMPSON SAMPLING (DRTS) and DELTAUCB, two novel methods prioritizing response pairs with large predicted quality gaps, leveraging recent results showing that such pairs provide good signals for fine-tuning. Our experiments demonstrate that ACTIVEULTRAFEEDBACK yields high-quality datasets that lead to significant improvements in downstream performance, notably achieving comparable or superior results with as little as one-sixth of the annotated data relative to static baselines. Our pipeline is available at https://github.com/lasgroup/ActiveUltraFeedback and our preference datasets at https://huggingface.co/ActiveUltraFeedback.

RewardUQ: A Unified Framework for Uncertainty-Aware Reward Models

Reward models are central to aligning large language models (LLMs) with human preferences. Yet most approaches rely on pointwise reward estimates that overlook the epistemic uncertainty in reward models arising from limited human feedback. Recent work suggests that quantifying this uncertainty can reduce the costs of human annotation via uncertainty-guided active learning and mitigate reward overoptimization in LLM post-training. However, uncertainty-aware reward models have so far been adopted without thorough comparison, leaving them poorly understood. This work introduces a unified framework, RewardUQ, to systematically evaluate uncertainty quantification for reward models. We compare common methods along standard metrics measuring accuracy and calibration, and we propose a new ranking strategy incorporating both dimensions for a simplified comparison. Our experimental results suggest that model size and initialization have the most meaningful impact on performance, and most prior work could have benefited from alternative design choices. To foster the development and evaluation of new methods and aid the deployment in downstream applications, we release our open-source framework as a Python package. Our code is available at https://github.com/lasgroup/rewarduq.

What Matters for Simulation to Online Reinforcement Learning on Real Robots

We investigate what specific design choices enable successful online reinforcement learning (RL) on physical robots. Across 100 real-world training runs on three distinct robotic platforms, we systematically ablate algorithmic, systems, and experimental decisions that are typically left implicit in prior work. We find that some widely used defaults can be harmful, while a set of robust, readily adopted design choices within standard RL practice yield stable learning across tasks and hardware. These results provide the first large-sample empirical study of such design choices, enabling practitioners to deploy online RL with lower engineering effort.

Efficient Tail-Aware Generative Optimization via Flow Model Fine-Tuning

Fine-tuning pre-trained diffusion and flow models to optimize downstream utilities is central to real-world deployment. Existing entropy-regularized methods primarily maximize expected reward, providing no mechanism to shape tail behavior. However, tail control is often essential: the lower tail determines reliability by limiting low-reward failures, while the upper tail enables discovery by prioritizing rare, high-reward outcomes. In this work, we present Tail-aware Flow Fine-Tuning (TFFT), a principled and efficient distributional fine-tuning algorithm based on the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). We address two distinct tail-shaping goals: right-CVaR for seeking novel samples in the high-reward tail and left-CVaR for controlling worst-case samples in the low-reward tail. Unlike prior approaches that rely on non-linear optimization, we leverage the variational dual formulation of CVaR to decompose it into a decoupled two-stage procedure: a lightweight one-dimensional threshold optimization step, and a single entropy-regularized fine-tuning process via a specific pseudo-reward. This decomposition achieves CVaR fine-tuning efficiently with computational cost comparable to standard expected fine-tuning methods. We demonstrate the effectiveness of TFFT across illustrative experiments, high-dimensional text-to-image generation, and molecular design.