Distribution Shifts at Scale: Out-of-distribution Detection in Earth Observation

Training robust deep learning models is critical in Earth Observation, where globally deployed models often face distribution shifts that degrade performance, especially in low-data regions. Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection addresses this challenge by identifying inputs that differ from in-distribution (ID) data. However, existing methods either assume access to OOD data or compromise primary task performance, making them unsuitable for real-world deployment. We propose TARDIS, a post-hoc OOD detection method for scalable geospatial deployments. The core novelty lies in generating surrogate labels by integrating information from ID data and unknown distributions, enabling OOD detection at scale. Our method takes a pre-trained model, ID data, and WILD samples, disentangling the latter into surrogate ID and surrogate OOD labels based on internal activations, and fits a binary classifier as an OOD detector. We validate TARDIS on EuroSAT and xBD datasets, across 17 experimental setups covering covariate and semantic shifts, showing that it performs close to the theoretical upper bound in assigning surrogate ID and OOD samples in 13 cases. To demonstrate scalability, we deploy TARDIS on the Fields of the World dataset, offering actionable insights into pre-trained model behavior for large-scale deployments. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/microsoft/geospatial-ood-detection.

Sims: An Interactive Tool for Geospatial Matching and Clustering

Acquiring, processing, and visualizing geospatial data requires significant computing resources, especially for large spatio-temporal domains. This challenge hinders the rapid discovery of predictive features, which is essential for advancing geospatial modeling. To address this, we developed Similarity Search (Sims), a no-code web tool that allows users to visualize, compare, cluster, and perform similarity search over defined regions of interest using Google Earth Engine as a backend. Sims is designed to complement existing modeling tools by focusing on feature exploration rather than model creation. We demonstrate the utility of Sims through a case study analyzing simulated maize yield data in Rwanda, where we evaluate how different combinations of soil, weather, and agronomic features affect the clustering of yield response zones. Sims is open source and available at https://github.com/microsoft/Sims

Local vs. Global: Local Land-Use and Land-Cover Models Deliver Higher Quality Maps

Approximately 20% of Africa's population suffered from undernourishment, and 868 million people experienced moderate to severe food insecurity in 2022. Land-use and land-cover maps provide crucial insights for addressing food insecurity, e.g., by mapping croplands. The development of global land-cover maps has been facilitated by the increasing availability of earth observation data and advancements in geospatial machine learning. However, these global maps exhibit lower accuracy and inconsistencies in Africa, partly due to the lack of representative training data. To address this issue, we propose a data-centric framework with a teacher-student model setup, which uses diverse data sources of satellite images and label examples to produce local land-cover maps. Our method trains a high-resolution teacher model on images with a resolution of 0.331 m/pixel and a low-resolution student model on publicly available images with a resolution of 10 m/pixel. The student model also utilizes the teacher model's output as its weak label examples through knowledge distillation. We evaluated our framework using Murang'a County, Kenya, as a use case and achieved significant improvements, i.e., 0.14 in the F1 score and 0.21 in Intersection-over-Union, compared to the best global map. Our evaluation also revealed inconsistencies in existing global maps, with a maximum agreement rate of 0.30 among themselves. Insights obtained from our cross-collaborative work can provide valuable guidance to local and national policymakers in making informed decisions to improve resource utilization and food security.

AI and the Future of Work in Africa White Paper

This white paper is the output of a multidisciplinary workshop in Nairobi (Nov 2023). Led by a cross-organisational team including Microsoft Research, NEPAD, Lelapa AI, and University of Oxford. The workshop brought together diverse thought-leaders from various sectors and backgrounds to discuss the implications of Generative AI for the future of work in Africa. Discussions centred around four key themes: Macroeconomic Impacts; Jobs, Skills and Labour Markets; Workers' Perspectives and Africa-Centris AI Platforms. The white paper provides an overview of the current state and trends of generative AI and its applications in different domains, as well as the challenges and risks associated with its adoption and regulation. It represents a diverse set of perspectives to create a set of insights and recommendations which aim to encourage debate and collaborative action towards creating a dignified future of work for everyone across Africa.

Analyzing Decades-Long Environmental Changes in Namibia Using Archival Aerial Photography and Deep Learning

This study explores object detection in historical aerial photographs of Namibia to identify long-term environmental changes. Specifically, we aim to identify key objects -- \textit{Waterholes}, \textit{Omuti homesteads}, and \textit{Big trees} -- around Oshikango in Namibia using sub-meter gray-scale aerial imagery from 1943 and 1972. In this work, we propose a workflow for analyzing historical aerial imagery using a deep semantic segmentation model on sparse hand-labels. To this end, we employ a number of strategies including class-weighting, pseudo-labeling and empirical p-value-based filtering to balance skewed and sparse representations of objects in the ground truth data. Results demonstrate the benefits of these different training strategies resulting in an average $F_1=0.661$ and $F_1=0.755$ over the three objects of interest for the 1943 and 1972 imagery, respectively. We also identified that the average size of Waterhole and Big trees increased while the average size of Omutis decreased between 1943 and 1972 reflecting some of the local effects of the massive post-Second World War economic, agricultural, demographic, and environmental changes. This work also highlights the untapped potential of historical aerial photographs in understanding long-term environmental changes beyond Namibia (and Africa). With the lack of adequate satellite technology in the past, archival aerial photography offers a great alternative to uncover decades-long environmental changes.

Weak Labeling for Cropland Mapping in Africa

Cropland mapping can play a vital role in addressing environmental, agricultural, and food security challenges. However, in the context of Africa, practical applications are often hindered by the limited availability of high-resolution cropland maps. Such maps typically require extensive human labeling, thereby creating a scalability bottleneck. To address this, we propose an approach that utilizes unsupervised object clustering to refine existing weak labels, such as those obtained from global cropland maps. The refined labels, in conjunction with sparse human annotations, serve as training data for a semantic segmentation network designed to identify cropland areas. We conduct experiments to demonstrate the benefits of the improved weak labels generated by our method. In a scenario where we train our model with only 33 human-annotated labels, the F_1 score for the cropland category increases from 0.53 to 0.84 when we add the mined negative labels.

Efficient Representation of the Activation Space in Deep Neural Networks

The representations of the activation space of deep neural networks (DNNs) are widely utilized for tasks like natural language processing, anomaly detection and speech recognition. Due to the diverse nature of these tasks and the large size of DNNs, an efficient and task-independent representation of activations becomes crucial. Empirical p-values have been used to quantify the relative strength of an observed node activation compared to activations created by already-known inputs. Nonetheless, keeping raw data for these calculations increases memory resource consumption and raises privacy concerns. To this end, we propose a model-agnostic framework for creating representations of activations in DNNs using node-specific histograms to compute p-values of observed activations without retaining already-known inputs. Our proposed approach demonstrates promising potential when validated with multiple network architectures across various downstream tasks and compared with the kernel density estimates and brute-force empirical baselines. In addition, the framework reduces memory usage by 30% with up to 4 times faster p-value computing time while maintaining state of-the-art detection power in downstream tasks such as the detection of adversarial attacks and synthesized content. Moreover, as we do not persist raw data at inference time, we could potentially reduce susceptibility to attacks and privacy issues.

DMLR: Data-centric Machine Learning Research -- Past, Present and Future

Drawing from discussions at the inaugural DMLR workshop at ICML 2023 and meetings prior, in this report we outline the relevance of community engagement and infrastructure development for the creation of next-generation public datasets that will advance machine learning science. We chart a path forward as a collective effort to sustain the creation and maintenance of these datasets and methods towards positive scientific, societal and business impact.

Domain-agnostic and Multi-level Evaluation of Generative Models

While the capabilities of generative models heavily improved in different domains (images, text, graphs, molecules, etc.), their evaluation metrics largely remain based on simplified quantities or manual inspection with limited practicality. To this end, we propose a framework for Multi-level Performance Evaluation of Generative mOdels (MPEGO), which could be employed across different domains. MPEGO aims to quantify generation performance hierarchically, starting from a sub-feature-based low-level evaluation to a global features-based high-level evaluation. MPEGO offers great customizability as the employed features are entirely user-driven and can thus be highly domain/problem-specific while being arbitrarily complex (e.g., outcomes of experimental procedures). We validate MPEGO using multiple generative models across several datasets from the material discovery domain. An ablation study is conducted to study the plausibility of intermediate steps in MPEGO. Results demonstrate that MPEGO provides a flexible, user-driven, and multi-level evaluation framework, with practical insights on the generation quality. The framework, source code, and experiments will be available at https://github.com/GT4SD/mpego.

BON: An extended public domain dataset for human activity recognition

Body-worn first-person vision (FPV) camera enables to extract a rich source of information on the environment from the subject's viewpoint. However, the research progress in wearable camera-based egocentric office activity understanding is slow compared to other activity environments (e.g., kitchen and outdoor ambulatory), mainly due to the lack of adequate datasets to train more sophisticated (e.g., deep learning) models for human activity recognition in office environments. This paper provides details of a large and publicly available office activity dataset (BON) collected in different office settings across three geographical locations: Barcelona (Spain), Oxford (UK) and Nairobi (Kenya), using a chest-mounted GoPro Hero camera. The BON dataset contains eighteen common office activities that can be categorised into person-to-person interactions (e.g., Chat with colleagues), person-to-object (e.g., Writing on a whiteboard), and proprioceptive (e.g., Walking). Annotation is provided for each segment of video with 5-seconds duration. Generally, BON contains 25 subjects and 2639 total segments. In order to facilitate further research in the sub-domain, we have also provided results that could be used as baselines for future studies.