An Event-centric Framework for Predicting Crime Hotspots with Flexible Time Intervals

Predicting crime hotspots in a city is a complex and critical task with significant societal implications. Numerous spatiotemporal correlations and irregularities pose substantial challenges to this endeavor. Existing methods commonly employ fixed-time granularities and sequence prediction models. However, determining appropriate time granularities is difficult, leading to inaccurate predictions for specific time windows. For example, users might ask: What are the crime hotspots during 12:00-20:00? To address this issue, we introduce FlexiCrime, a novel event-centric framework for predicting crime hotspots with flexible time intervals. FlexiCrime incorporates a continuous-time attention network to capture correlations between crime events, which learns crime context features, representing general crime patterns across time points and locations. Furthermore, we introduce a type-aware spatiotemporal point process that learns crime-evolving features, measuring the risk of specific crime types at a given time and location by considering the frequency of past crime events. The crime context and evolving features together allow us to predict whether an urban area is a crime hotspot given a future time interval. To evaluate FlexiCrime's effectiveness, we conducted experiments using real-world datasets from two cities, covering twelve crime types. The results show that our model outperforms baseline techniques in predicting crime hotspots over flexible time intervals.

Urban Region Pre-training and Prompting: A Graph-based Approach

Urban region representation is crucial for various urban downstream tasks. However, despite the proliferation of methods and their success, acquiring general urban region knowledge and adapting to different tasks remains challenging. Previous work often neglects the spatial structures and functional layouts between entities, limiting their ability to capture transferable knowledge across regions. Further, these methods struggle to adapt effectively to specific downstream tasks, as they do not adequately address the unique features and relationships required for different downstream tasks. In this paper, we propose a $\textbf{G}$raph-based $\textbf{U}$rban $\textbf{R}$egion $\textbf{P}$re-training and $\textbf{P}$rompting framework ($\textbf{GURPP}$) for region representation learning. Specifically, we first construct an urban region graph that integrates detailed spatial entity data for more effective urban region representation. Then, we develop a subgraph-centric urban region pre-training model to capture the heterogeneous and transferable patterns of interactions among entities. To further enhance the adaptability of these embeddings to different tasks, we design two graph-based prompting methods to incorporate explicit/hidden task knowledge. Extensive experiments on various urban region prediction tasks and different cities demonstrate the superior performance of our GURPP framework. The implementation is available at this repository: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/GURPP.

Real-Time Network-Level Traffic Signal Control: An Explicit Multiagent Coordination Method

Efficient traffic signal control (TSC) has been one of the most useful ways for reducing urban road congestion. Key to the challenge of TSC includes 1) the essential of real-time signal decision, 2) the complexity in traffic dynamics, and 3) the network-level coordination. Recent efforts that applied reinforcement learning (RL) methods can query policies by mapping the traffic state to the signal decision in real-time, however, is inadequate for unexpected traffic flows. By observing real traffic information, online planning methods can compute the signal decisions in a responsive manner. We propose an explicit multiagent coordination (EMC)-based online planning methods that can satisfy adaptive, real-time and network-level TSC. By multiagent, we model each intersection as an autonomous agent, and the coordination efficiency is modeled by a cost (i.e., congestion index) function between neighbor intersections. By network-level coordination, each agent exchanges messages with respect to cost function with its neighbors in a fully decentralized manner. By real-time, the message passing procedure can interrupt at any time when the real time limit is reached and agents select the optimal signal decisions according to the current message. Moreover, we prove our EMC method can guarantee network stability by borrowing ideas from transportation domain. Finally, we test our EMC method in both synthetic and real road network datasets. Experimental results are encouraging: compared to RL and conventional transportation baselines, our EMC method performs reasonably well in terms of adapting to real-time traffic dynamics, minimizing vehicle travel time and scalability to city-scale road networks.

Label Information Enhanced Fraud Detection against Low Homophily in Graphs

Node classification is a substantial problem in graph-based fraud detection. Many existing works adopt Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to enhance fraud detectors. While promising, currently most GNN-based fraud detectors fail to generalize to the low homophily setting. Besides, label utilization has been proved to be significant factor for node classification problem. But we find they are less effective in fraud detection tasks due to the low homophily in graphs. In this work, we propose GAGA, a novel Group AGgregation enhanced TrAnsformer, to tackle the above challenges. Specifically, the group aggregation provides a portable method to cope with the low homophily issue. Such an aggregation explicitly integrates the label information to generate distinguishable neighborhood information. Along with group aggregation, an attempt towards end-to-end trainable group encoding is proposed which augments the original feature space with the class labels. Meanwhile, we devise two additional learnable encodings to recognize the structural and relational context. Then, we combine the group aggregation and the learnable encodings into a Transformer encoder to capture the semantic information. Experimental results clearly show that GAGA outperforms other competitive graph-based fraud detectors by up to 24.39% on two trending public datasets and a real-world industrial dataset from Anonymous. Even more, the group aggregation is demonstrated to outperform other label utilization methods (e.g., C&S, BoT/UniMP) in the low homophily setting.