dynoGP: Deep Gaussian Processes for dynamic system identification

In this work, we present a novel approach to system identification for dynamical systems, based on a specific class of Deep Gaussian Processes (Deep GPs). These models are constructed by interconnecting linear dynamic GPs (equivalent to stochastic linear time-invariant dynamical systems) and static GPs (to model static nonlinearities). Our approach combines the strengths of data-driven methods, such as those based on neural network architectures, with the ability to output a probability distribution. This offers a more comprehensive framework for system identification that includes uncertainty quantification. Using both simulated and real-world data, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

Integrating Reinforcement Learning with Foundation Models for Autonomous Robotics: Methods and Perspectives

Foundation models (FMs), large deep learning models pre-trained on vast, unlabeled datasets, exhibit powerful capabilities in understanding complex patterns and generating sophisticated outputs. However, they often struggle to adapt to specific tasks. Reinforcement learning (RL), which allows agents to learn through interaction and feedback, offers a compelling solution. Integrating RL with FMs enables these models to achieve desired outcomes and excel at particular tasks. Additionally, RL can be enhanced by leveraging the reasoning and generalization capabilities of FMs. This synergy is revolutionizing various fields, including robotics. FMs, rich in knowledge and generalization, provide robots with valuable information, while RL facilitates learning and adaptation through real-world interactions. This survey paper comprehensively explores this exciting intersection, examining how these paradigms can be integrated to advance robotic intelligence. We analyze the use of foundation models as action planners, the development of robotics-specific foundation models, and the mutual benefits of combining FMs with RL. Furthermore, we present a taxonomy of integration approaches, including large language models, vision-language models, diffusion models, and transformer-based RL models. We also explore how RL can utilize world representations learned from FMs to enhance robotic task execution. Our survey aims to synthesize current research and highlight key challenges in robotic reasoning and control, particularly in the context of integrating FMs and RL--two rapidly evolving technologies. By doing so, we seek to spark future research and emphasize critical areas that require further investigation to enhance robotics. We provide an updated collection of papers based on our taxonomy, accessible on our open-source project website at: https://github.com/clmoro/Robotics-RL-FMs-Integration.

Enhanced Transformer architecture for in-context learning of dynamical systems

Recently introduced by some of the authors, the in-context identification paradigm aims at estimating, offline and based on synthetic data, a meta-model that describes the behavior of a whole class of systems. Once trained, this meta-model is fed with an observed input/output sequence (context) generated by a real system to predict its behavior in a zero-shot learning fashion. In this paper, we enhance the original meta-modeling framework through three key innovations: by formulating the learning task within a probabilistic framework; by managing non-contiguous context and query windows; and by adopting recurrent patching to effectively handle long context sequences. The efficacy of these modifications is demonstrated through a numerical example focusing on the Wiener-Hammerstein system class, highlighting the model's enhanced performance and scalability.

RoboMorph: In-Context Meta-Learning for Robot Dynamics Modeling

The landscape of Deep Learning has experienced a major shift with the pervasive adoption of Transformer-based architectures, particularly in Natural Language Processing (NLP). Novel avenues for physical applications, such as solving Partial Differential Equations and Image Vision, have been explored. However, in challenging domains like robotics, where high non-linearity poses significant challenges, Transformer-based applications are scarce. While Transformers have been used to provide robots with knowledge about high-level tasks, few efforts have been made to perform system identification. This paper proposes a novel methodology to learn a meta-dynamical model of a high-dimensional physical system, such as the Franka robotic arm, using a Transformer-based architecture without prior knowledge of the system's physical parameters. The objective is to predict quantities of interest (end-effector pose and joint positions) given the torque signals for each joint. This prediction can be useful as a component for Deep Model Predictive Control frameworks in robotics. The meta-model establishes the correlation between torques and positions and predicts the output for the complete trajectory. This work provides empirical evidence of the efficacy of the in-context learning paradigm, suggesting future improvements in learning the dynamics of robotic systems without explicit knowledge of physical parameters. Code, videos, and supplementary materials can be found at project website. See https://sites.google.com/view/robomorph/

Model order reduction of deep structured state-space models: A system-theoretic approach

With a specific emphasis on control design objectives, achieving accurate system modeling with limited complexity is crucial in parametric system identification. The recently introduced deep structured state-space models (SSM), which feature linear dynamical blocks as key constituent components, offer high predictive performance. However, the learned representations often suffer from excessively large model orders, which render them unsuitable for control design purposes. The current paper addresses this challenge by means of system-theoretic model order reduction techniques that target the linear dynamical blocks of SSMs. We introduce two regularization terms which can be incorporated into the training loss for improved model order reduction. In particular, we consider modal $\ell_1$ and Hankel nuclear norm regularization to promote sparsity, allowing one to retain only the relevant states without sacrificing accuracy. The presented regularizers lead to advantages in terms of parsimonious representations and faster inference resulting from the reduced order models. The effectiveness of the proposed methodology is demonstrated using real-world ground vibration data from an aircraft.

Synthetic data generation for system identification: leveraging knowledge transfer from similar systems

This paper addresses the challenge of overfitting in the learning of dynamical systems by introducing a novel approach for the generation of synthetic data, aimed at enhancing model generalization and robustness in scenarios characterized by data scarcity. Central to the proposed methodology is the concept of knowledge transfer from systems within the same class. Specifically, synthetic data is generated through a pre-trained meta-model that describes a broad class of systems to which the system of interest is assumed to belong. Training data serves a dual purpose: firstly, as input to the pre-trained meta model to discern the system's dynamics, enabling the prediction of its behavior and thereby generating synthetic output sequences for new input sequences; secondly, in conjunction with synthetic data, to define the loss function used for model estimation. A validation dataset is used to tune a scalar hyper-parameter balancing the relative importance of training and synthetic data in the definition of the loss function. The same validation set can be also used for other purposes, such as early stopping during the training, fundamental to avoid overfitting in case of small-size training datasets. The efficacy of the approach is shown through a numerical example that highlights the advantages of integrating synthetic data into the system identification process.

On the adaptation of in-context learners for system identification

In-context system identification aims at constructing meta-models to describe classes of systems, differently from traditional approaches that model single systems. This paradigm facilitates the leveraging of knowledge acquired from observing the behaviour of different, yet related dynamics. This paper discusses the role of meta-model adaptation. Through numerical examples, we demonstrate how meta-model adaptation can enhance predictive performance in three realistic scenarios: tailoring the meta-model to describe a specific system rather than a class; extending the meta-model to capture the behaviour of systems beyond the initial training class; and recalibrating the model for new prediction tasks. Results highlight the effectiveness of meta-model adaptation to achieve a more robust and versatile meta-learning framework for system identification.

In-context learning for model-free system identification

In traditional system identification, we estimate a model of an unknown dynamical system based on given input/output sequences and available physical knowledge. Yet, is it also possible to understand the intricacies of dynamical systems not solely from their input/output patterns, but by observing the behavior of other systems within the same class? This central question drives the study presented in this paper. In response to this query, we introduce a novel paradigm for system identification, addressing two primary tasks: one-step-ahead prediction and multi-step simulation. Unlike conventional methods, we do not directly estimate a model for the specific system. Instead, we pretrain a meta model that represents a class of dynamical systems. This meta model is trained from a potentially infinite stream of synthetic data, generated by systems randomly extracted from a certain distribution. At its core, the meta model serves as an implicit representation of the main characteristics of a class of dynamical systems. When provided with a brief context from a new system - specifically, a short input/output sequence - the meta model implicitly discerns its dynamics, enabling predictions of its behavior. The proposed approach harnesses the power of Transformer architectures, renowned for their in-context learning capabilities in Natural Language Processing tasks. For one-step prediction, a GPT-like decoder-only architecture is utilized, whereas the simulation problem employs an encoder-decoder structure. Initial experimental results affirmatively answer our foundational question, opening doors to fresh research avenues in system identification.

Neural State-Space Models: Empirical Evaluation of Uncertainty Quantification

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the predictive uncertainty of deep-learning models describing non-linear dynamical systems are very limited to date. This paper is aimed at filling this gap and presents preliminary results on uncertainty quantification for system identification with neural state-space models. We frame the learning problem in a Bayesian probabilistic setting and obtain posterior distributions for the neural network's weights and outputs through approximate inference techniques. Based on the posterior, we construct credible intervals on the outputs and define a surprise index which can effectively diagnose usage of the model in a potentially dangerous out-of-distribution regime, where predictions cannot be trusted.

Learning neural state-space models: do we need a state estimator?

In recent years, several algorithms for system identification with neural state-space models have been introduced. Most of the proposed approaches are aimed at reducing the computational complexity of the learning problem, by splitting the optimization over short sub-sequences extracted from a longer training dataset. Different sequences are then processed simultaneously within a minibatch, taking advantage of modern parallel hardware for deep learning. An issue arising in these methods is the need to assign an initial state for each of the sub-sequences, which is required to run simulations and thus to evaluate the fitting loss. In this paper, we provide insights for calibration of neural state-space training algorithms based on extensive experimentation and analyses performed on two recognized system identification benchmarks. Particular focus is given to the choice and the role of the initial state estimation. We demonstrate that advanced initial state estimation techniques are really required to achieve high performance on certain classes of dynamical systems, while for asymptotically stable ones basic procedures such as zero or random initialization already yield competitive performance.