ADAGE: A generic two-layer framework for adaptive agent based modelling

Agent-based models (ABMs) are valuable for modelling complex, potentially out-of-equilibria scenarios. However, ABMs have long suffered from the Lucas critique, stating that agent behaviour should adapt to environmental changes. Furthermore, the environment itself often adapts to these behavioural changes, creating a complex bi-level adaptation problem. Recent progress integrating multi-agent reinforcement learning into ABMs introduces adaptive agent behaviour, beginning to address the first part of this critique, however, the approaches are still relatively ad hoc, lacking a general formulation, and furthermore, do not tackle the second aspect of simultaneously adapting environmental level characteristics in addition to the agent behaviours. In this work, we develop a generic two-layer framework for ADaptive AGEnt based modelling (ADAGE) for addressing these problems. This framework formalises the bi-level problem as a Stackelberg game with conditional behavioural policies, providing a consolidated framework for adaptive agent-based modelling based on solving a coupled set of non-linear equations. We demonstrate how this generic approach encapsulates several common (previously viewed as distinct) ABM tasks, such as policy design, calibration, scenario generation, and robust behavioural learning under one unified framework. We provide example simulations on multiple complex economic and financial environments, showing the strength of the novel framework under these canonical settings, addressing long-standing critiques of traditional ABMs.

Regularized Proportional Fairness Mechanism for Resource Allocation Without Money

Mechanism design in resource allocation studies dividing limited resources among self-interested agents whose satisfaction with the allocation depends on privately held utilities. We consider the problem in a payment-free setting, with the aim of maximizing social welfare while enforcing incentive compatibility (IC), i.e., agents cannot inflate allocations by misreporting their utilities. The well-known proportional fairness (PF) mechanism achieves the maximum possible social welfare but incurs an undesirably high exploitability (the maximum unilateral inflation in utility from misreport and a measure of deviation from IC). In fact, it is known that no mechanism can achieve the maximum social welfare and exact incentive compatibility (IC) simultaneously without the use of monetary incentives (Cole et al., 2013). Motivated by this fact, we propose learning an approximate mechanism that desirably trades off the competing objectives. Our main contribution is to design an innovative neural network architecture tailored to the resource allocation problem, which we name Regularized Proportional Fairness Network (RPF-Net). RPF-Net regularizes the output of the PF mechanism by a learned function approximator of the most exploitable allocation, with the aim of reducing the incentive for any agent to misreport. We derive generalization bounds that guarantee the mechanism performance when trained under finite and out-of-distribution samples and experimentally demonstrate the merits of the proposed mechanism compared to the state-of-the-art.

Approximate Equivariance in Reinforcement Learning

Equivariant neural networks have shown great success in reinforcement learning, improving sample efficiency and generalization when there is symmetry in the task. However, in many problems, only approximate symmetry is present, which makes imposing exact symmetry inappropriate. Recently, approximately equivariant networks have been proposed for supervised classification and modeling physical systems. In this work, we develop approximately equivariant algorithms in reinforcement learning (RL). We define approximately equivariant MDPs and theoretically characterize the effect of approximate equivariance on the optimal Q function. We propose novel RL architectures using relaxed group convolutions and experiment on several continuous control domains and stock trading with real financial data. Our results demonstrate that approximate equivariance matches prior work when exact symmetries are present, and outperforms them when domains exhibit approximate symmetry. As an added byproduct of these techniques, we observe increased robustness to noise at test time.

Partially Observable Contextual Bandits with Linear Payoffs

The standard contextual bandit framework assumes fully observable and actionable contexts. In this work, we consider a new bandit setting with partially observable, correlated contexts and linear payoffs, motivated by the applications in finance where decision making is based on market information that typically displays temporal correlation and is not fully observed. We make the following contributions marrying ideas from statistical signal processing with bandits: (i) We propose an algorithmic pipeline named EMKF-Bandit, which integrates system identification, filtering, and classic contextual bandit algorithms into an iterative method alternating between latent parameter estimation and decision making. (ii) We analyze EMKF-Bandit when we select Thompson sampling as the bandit algorithm and show that it incurs a sub-linear regret under conditions on filtering. (iii) We conduct numerical simulations that demonstrate the benefits and practical applicability of the proposed pipeline.

Fast Two-Time-Scale Stochastic Gradient Method with Applications in Reinforcement Learning

Two-time-scale optimization is a framework introduced in Zeng et al. (2024) that abstracts a range of policy evaluation and policy optimization problems in reinforcement learning (RL). Akin to bi-level optimization under a particular type of stochastic oracle, the two-time-scale optimization framework has an upper level objective whose gradient evaluation depends on the solution of a lower level problem, which is to find the root of a strongly monotone operator. In this work, we propose a new method for solving two-time-scale optimization that achieves significantly faster convergence than the prior arts. The key idea of our approach is to leverage an averaging step to improve the estimates of the operators in both lower and upper levels before using them to update the decision variables. These additional averaging steps eliminate the direct coupling between the main variables, enabling the accelerated performance of our algorithm. We characterize the finite-time convergence rates of the proposed algorithm under various conditions of the underlying objective function, including strong convexity, convexity, Polyak-Lojasiewicz condition, and general non-convexity. These rates significantly improve over the best-known complexity of the standard two-time-scale stochastic approximation algorithm. When applied to RL, we show how the proposed algorithm specializes to novel online sample-based methods that surpass or match the performance of the existing state of the art. Finally, we support our theoretical results with numerical simulations in RL.

Natural Policy Gradient and Actor Critic Methods for Constrained Multi-Task Reinforcement Learning

Multi-task reinforcement learning (RL) aims to find a single policy that effectively solves multiple tasks at the same time. This paper presents a constrained formulation for multi-task RL where the goal is to maximize the average performance of the policy across tasks subject to bounds on the performance in each task. We consider solving this problem both in the centralized setting, where information for all tasks is accessible to a single server, and in the decentralized setting, where a network of agents, each given one task and observing local information, cooperate to find the solution of the globally constrained objective using local communication. We first propose a primal-dual algorithm that provably converges to the globally optimal solution of this constrained formulation under exact gradient evaluations. When the gradient is unknown, we further develop a sampled-based actor-critic algorithm that finds the optimal policy using online samples of state, action, and reward. Finally, we study the extension of the algorithm to the linear function approximation setting.

QCQP-Net: Reliably Learning Feasible Alternating Current Optimal Power Flow Solutions Under Constraints

At the heart of power system operations, alternating current optimal power flow (ACOPF) studies the generation of electric power in the most economical way under network-wide load requirement, and can be formulated as a highly structured non-convex quadratically constrained quadratic program (QCQP). Optimization-based solutions to ACOPF (such as ADMM or interior-point method), as the classic approach, require large amount of computation and cannot meet the need to repeatedly solve the problem as load requirement frequently changes. On the other hand, learning-based methods that directly predict the ACOPF solution given the load input incur little computational cost but often generates infeasible solutions (i.e. violate the constraints of ACOPF). In this work, we combine the best of both worlds -- we propose an innovated framework for learning ACOPF, where the input load is mapped to the ACOPF solution through a neural network in a computationally efficient and reliable manner. Key to our innovation is a specific-purpose "activation function" defined implicitly by a QCQP and a novel loss, which enforce constraint satisfaction. We show through numerical simulations that our proposed method achieves superior feasibility rate and generation cost in situations where the existing learning-based approaches fail.

Near-Optimal Fair Resource Allocation for Strategic Agents without Money: A Data-Driven Approach

We study learning-based design of fair allocation mechanisms for divisible resources, using proportional fairness (PF) as a benchmark. The learning setting is a significant departure from the classic mechanism design literature, in that, we need to learn fair mechanisms solely from data. In particular, we consider the challenging problem of learning one-shot allocation mechanisms -- without the use of money -- that incentivize strategic agents to be truthful when reporting their valuations. It is well-known that the mechanism that directly seeks to optimize PF is not incentive compatible, meaning that the agents can potentially misreport their preferences to gain increased allocations. We introduce the notion of "exploitability" of a mechanism to measure the relative gain in utility from misreport, and make the following important contributions in the paper: (i) Using sophisticated techniques inspired by differentiable convex programming literature, we design a numerically efficient approach for computing the exploitability of the PF mechanism. This novel contribution enables us to quantify the gap that needs to be bridged to approximate PF via incentive compatible mechanisms. (ii) Next, we modify the PF mechanism to introduce a trade-off between fairness and exploitability. By properly controlling this trade-off using data, we show that our proposed mechanism, ExPF-Net, provides a strong approximation to the PF mechanism while maintaining low exploitability. This mechanism, however, comes with a high computational cost. (iii) To address the computational challenges, we propose another mechanism ExS-Net, which is end-to-end parameterized by a neural network. ExS-Net enjoys similar (slightly inferior) performance and significantly accelerated training and inference time performance. (iv) Extensive numerical simulations demonstrate the robustness and efficacy of the proposed mechanisms.

Connected Superlevel Set in (Deep) Reinforcement Learning and its Application to Minimax Theorems

The aim of this paper is to improve the understanding of the optimization landscape for policy optimization problems in reinforcement learning. Specifically, we show that the superlevel set of the objective function with respect to the policy parameter is always a connected set both in the tabular setting and under policies represented by a class of neural networks. In addition, we show that the optimization objective as a function of the policy parameter and reward satisfies a stronger "equiconnectedness" property. To our best knowledge, these are novel and previously unknown discoveries. We present an application of the connectedness of these superlevel sets to the derivation of minimax theorems for robust reinforcement learning. We show that any minimax optimization program which is convex on one side and is equiconnected on the other side observes the minimax equality (i.e. has a Nash equilibrium). We find that this exact structure is exhibited by an interesting robust reinforcement learning problem under an adversarial reward attack, and the validity of its minimax equality immediately follows. This is the first time such a result is established in the literature.

Sequential Fair Resource Allocation under a Markov Decision Process Framework

We study the sequential decision-making problem of allocating a limited resource to agents that reveal their stochastic demands on arrival over a finite horizon. Our goal is to design fair allocation algorithms that exhaust the available resource budget. This is challenging in sequential settings where information on future demands is not available at the time of decision-making. We formulate the problem as a discrete time Markov decision process (MDP). We propose a new algorithm, SAFFE, that makes fair allocations with respect to the entire demands revealed over the horizon by accounting for expected future demands at each arrival time. The algorithm introduces regularization which enables the prioritization of current revealed demands over future potential demands depending on the uncertainty in agents' future demands. Using the MDP formulation, we show that SAFFE optimizes allocations based on an upper bound on the Nash Social Welfare fairness objective, and we bound its gap to optimality with the use of concentration bounds on total future demands. Using synthetic and real data, we compare the performance of SAFFE against existing approaches and a reinforcement learning policy trained on the MDP. We show that SAFFE leads to more fair and efficient allocations and achieves close-to-optimal performance in settings with dense arrivals.