Large Deviations and Improved Mean-squared Error Rates of Nonlinear SGD: Heavy-tailed Noise and Power of Symmetry

We study large deviations and mean-squared error (MSE) guarantees of a general framework of nonlinear stochastic gradient methods in the online setting, in the presence of heavy-tailed noise. Unlike existing works that rely on the closed form of a nonlinearity (typically clipping), our framework treats the nonlinearity in a black-box manner, allowing us to provide unified guarantees for a broad class of bounded nonlinearities, including many popular ones, like sign, quantization, normalization, as well as component-wise and joint clipping. We provide several strong results for a broad range of step-sizes in the presence of heavy-tailed noise with symmetric probability density function, positive in a neighbourhood of zero and potentially unbounded moments. In particular, for non-convex costs we provide a large deviation upper bound for the minimum norm-squared of gradients, showing an asymptotic tail decay on an exponential scale, at a rate $\sqrt{t} / \log(t)$. We establish the accompanying rate function, showing an explicit dependence on the choice of step-size, nonlinearity, noise and problem parameters. Next, for non-convex costs and the minimum norm-squared of gradients, we derive the optimal MSE rate $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(t^{-1/2})$. Moreover, for strongly convex costs and the last iterate, we provide an MSE rate that can be made arbitrarily close to the optimal rate $\mathcal{O}(t^{-1})$, improving on the state-of-the-art results in the presence of heavy-tailed noise. Finally, we establish almost sure convergence of the minimum norm-squared of gradients, providing an explicit rate, which can be made arbitrarily close to $o(t^{-1/4})$.

Nonlinear Stochastic Gradient Descent and Heavy-tailed Noise: A Unified Framework and High-probability Guarantees

We study high-probability convergence in online learning, in the presence of heavy-tailed noise. To combat the heavy tails, a general framework of nonlinear SGD methods is considered, subsuming several popular nonlinearities like sign, quantization, component-wise and joint clipping. In our work the nonlinearity is treated in a black-box manner, allowing us to establish unified guarantees for a broad range of nonlinear methods. For symmetric noise and non-convex costs we establish convergence of gradient norm-squared, at a rate $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(t^{-1/4})$, while for the last iterate of strongly convex costs we establish convergence to the population optima, at a rate $\mathcal{O}(t^{-\zeta})$, where $\zeta \in (0,1)$ depends on noise and problem parameters. Further, if the noise is a (biased) mixture of symmetric and non-symmetric components, we show convergence to a neighbourhood of stationarity, whose size depends on the mixture coefficient, nonlinearity and noise. Compared to state-of-the-art, who only consider clipping and require unbiased noise with bounded $p$-th moments, $p \in (1,2]$, we provide guarantees for a broad class of nonlinearities, without any assumptions on noise moments. While the rate exponents in state-of-the-art depend on noise moments and vanish as $p \rightarrow 1$, our exponents are constant and strictly better whenever $p < 6/5$ for non-convex and $p < 8/7$ for strongly convex costs. Experiments validate our theory, demonstrating noise symmetry in real-life settings and showing that clipping is not always the optimal nonlinearity, further underlining the value of a general framework.

Computational Imaging for Long-Term Prediction of Solar Irradiance

The occlusion of the sun by clouds is one of the primary sources of uncertainties in solar power generation, and is a factor that affects the wide-spread use of solar power as a primary energy source. Real-time forecasting of cloud movement and, as a result, solar irradiance is necessary to schedule and allocate energy across grid-connected photovoltaic systems. Previous works monitored cloud movement using wide-angle field of view imagery of the sky. However, such images have poor resolution for clouds that appear near the horizon, which reduces their effectiveness for long term prediction of solar occlusion. Specifically, to be able to predict occlusion of the sun over long time periods, clouds that are near the horizon need to be detected, and their velocities estimated precisely. To enable such a system, we design and deploy a catadioptric system that delivers wide-angle imagery with uniform spatial resolution of the sky over its field of view. To enable prediction over a longer time horizon, we design an algorithm that uses carefully selected spatio-temporal slices of the imagery using estimated wind direction and velocity as inputs. Using ray-tracing simulations as well as a real testbed deployed outdoors, we show that the system is capable of predicting solar occlusion as well as irradiance for tens of minutes in the future, which is an order of magnitude improvement over prior work.

Vehicle-to-Vehicle Charging: Model, Complexity, and Heuristics

The rapid adoption of Electric Vehicles (EVs) poses challenges for electricity grids to accommodate or mitigate peak demand. Vehicle-to-Vehicle Charging (V2VC) has been recently adopted by popular EVs, posing new opportunities and challenges to the management and operation of EVs. We present a novel V2VC model that allows decision-makers to take V2VC into account when optimizing their EV operations. We show that optimizing V2VC is NP-Complete and find that even small problem instances are computationally challenging. We propose R-V2VC, a heuristic that takes advantage of the resulting totally unimodular constraint matrix to efficiently solve problems of realistic sizes. Our results demonstrate that R-V2VC presents a linear growth in the solution time as the problem size increases, while achieving solutions of optimal or near-optimal quality. R-V2VC can be used for real-world operations and to study what-if scenarios when evaluating the costs and benefits of V2VC.

A Unified Framework for Gradient-based Clustering of Distributed Data

We develop a family of distributed clustering algorithms that work over networks of users. In the proposed scenario, users contain a local dataset and communicate only with their immediate neighbours, with the aim of finding a clustering of the full, joint data. The proposed family, termed Distributed Gradient Clustering (DGC-$\mathcal{F}_\rho$), is parametrized by $\rho \geq 1$, controling the proximity of users' center estimates, with $\mathcal{F}$ determining the clustering loss. Specialized to popular clustering losses like $K$-means and Huber loss, DGC-$\mathcal{F}_\rho$ gives rise to novel distributed clustering algorithms DGC-KM$_\rho$ and DGC-HL$_\rho$, while a novel clustering loss based on the logistic function leads to DGC-LL$_\rho$. We provide a unified analysis and establish several strong results, under mild assumptions. First, the sequence of centers generated by the methods converges to a well-defined notion of fixed point, under any center initialization and value of $\rho$. Second, as $\rho$ increases, the family of fixed points produced by DGC-$\mathcal{F}_\rho$ converges to a notion of consensus fixed points. We show that consensus fixed points of DGC-$\mathcal{F}_{\rho}$ are equivalent to fixed points of gradient clustering over the full data, guaranteeing a clustering of the full data is produced. For the special case of Bregman losses, we show that our fixed points converge to the set of Lloyd points. Numerical experiments on real data confirm our theoretical findings and demonstrate strong performance of the methods.

High-probability Convergence Bounds for Nonlinear Stochastic Gradient Descent Under Heavy-tailed Noise

Several recent works have studied the convergence \textit{in high probability} of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and its clipped variant. Compared to vanilla SGD, clipped SGD is practically more stable and has the additional theoretical benefit of logarithmic dependence on the failure probability. However, the convergence of other practical nonlinear variants of SGD, e.g., sign SGD, quantized SGD and normalized SGD, that achieve improved communication efficiency or accelerated convergence is much less understood. In this work, we study the convergence bounds \textit{in high probability} of a broad class of nonlinear SGD methods. For strongly convex loss functions with Lipschitz continuous gradients, we prove a logarithmic dependence on the failure probability, even when the noise is heavy-tailed. Strictly more general than the results for clipped SGD, our results hold for any nonlinearity with bounded (component-wise or joint) outputs, such as clipping, normalization, and quantization. Further, existing results with heavy-tailed noise assume bounded $\eta$-th central moments, with $\eta \in (1,2]$. In contrast, our refined analysis works even for $\eta=1$, strictly relaxing the noise moment assumptions in the literature.

Towards Hyperparameter-Agnostic DNN Training via Dynamical System Insights

We present a stochastic first-order optimization method specialized for deep neural networks (DNNs), ECCO-DNN. This method models the optimization variable trajectory as a dynamical system and develops a discretization algorithm that adaptively selects step sizes based on the trajectory's shape. This provides two key insights: designing the dynamical system for fast continuous-time convergence and developing a time-stepping algorithm to adaptively select step sizes based on principles of numerical integration and neural network structure. The result is an optimizer with performance that is insensitive to hyperparameter variations and that achieves comparable performance to state-of-the-art optimizers including ADAM, SGD, RMSProp, and AdaGrad. We demonstrate this in training DNN models and datasets, including CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 using ECCO-DNN and find that ECCO-DNN's single hyperparameter can be changed by three orders of magnitude without affecting the trained models' accuracies. ECCO-DNN's insensitivity reduces the data and computation needed for hyperparameter tuning, making it advantageous for rapid prototyping and for applications with new datasets. To validate the efficacy of our proposed optimizer, we train an LSTM architecture on a household power consumption dataset with ECCO-DNN and achieve an optimal mean-square-error without tuning hyperparameters.

Model-Free Learning and Optimal Policy Design in Multi-Agent MDPs Under Probabilistic Agent Dropout

This work studies a multi-agent Markov decision process (MDP) that can undergo agent dropout and the computation of policies for the post-dropout system based on control and sampling of the pre-dropout system. The controller's objective is to find an optimal policy that maximizes the value of the expected system given a priori knowledge of the agents' dropout probabilities. Finding an optimal policy for any specific dropout realization is a special case of this problem. For MDPs with a certain transition independence and reward separability structure, we assume that removing agents from the system forms a new MDP comprised of the remaining agents with new state and action spaces, transition dynamics that marginalize the removed agents, and rewards that are independent of the removed agents. We first show that under these assumptions, the value of the expected post-dropout system can be represented by a single MDP; this "robust MDP" eliminates the need to evaluate all $2^N$ realizations of the system, where $N$ denotes the number of agents. More significantly, in a model-free context, it is shown that the robust MDP value can be estimated with samples generated by the pre-dropout system, meaning that robust policies can be found before dropout occurs. This fact is used to propose a policy importance sampling (IS) routine that performs policy evaluation for dropout scenarios while controlling the existing system with good pre-dropout policies. The policy IS routine produces value estimates for both the robust MDP and specific post-dropout system realizations and is justified with exponential confidence bounds. Finally, the utility of this approach is verified in simulation, showing how structural properties of agent dropout can help a controller find good post-dropout policies before dropout occurs.

Large deviations rates for stochastic gradient descent with strongly convex functions

Recent works have shown that high probability metrics with stochastic gradient descent (SGD) exhibit informativeness and in some cases advantage over the commonly adopted mean-square error-based ones. In this work we provide a formal framework for the study of general high probability bounds with SGD, based on the theory of large deviations. The framework allows for a generic (not-necessarily bounded) gradient noise satisfying mild technical assumptions, allowing for the dependence of the noise distribution on the current iterate. Under the preceding assumptions, we find an upper large deviations bound for SGD with strongly convex functions. The corresponding rate function captures analytical dependence on the noise distribution and other problem parameters. This is in contrast with conventional mean-square error analysis that captures only the noise dependence through the variance and does not capture the effect of higher order moments nor interplay between the noise geometry and the shape of the cost function. We also derive exact large deviation rates for the case when the objective function is quadratic and show that the obtained function matches the one from the general upper bound hence showing the tightness of the general upper bound. Numerical examples illustrate and corroborate theoretical findings.

Networked Signal and Information Processing

The article reviews significant advances in networked signal and information processing, which have enabled in the last 25 years extending decision making and inference, optimization, control, and learning to the increasingly ubiquitous environments of distributed agents. As these interacting agents cooperate, new collective behaviors emerge from local decisions and actions. Moreover, and significantly, theory and applications show that networked agents, through cooperation and sharing, are able to match the performance of cloud or federated solutions, while preserving privacy, increasing resilience, and saving resources.