Forecasting Disease Progression with Parallel Hyperplanes in Longitudinal Retinal OCT

Predicting future disease progression risk from medical images is challenging due to patient heterogeneity, and subtle or unknown imaging biomarkers. Moreover, deep learning (DL) methods for survival analysis are susceptible to image domain shifts across scanners. We tackle these issues in the task of predicting late dry Age-related Macular Degeneration (dAMD) onset from retinal OCT scans. We propose a novel DL method for survival prediction to jointly predict from the current scan a risk score, inversely related to time-to-conversion, and the probability of conversion within a time interval $t$. It uses a family of parallel hyperplanes generated by parameterizing the bias term as a function of $t$. In addition, we develop unsupervised losses based on intra-subject image pairs to ensure that risk scores increase over time and that future conversion predictions are consistent with AMD stage prediction using actual scans of future visits. Such losses enable data-efficient fine-tuning of the trained model on new unlabeled datasets acquired with a different scanner. Extensive evaluation on two large datasets acquired with different scanners resulted in a mean AUROCs of 0.82 for Dataset-1 and 0.83 for Dataset-2, across prediction intervals of 6,12 and 24 months.

Specialist vision-language models for clinical ophthalmology

Clinicians spend a significant amount of time reviewing medical images and transcribing their findings regarding patient diagnosis, referral and treatment in text form. Vision-language models (VLMs), which automatically interpret images and summarize their findings as text, have enormous potential to alleviate clinical workloads and increase patient access to high-quality medical care. While foundational models have stirred considerable interest in the medical community, it is unclear whether their general capabilities translate to real-world clinical utility. In this work, we show that foundation VLMs markedly underperform compared to practicing ophthalmologists on specialist tasks crucial to the care of patients with age-related macular degeneration (AMD). To address this, we initially identified the essential capabilities required for image-based clinical decision-making, and then developed a curriculum to selectively train VLMs in these skills. The resulting model, RetinaVLM, can be instructed to write reports that significantly outperform those written by leading foundation medical VLMs in disease staging (F1 score of 0.63 vs. 0.11) and patient referral (0.67 vs. 0.39), and approaches the diagnostic performance of junior ophthalmologists (who achieve 0.77 and 0.78 on the respective tasks). Furthermore, in a reader study involving two senior ophthalmologists with up to 32 years of experience, RetinaVLM's reports were found to be similarly correct (78.6% vs. 82.1%) and complete (both 78.6%) as reports written by junior ophthalmologists with up to 10 years of experience. These results demonstrate that our curriculum-based approach provides a blueprint for specializing generalist foundation medical VLMs to handle real-world clinical tasks.

Time-Equivariant Contrastive Learning for Degenerative Disease Progression in Retinal OCT

Contrastive pretraining provides robust representations by ensuring their invariance to different image transformations while simultaneously preventing representational collapse. Equivariant contrastive learning, on the other hand, provides representations sensitive to specific image transformations while remaining invariant to others. By introducing equivariance to time-induced transformations, such as disease-related anatomical changes in longitudinal imaging, the model can effectively capture such changes in the representation space. In this work, we pro-pose a Time-equivariant Contrastive Learning (TC) method. First, an encoder embeds two unlabeled scans from different time points of the same patient into the representation space. Next, a temporal equivariance module is trained to predict the representation of a later visit based on the representation from one of the previous visits and the corresponding time interval with a novel regularization loss term while preserving the invariance property to irrelevant image transformations. On a large longitudinal dataset, our model clearly outperforms existing equivariant contrastive methods in predicting progression from intermediate age-related macular degeneration (AMD) to advanced wet-AMD within a specified time-window.

Spatiotemporal Representation Learning for Short and Long Medical Image Time Series

Analyzing temporal developments is crucial for the accurate prognosis of many medical conditions. Temporal changes that occur over short time scales are key to assessing the health of physiological functions, such as the cardiac cycle. Moreover, tracking longer term developments that occur over months or years in evolving processes, such as age-related macular degeneration (AMD), is essential for accurate prognosis. Despite the importance of both short and long term analysis to clinical decision making, they remain understudied in medical deep learning. State of the art methods for spatiotemporal representation learning, developed for short natural videos, prioritize the detection of temporal constants rather than temporal developments. Moreover, they do not account for varying time intervals between acquisitions, which are essential for contextualizing observed changes. To address these issues, we propose two approaches. First, we combine clip-level contrastive learning with a novel temporal embedding to adapt to irregular time series. Second, we propose masking and predicting latent frame representations of the temporal sequence. Our two approaches outperform all prior methods on temporally-dependent tasks including cardiac output estimation and three prognostic AMD tasks. Overall, this enables the automated analysis of temporal patterns which are typically overlooked in applications of deep learning to medicine.

Deep Multimodal Fusion of Data with Heterogeneous Dimensionality via Projective Networks

The use of multimodal imaging has led to significant improvements in the diagnosis and treatment of many diseases. Similar to clinical practice, some works have demonstrated the benefits of multimodal fusion for automatic segmentation and classification using deep learning-based methods. However, current segmentation methods are limited to fusion of modalities with the same dimensionality (e.g., 3D+3D, 2D+2D), which is not always possible, and the fusion strategies implemented by classification methods are incompatible with localization tasks. In this work, we propose a novel deep learning-based framework for the fusion of multimodal data with heterogeneous dimensionality (e.g., 3D+2D) that is compatible with localization tasks. The proposed framework extracts the features of the different modalities and projects them into the common feature subspace. The projected features are then fused and further processed to obtain the final prediction. The framework was validated on the following tasks: segmentation of geographic atrophy (GA), a late-stage manifestation of age-related macular degeneration, and segmentation of retinal blood vessels (RBV) in multimodal retinal imaging. Our results show that the proposed method outperforms the state-of-the-art monomodal methods on GA and RBV segmentation by up to 3.10% and 4.64% Dice, respectively.

3DTINC: Time-Equivariant Non-Contrastive Learning for Predicting Disease Progression from Longitudinal OCTs

Self-supervised learning (SSL) has emerged as a powerful technique for improving the efficiency and effectiveness of deep learning models. Contrastive methods are a prominent family of SSL that extract similar representations of two augmented views of an image while pushing away others in the representation space as negatives. However, the state-of-the-art contrastive methods require large batch sizes and augmentations designed for natural images that are impractical for 3D medical images. To address these limitations, we propose a new longitudinal SSL method, 3DTINC, based on non-contrastive learning. It is designed to learn perturbation-invariant features for 3D optical coherence tomography (OCT) volumes, using augmentations specifically designed for OCT. We introduce a new non-contrastive similarity loss term that learns temporal information implicitly from intra-patient scans acquired at different times. Our experiments show that this temporal information is crucial for predicting progression of retinal diseases, such as age-related macular degeneration (AMD). After pretraining with 3DTINC, we evaluated the learned representations and the prognostic models on two large-scale longitudinal datasets of retinal OCTs where we predict the conversion to wet-AMD within a six months interval. Our results demonstrate that each component of our contributions is crucial for learning meaningful representations useful in predicting disease progression from longitudinal volumetric scans.

Pretrained Deep 2.5D Models for Efficient Predictive Modeling from Retinal OCT

In the field of medical imaging, 3D deep learning models play a crucial role in building powerful predictive models of disease progression. However, the size of these models presents significant challenges, both in terms of computational resources and data requirements. Moreover, achieving high-quality pretraining of 3D models proves to be even more challenging. To address these issues, hybrid 2.5D approaches provide an effective solution for utilizing 3D volumetric data efficiently using 2D models. Combining 2D and 3D techniques offers a promising avenue for optimizing performance while minimizing memory requirements. In this paper, we explore 2.5D architectures based on a combination of convolutional neural networks (CNNs), long short-term memory (LSTM), and Transformers. In addition, leveraging the benefits of recent non-contrastive pretraining approaches in 2D, we enhanced the performance and data efficiency of 2.5D techniques even further. We demonstrate the effectiveness of architectures and associated pretraining on a task of predicting progression to wet age-related macular degeneration (AMD) within a six-month period on two large longitudinal OCT datasets.

Transformer-based end-to-end classification of variable-length volumetric data

The automatic classification of 3D medical data is memory-intensive. Also, variations in the number of slices between samples is common. Na\"ive solutions such as subsampling can solve these problems, but at the cost of potentially eliminating relevant diagnosis information. Transformers have shown promising performance for sequential data analysis. However, their application for long sequences is data, computationally, and memory demanding. In this paper, we propose an end-to-end Transformer-based framework that allows to classify volumetric data of variable length in an efficient fashion. Particularly, by randomizing the input volume-wise resolution(#slices) during training, we enhance the capacity of the learnable positional embedding assigned to each volume slice. Consequently, the accumulated positional information in each positional embedding can be generalized to the neighbouring slices, even for high-resolution volumes at the test time. By doing so, the model will be more robust to variable volume length and amenable to different computational budgets. We evaluated the proposed approach in retinal OCT volume classification and achieved 21.96% average improvement in balanced accuracy on a 9-class diagnostic task, compared to state-of-the-art video transformers. Our findings show that varying the volume-wise resolution of the input during training results in more informative volume representation as compared to training with fixed number of slices per volume.

Self-supervised learning via inter-modal reconstruction and feature projection networks for label-efficient 3D-to-2D segmentation

Deep learning has become a valuable tool for the automation of certain medical image segmentation tasks, significantly relieving the workload of medical specialists. Some of these tasks require segmentation to be performed on a subset of the input dimensions, the most common case being 3D-to-2D. However, the performance of existing methods is strongly conditioned by the amount of labeled data available, as there is currently no data efficient method, e.g. transfer learning, that has been validated on these tasks. In this work, we propose a novel convolutional neural network (CNN) and self-supervised learning (SSL) method for label-efficient 3D-to-2D segmentation. The CNN is composed of a 3D encoder and a 2D decoder connected by novel 3D-to-2D blocks. The SSL method consists of reconstructing image pairs of modalities with different dimensionality. The approach has been validated in two tasks with clinical relevance: the en-face segmentation of geographic atrophy and reticular pseudodrusen in optical coherence tomography. Results on different datasets demonstrate that the proposed CNN significantly improves the state of the art in scenarios with limited labeled data by up to 8% in Dice score. Moreover, the proposed SSL method allows further improvement of this performance by up to 23%, and we show that the SSL is beneficial regardless of the network architecture.

Morph-SSL: Self-Supervision with Longitudinal Morphing to Predict AMD Progression from OCT

The lack of reliable biomarkers makes predicting the conversion from intermediate to neovascular age-related macular degeneration (iAMD, nAMD) a challenging task. We develop a Deep Learning (DL) model to predict the future risk of conversion of an eye from iAMD to nAMD from its current OCT scan. Although eye clinics generate vast amounts of longitudinal OCT scans to monitor AMD progression, only a small subset can be manually labeled for supervised DL. To address this issue, we propose Morph-SSL, a novel Self-supervised Learning (SSL) method for longitudinal data. It uses pairs of unlabelled OCT scans from different visits and involves morphing the scan from the previous visit to the next. The Decoder predicts the transformation for morphing and ensures a smooth feature manifold that can generate intermediate scans between visits through linear interpolation. Next, the Morph-SSL trained features are input to a Classifier which is trained in a supervised manner to model the cumulative probability distribution of the time to conversion with a sigmoidal function. Morph-SSL was trained on unlabelled scans of 399 eyes (3570 visits). The Classifier was evaluated with a five-fold cross-validation on 2418 scans from 343 eyes with clinical labels of the conversion date. The Morph-SSL features achieved an AUC of 0.766 in predicting the conversion to nAMD within the next 6 months, outperforming the same network when trained end-to-end from scratch or pre-trained with popular SSL methods. Automated prediction of the future risk of nAMD onset can enable timely treatment and individualized AMD management.