Unmasking the Unknown: Facial Deepfake Detection in the Open-Set Paradigm

Facial forgery methods such as deepfakes can be misused for identity manipulation and spreading misinformation. They have evolved alongside advancements in generative AI, leading to new and more sophisticated forgery techniques that diverge from existing 'known' methods. Conventional deepfake detection methods use the closedset paradigm, thus limiting their applicability to detecting forgeries created using methods that are not part of the training dataset. In this paper, we propose a shift from the closed-set paradigm for deepfake detection. In the open-set paradigm, models are designed not only to identify images created by known facial forgery methods but also to identify and flag those produced by previously unknown methods as 'unknown' and not as unforged/real/unmanipulated. In this paper, we propose an open-set deepfake classification algorithm based on supervised contrastive learning. The open-set paradigm used in our model allows it to function as a more robust tool capable of handling emerging and unseen deepfake techniques, enhancing reliability and confidence, and complementing forensic analysis. In open-set paradigm, we identify three groups including the "unknown group that is neither considered known deepfake nor real. We investigate deepfake open-set classification across three scenarios, classifying deepfakes from unknown methods not as real, distinguishing real images from deepfakes, and classifying deepfakes from known methods, using the FaceForensics++ dataset as a benchmark. Our method achieves state of the art results in the first two tasks and competitive results in the third task.

SphOR: A Representation Learning Perspective on Open-set Recognition for Identifying Unknown Classes in Deep Learning Models

The widespread use of deep learning classifiers necessitates Open-set recognition (OSR), which enables the identification of input data not only from classes known during training but also from unknown classes that might be present in test data. Many existing OSR methods are computationally expensive due to the reliance on complex generative models or suffer from high training costs. We investigate OSR from a representation-learning perspective, specifically through spherical embeddings. We introduce SphOR, a computationally efficient representation learning method that models the feature space as a mixture of von Mises-Fisher distributions. This approach enables the use of semantically ambiguous samples during training, to improve the detection of samples from unknown classes. We further explore the relationship between OSR performance and key representation learning properties which influence how well features are structured in high-dimensional space. Extensive experiments on multiple OSR benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of our method, producing state-of-the-art results, with improvements up-to 6% that validate its performance.

TT-MPD: Test Time Model Pruning and Distillation

Pruning can be an effective method of compressing large pre-trained models for inference speed acceleration. Previous pruning approaches rely on access to the original training dataset for both pruning and subsequent fine-tuning. However, access to the training data can be limited due to concerns such as data privacy and commercial confidentiality. Furthermore, with covariate shift (disparities between test and training data distributions), pruning and finetuning with training datasets can hinder the generalization of the pruned model to test data. To address these issues, pruning and finetuning the model with test time samples becomes essential. However, test-time model pruning and fine-tuning incur additional computation costs and slow down the model's prediction speed, thus posing efficiency issues. Existing pruning methods are not efficient enough for test time model pruning setting, since finetuning the pruned model is needed to evaluate the importance of removable components. To address this, we propose two variables to approximate the fine-tuned accuracy. We then introduce an efficient pruning method that considers the approximated finetuned accuracy and potential inference latency saving. To enhance fine-tuning efficiency, we propose an efficient knowledge distillation method that only needs to generate pseudo labels for a small set of finetuning samples one time, thereby reducing the expensive pseudo-label generation cost. Experimental results demonstrate that our method achieves a comparable or superior tradeoff between test accuracy and inference latency, with a 32% relative reduction in pruning and finetuning time compared to the best existing method.

Rethinking Time Series Forecasting with LLMs via Nearest Neighbor Contrastive Learning

Adapting Large Language Models (LLMs) that are extensively trained on abundant text data, and customizing the input prompt to enable time series forecasting has received considerable attention. While recent work has shown great potential for adapting the learned prior of LLMs, the formulation of the prompt to finetune LLMs remains challenging as prompt should be aligned with time series data. Additionally, current approaches do not effectively leverage word token embeddings which embody the rich representation space learned by LLMs. This emphasizes the need for a robust approach to formulate the prompt which utilizes the word token embeddings while effectively representing the characteristics of the time series. To address these challenges, we propose NNCL-TLLM: Nearest Neighbor Contrastive Learning for Time series forecasting via LLMs. First, we generate time series compatible text prototypes such that each text prototype represents both word token embeddings in its neighborhood and time series characteristics via end-to-end finetuning. Next, we draw inspiration from Nearest Neighbor Contrastive Learning to formulate the prompt while obtaining the top-$k$ nearest neighbor time series compatible text prototypes. We then fine-tune the layer normalization and positional embeddings of the LLM, keeping the other layers intact, reducing the trainable parameters and decreasing the computational cost. Our comprehensive experiments demonstrate that NNCL-TLLM outperforms in few-shot forecasting while achieving competitive or superior performance over the state-of-the-art methods in long-term and short-term forecasting tasks.

Distributed solar generation forecasting using attention-based deep neural networks for cloud movement prediction

Accurate forecasts of distributed solar generation are necessary to reduce negative impacts resulting from the increased uptake of distributed solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. However, the high variability of solar generation over short time intervals (seconds to minutes) caused by cloud movement makes this forecasting task difficult. To address this, using cloud images, which capture the second-to-second changes in cloud cover affecting solar generation, has shown promise. Recently, deep neural networks with "attention" that focus on important regions of an image have been applied with success in many computer vision applications. However, their use for forecasting cloud movement has not yet been extensively explored. In this work, we propose an attention-based convolutional long short-term memory network to forecast cloud movement and apply an existing self-attention-based method previously proposed for video prediction to forecast cloud movement. We investigate and discuss the impact of cloud forecasts from attention-based methods towards forecasting distributed solar generation, compared to cloud forecasts from non-attention-based methods. We further provide insights into the different solar forecast performances that can be achieved for high and low altitude clouds. We find that for clouds at high altitudes, the cloud predictions obtained using attention-based methods result in solar forecast skill score improvements of 5.86% or more compared to non-attention-based methods.

GINN-KAN: Interpretability pipelining with applications in Physics Informed Neural Networks

Neural networks are powerful function approximators, yet their ``black-box" nature often renders them opaque and difficult to interpret. While many post-hoc explanation methods exist, they typically fail to capture the underlying reasoning processes of the networks. A truly interpretable neural network would be trained similarly to conventional models using techniques such as backpropagation, but additionally provide insights into the learned input-output relationships. In this work, we introduce the concept of interpretability pipelineing, to incorporate multiple interpretability techniques to outperform each individual technique. To this end, we first evaluate several architectures that promise such interpretability, with a particular focus on two recent models selected for their potential to incorporate interpretability into standard neural network architectures while still leveraging backpropagation: the Growing Interpretable Neural Network (GINN) and Kolmogorov Arnold Networks (KAN). We analyze the limitations and strengths of each and introduce a novel interpretable neural network GINN-KAN that synthesizes the advantages of both models. When tested on the Feynman symbolic regression benchmark datasets, GINN-KAN outperforms both GINN and KAN. To highlight the capabilities and the generalizability of this approach, we position GINN-KAN as an alternative to conventional black-box networks in Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs). We expect this to have far-reaching implications in the application of deep learning pipelines in the natural sciences. Our experiments with this interpretable PINN on 15 different partial differential equations demonstrate that GINN-KAN augmented PINNs outperform PINNs with black-box networks in solving differential equations and surpass the capabilities of both GINN and KAN.

AniFaceDiff: High-Fidelity Face Reenactment via Facial Parametric Conditioned Diffusion Models

Face reenactment refers to the process of transferring the pose and facial expressions from a reference (driving) video onto a static facial (source) image while maintaining the original identity of the source image. Previous research in this domain has made significant progress by training controllable deep generative models to generate faces based on specific identity, pose and expression conditions. However, the mechanisms used in these methods to control pose and expression often inadvertently introduce identity information from the driving video, while also causing a loss of expression-related details. This paper proposes a new method based on Stable Diffusion, called AniFaceDiff, incorporating a new conditioning module for high-fidelity face reenactment. First, we propose an enhanced 2D facial snapshot conditioning approach by facial shape alignment to prevent the inclusion of identity information from the driving video. Then, we introduce an expression adapter conditioning mechanism to address the potential loss of expression-related information. Our approach effectively preserves pose and expression fidelity from the driving video while retaining the identity and fine details of the source image. Through experiments on the VoxCeleb dataset, we demonstrate that our method achieves state-of-the-art results in face reenactment, showcasing superior image quality, identity preservation, and expression accuracy, especially for cross-identity scenarios. Considering the ethical concerns surrounding potential misuse, we analyze the implications of our method, evaluate current state-of-the-art deepfake detectors, and identify their shortcomings to guide future research.

Discriminative Sample-Guided and Parameter-Efficient Feature Space Adaptation for Cross-Domain Few-Shot Learning

In this paper, we look at cross-domain few-shot classification which presents the challenging task of learning new classes in unseen domains with few labelled examples. Existing methods, though somewhat effective, encounter several limitations, which we address in this work through two significant improvements. First, to address overfitting associated with fine-tuning a large number of parameters on small datasets, we introduce a lightweight parameter-efficient adaptation strategy. This strategy employs a linear transformation of pre-trained features, significantly reducing the trainable parameter count. Second, we replace the traditional nearest centroid classifier with a variance-aware loss function, enhancing the model's sensitivity to the inter- and intra-class variances within the training set for improved clustering in feature space. Empirical evaluations on the Meta-Dataset benchmark showcase that our approach not only improves accuracy up to 7.7% and 5.3% on seen and unseen datasets respectively but also achieves this performance while being at least ~3x more parameter-efficient than existing methods, establishing a new state-of-the-art in cross-domain few-shot learning. Our code can be found at https://github.com/rashindrie/DIPA.

Day-ahead regional solar power forecasting with hierarchical temporal convolutional neural networks using historical power generation and weather data

Regional solar power forecasting, which involves predicting the total power generation from all rooftop photovoltaic systems in a region holds significant importance for various stakeholders in the energy sector. However, the vast amount of solar power generation and weather time series from geographically dispersed locations that need to be considered in the forecasting process makes accurate regional forecasting challenging. Therefore, previous work has limited the focus to either forecasting a single time series (i.e., aggregated time series) which is the addition of all solar generation time series in a region, disregarding the location-specific weather effects or forecasting solar generation time series of each PV site (i.e., individual time series) independently using location-specific weather data, resulting in a large number of forecasting models. In this work, we propose two deep-learning-based regional forecasting methods that can effectively leverage both types of time series (aggregated and individual) with weather data in a region. We propose two hierarchical temporal convolutional neural network architectures (HTCNN) and two strategies to adapt HTCNNs for regional solar power forecasting. At first, we explore generating a regional forecast using a single HTCNN. Next, we divide the region into multiple sub-regions based on weather information and train separate HTCNNs for each sub-region; the forecasts of each sub-region are then added to generate a regional forecast. The proposed work is evaluated using a large dataset collected over a year from 101 locations across Western Australia to provide a day ahead forecast. We compare our approaches with well-known alternative methods and show that the sub-region HTCNN requires fewer individual networks and achieves a forecast skill score of 40.2% reducing a statistically significant error by 6.5% compared to the best counterpart.

When To Grow? A Fitting Risk-Aware Policy for Layer Growing in Deep Neural Networks

Neural growth is the process of growing a small neural network to a large network and has been utilized to accelerate the training of deep neural networks. One crucial aspect of neural growth is determining the optimal growth timing. However, few studies investigate this systematically. Our study reveals that neural growth inherently exhibits a regularization effect, whose intensity is influenced by the chosen policy for growth timing. While this regularization effect may mitigate the overfitting risk of the model, it may lead to a notable accuracy drop when the model underfits. Yet, current approaches have not addressed this issue due to their lack of consideration of the regularization effect from neural growth. Motivated by these findings, we propose an under/over fitting risk-aware growth timing policy, which automatically adjusts the growth timing informed by the level of potential under/overfitting risks to address both risks. Comprehensive experiments conducted using CIFAR-10/100 and ImageNet datasets show that the proposed policy achieves accuracy improvements of up to 1.3% in models prone to underfitting while achieving similar accuracies in models suffering from overfitting compared to the existing methods.