Exploitation of Hidden Context in Dynamic Movement Forecasting: A Neural Network Journey from Recurrent to Graph Neural Networks and General Purpose Transformers

Forecasting within signal processing pipelines is crucial for mitigating delays, particularly in predicting the dynamic movements of objects such as NBA players. This task poses significant challenges due to the inherently interactive and unpredictable nature of sports, where abrupt changes in velocity and direction are prevalent. Traditional approaches, including (S)ARIMA(X), Kalman filters (KF), and Particle filters (PF), often struggle to model the non-linear dynamics present in such scenarios. Machine learning (ML) methods, such as long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, graph neural networks (GNNs), and Transformers, offer greater flexibility and accuracy but frequently fail to explicitly capture the interplay between temporal dependencies and contextual interactions, which are critical in chaotic sports environments. In this paper, we evaluate these models and assess their strengths and weaknesses. Experimental results reveal key performance trade-offs across input history length, generalizability, and the ability to incorporate contextual information. ML-based methods demonstrated substantial improvements over linear models across forecast horizons of up to 2s. Among the tested architectures, our hybrid LSTM augmented with contextual information achieved the lowest final displacement error (FDE) of 1.51m, outperforming temporal convolutional neural network (TCNN), graph attention network (GAT), and Transformers, while also requiring less data and training time compared to GAT and Transformers. Our findings indicate that no single architecture excels across all metrics, emphasizing the need for task-specific considerations in trajectory prediction for fast-paced, dynamic environments such as NBA gameplay.

Novel Dynamic Batch-Sensitive Adam Optimiser for Vehicular Accident Injury Severity Prediction

The choice of optimiser is important in deep learning, as it strongly influences model efficiency and speed of convergence. However, many commonly used optimisers encounter difficulties when applied to imbalanced and sequential datasets, limiting their ability to capture patterns of minority classes. In this study, we propose Dynamic Batch-Sensitive Adam (DBS-Adam), an optimiser that dynamically scales the learning rate using a batch difficulty score derived from exponential moving averages of gradient norms and batch loss. DBS-Adam improves training stability and accelerates convergence by increasing updates for difficult batches and reducing them for easier ones. We evaluate DBS-Adam by integrating it with Bi-Directional LSTM networks for accident injury severity prediction, addressing class imbalance through SMOTE-ENN resampling and Focal Loss. Four experimental configurations compare baseline Bi-LSTM models and alternative architectures to assess optimiser impact. Rigorous comparison against state-of-the-art optimisers (AMSGrad, AdamW, AdaBound) across five random seeds demonstrated DBS-Adam's competitive performance with statistically significant precision improvements (p=0.020). Results indicate that DBS-Adam outperforms standard optimisation approaches, achieving 95.22% test accuracy, 96.11% precision, 95.28% recall, 95.39% F1-score, and a test loss of 0.0086. The proposed framework enables effective real-time accident severity classification for targeted emergency response and road safety interventions, demonstrating the value of DBS-Adam for learning from imbalanced sequential data.

Local Spatiotemporal Convolutional Network for Robust Gait Recognition

Gait recognition, as a promising biometric technology, identifies individuals through their unique walking patterns and offers distinctive advantages including non-invasiveness, long-range applicability, and resistance to deliberate disguise. Despite these merits, capturing the intrinsic motion patterns concealed within consecutive video frames remains challenging due to the complexity of video data and the interference of external covariates such as viewpoint changes, clothing variations, and carrying conditions. Existing approaches predominantly rely on either static appearance features extracted from individual silhouette frames or employ complex sequential models (\eg, LSTM, 3D convolutions) that demand substantial computational resources and sophisticated training strategies. To address these limitations, we propose a Local Spatiotemporal Convolutional Network (LSTCN), a structurally simple yet highly effective dual-branch architecture that endows standard two-dimensional convolutional networks with the capacity to extract temporal information. Specifically, we introduce a Global Bidirectional Spatial Pooling (GBSP) mechanism that reduces the dimensionality of gait tensors by decomposing spatial features into horizontal and vertical strip-based local representations, enabling the temporal dimension to participate in standard 2D convolution operations. Building upon this, we design a Local Spatiotemporal Convolutional (LSTC) layer that jointly processes temporal and spatial dimensions, allowing the network to adaptively learn strip-based gait motion patterns. We further extend this formulation with asymmetric convolution kernels that independently attend to the temporal, spatial, and joint spatiotemporal domains, thereby enriching the extracted feature representations.

BCI-Based Assessment of Ocular Response Time Using Dynamic Time Warping Leveraging an RDWT-Driven Deep Neural Framework

Mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI) is a prevalent condition that remains difficult to diagnose in its early stages. Oculomotor dysfunction is a well-established marker of mTBI, motivating the development of portable tools that capture both eye-movement behavior and underlying neurophysiology. In this work, we present an initial framework that integrates electroencephalogram (EEG) with augmented-reality (AR)-based Vestibular/Ocular Motor Screening (VOMS) tasks to estimate subject-specific ocular response times. Pre-processed EEG signals, obtained through band-pass filtering and average referencing, are analyzed using a Redundant Discrete Wavelet Transform (RDWT)-driven deep neural framework. The RDWT coefficients are subjected to trainable zero-phase convolutional filtering and reconstructed into the time domain via inverse RDWT, followed by channel-wise temporal and spatial filtering using 2D convolution layers and convolutional-LSTM-based decoding. An ablation study demonstrates that wavelet-domain filtering serves as an effective denoising strategy, improving prediction performance. Sliding-window predictions were validated using Pearson correlation (>= 0.5), and Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was subsequently used to estimate ocular response times. DTW-derived metrics revealed significant inter-subject differences across all VOM tasks, supported by Mann-Whitney U tests. Cross-correlation analysis further revealed task-dependent temporal behaviors: pursuit tasks exhibited reactive tracking, whereas saccades showed anticipatory responses. Overall, the results highlight pursuit tasks as particularly informative for distinguishing timing differences and demonstrate the potential of RDWT-based EEG features combined with DTW metrics for multimodal mTBI assessment.

A Hybrid Tucker-LSTM Tensor Network Model for SOC Prediction in Electric Vehicles

Accurate state of charge estimation is critical for the success of electric vehicle battery management strategies, but it is well known that conventional estimators suffer from two fundamental shortcomings: cumulative errors that grow over time and reliance on simplified battery models that do not reflect real world dynamics. Therefore, this paper presents a novel hybrid approach combining Tucker tensor decomposition with LSTM networks, using full - lifecycle EV field data for SOC prediction. The inputs are charge status, mileage, voltage, current, cell differentials, and temporal features. Tucker decomposition is skillfully used to reduce dimensionality while maintaining the temporal structure, hence allowing a direct, fair comparison with standard LSTM. The result is unequivocal: Tucker - LSTM outperforms the baseline on all metrics, with MSE dropping 70.5\% (from 21.07 to 6.22 ), MAE improving 48.7\% (from 3.37\% to 1.73\%), RMSE falling from 4.59\% to 2.49\%, and $R^2$ rising from 0.918 to 0.976. Since the experimental results demonstrably demonstrate that tensor decomposition compresses high-dimensional battery data very well without loss of predictive fidelity, this paper naturally opens up a new direction for tensor-based analytics in electric vehicle battery management.

SpikeProphecy: A Large-Scale Benchmark for Autoregressive Neural Population Forecasting

Neural population models, which predict the joint firing of many simultaneously recorded neurons forward in time, are typically evaluated by a single aggregate Pearson correlation $r$ between predicted and actual spike counts, a number that masks critical structure. We argue that how we evaluate spike forecasting matters as much as what we build, and introduce SpikeProphecy, the first large-scale benchmark for causal, autoregressive spike-count forecasting on real electrophysiology recordings. Our core contribution is a population metric decomposition that separates aggregate performance into temporal fidelity, spatial pattern accuracy, and magnitude-invariant alignment. The decomposition surfaces aspects of the underlying data that an aggregate scalar collapses together. We apply the protocol to 105 Neuropixels sessions (Steinmetz 2019 + IBL Repeated Site; ~89,800 neurons) with seven architecture baselines spanning four structural families: four SSMs (three diagonal and one non-diagonal), a Transformer, an LSTM, and a spiking network. The decomposition surfaces a brain-region predictability ranking that reproduces across all seven baselines and survives ANCOVA correction for firing-statistics constraints (region $ΔR^2 = 0.018$ above the firing-statistics covariates). It also exposes a sub-Poisson evaluation floor where rigorous metrics combine with genuine biophysical constraints on regular spike trains, and yields a negative result on KL-on-output-rates distillation for ANN-to-SNN transfer in this Poisson count domain.

Learning to Optimize Radiotherapy Plans via Fluence Maps Diffusion Model Generation and LSTM-based Optimization

Volumetric Modulated Arc Therapy (VMAT) is a cornerstone of modern radiation therapy, enabling highly conformal tumor irradiation and healthy-tissue sparing. Yet, its planning solves inverse and nested optimization for multi-leaf collimators, monitor units and dose parameters, while enforcing their consistency to ensure mechanical deliverability. Nevertheless, this process often requires repeated re-optimization when treatment configurations change, resulting in substantial planning time per patient. To address these problems, we present a diffusion-driven Learning-to-Optimize (L2O) method for end-to-end VMAT planning. A distribution-matching distilled diffusion model learns a clinically feasible manifold of fluence maps, enabling their one-shot generation. On top of this, an LSTM-based L2O module learns gradient update dynamics to swiftly refine fluence maps toward prescribed dose objectives during inference. Experimental results on clinical and public prostate cancer cohorts demonstrate improved planning efficiency, flexibility, and machine deliverability over currently available end-to-end VMAT planners.

Beyond Prediction: Interval Neural Networks for Uncertainty-Aware System Identification

System identification (SysID) is critical for modeling dynamical systems from experimental data, yet traditional approaches often fail to capture nonlinear behaviors. While deep learning offers powerful tools for modeling such dynamics, incorporating uncertainty quantification is essential to ensure reliable predictions. This paper presents a systematic framework for constructing and training interval Neural Networks (INNs) for uncertainty-aware SysID. By extending crisp neural networks into interval counterparts, we develop Interval LSTM and NODE models that propagate uncertainty through interval arithmetic without probabilistic assumptions. This design allows them to represent uncertainty and produce prediction intervals. For training, we propose two strategies: Cascade INN (C-INN), a two-stage approach converting a trained crisp NN into an INN, and Joint INN (J-INN), a one-stage framework jointly optimizing prediction accuracy and interval precision. Both strategies employ uncertainty-aware loss functions and parameterization tricks to ensure reliable learning. Comprehensive experiments on multiple SysID datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of both approaches and benchmark their performance against well-established uncertainty-aware baselines: C-INN achieves superior point prediction accuracy, whereas J-INN yields more accurate and better-calibrated prediction intervals. Furthermore, to reveal how uncertainty is represented across model parameters, the concept of channel-wise elasticity is introduced, which is used to identify distinct patterns across the two training strategies. The results of this study demonstrate that the proposed framework effectively integrates deep learning with uncertainty-aware modeling.

Dual-Temporal LSTM with Hybrid Attention for Airline Passenger Load Factor Forecasting: Integrating Intra-Flight and Inter-Flight Booking Dynamics

Accurate short-term demand forecasting is crucial to airline revenue management, yet most existing systems fail to meet this need because current models treat booking data as a single temporal dimension, either the accumulation of bookings for a specific flight or the historical booking profile of the same route. This unidimensional view discards information carried by the other temporal stream and forecasting absolute passenger counts introduces a further operational fragility when change in planned aircraft type alters total seat capacity. This study addresses both limitations. A dual-stream Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) integrated with attention framework is proposed that simultaneously processes two complementary input sequences: a horizontal sequence capturing intra-flight booking accumulation over the days preceding departure, and a vertical sequence capturing inter-flight booking patterns at fixed days-before-departure offsets across historical flights. Multiple dual-stream architectural variants, combining self-attention, cross-attention, and hybrid attention with concatenation, residual, and gated fusion strategies, are developed and evaluated. Experiments on real-world reservation data from the national airline of Bangladesh, Biman Bangladesh Airlines (BBA), demonstrate that the proposed hybrid model achieves a Mean Absolute Error of 2.8167 and a coefficient of determination ($R^{2}$) of 0.9495, outperforming single-stream baselines, tree-based models, and three prior dual-LSTM architectures applied to the same data. Validation across four flight category pairs; domestic versus international, direct versus transit, high versus low frequency, and short versus mid versus long haul confirms that the model generalizes across operationally diverse route types. Biman Bangladesh Airlines (BBA) has officially integrated this methodology into its operations.

A Scalable Digital Twin Framework for Energy Optimization in Data Centers

This study proposes a scalable Digital Twin framework for energy optimization in data centers.The framework integrates IoT-based data acquisition, cloud computing, and machine learning techniques to enable real-time monitoring, forecasting, and intelligent energy management. A controlled small-scale data center environment was developed to monitor variables such as power consumption, temperature, and computational workload. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models were employed to predict energy demand and support operational decision-making. Experimental results demonstrated improvements in energy efficiency, including reductions in power consumption and enhancements in Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE). Despite being evaluated in a constrained environment, the proposed framework demonstrates strong potential as a scalable and cost-effective solution for sustainable data center management.