Four Guiding Principles for Modeling Causal Domain Knowledge: A Case Study on Brainstorming Approaches for Urban Blight Analysis

Urban blight is a problem of high interest for planning and policy making. Researchers frequently propose theories about the relationships between urban blight indicators, focusing on relationships reflecting causality. In this paper, we improve on the integration of domain knowledge in the analysis of urban blight by introducing four rules for effective modeling of causal domain knowledge. The findings of this study reveal significant deviation from causal modeling guidelines by investigating cognitive maps developed for urban blight analysis. These findings provide valuable insights that will inform future work on urban blight, ultimately enhancing our understanding of urban blight complex interactions.

Ensemble Watermarks for Large Language Models

The rapid advancement of large language models (LLMs) has made it increasingly difficult to distinguish between text written by humans and machines. While watermarks already exist for LLMs, they often lack flexibility, and struggle with attacks such as paraphrasing. To address these issues, we propose a multi-feature method for generating watermarks that combines multiple distinct watermark features into an ensemble watermark. Concretely, we combine acrostica and sensorimotor norms with the established red-green watermark to achieve a 98% detection rate. After a paraphrasing attack the performance remains high with 95% detection rate. The red-green feature alone as baseline achieves a detection rate of 49%. The evaluation of all feature combinations reveals that the ensemble of all three consistently has the highest detection rate across several LLMs and watermark strength settings. Due to the flexibility of combining features in the ensemble, various requirements and trade-offs can be addressed. Additionally, for all ensemble configurations the same detection function can be used without adaptations. This method is particularly of interest to facilitate accountability and prevent societal harm.

Evaluating Large Language Models for Causal Modeling

In this paper, we consider the process of transforming causal domain knowledge into a representation that aligns more closely with guidelines from causal data science. To this end, we introduce two novel tasks related to distilling causal domain knowledge into causal variables and detecting interaction entities using LLMs. We have determined that contemporary LLMs are helpful tools for conducting causal modeling tasks in collaboration with human experts, as they can provide a wider perspective. Specifically, LLMs, such as GPT-4-turbo and Llama3-70b, perform better in distilling causal domain knowledge into causal variables compared to sparse expert models, such as Mixtral-8x22b. On the contrary, sparse expert models such as Mixtral-8x22b stand out as the most effective in identifying interaction entities. Finally, we highlight the dependency between the domain where the entities are generated and the performance of the chosen LLM for causal modeling.

Establishing and Evaluating Trustworthy AI: Overview and Research Challenges

Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies (re-)shape modern life, driving innovation in a wide range of sectors. However, some AI systems have yielded unexpected or undesirable outcomes or have been used in questionable manners. As a result, there has been a surge in public and academic discussions about aspects that AI systems must fulfill to be considered trustworthy. In this paper, we synthesize existing conceptualizations of trustworthy AI along six requirements: 1) human agency and oversight, 2) fairness and non-discrimination, 3) transparency and explainability, 4) robustness and accuracy, 5) privacy and security, and 6) accountability. For each one, we provide a definition, describe how it can be established and evaluated, and discuss requirement-specific research challenges. Finally, we conclude this analysis by identifying overarching research challenges across the requirements with respect to 1) interdisciplinary research, 2) conceptual clarity, 3) context-dependency, 4) dynamics in evolving systems, and 5) investigations in real-world contexts. Thus, this paper synthesizes and consolidates a wide-ranging and active discussion currently taking place in various academic sub-communities and public forums. It aims to serve as a reference for a broad audience and as a basis for future research directions.

Increasing the Accessibility of Causal Domain Knowledge via Causal Information Extraction Methods: A Case Study in the Semiconductor Manufacturing Industry

The extraction of causal information from textual data is crucial in the industry for identifying and mitigating potential failures, enhancing process efficiency, prompting quality improvements, and addressing various operational challenges. This paper presents a study on the development of automated methods for causal information extraction from actual industrial documents in the semiconductor manufacturing industry. The study proposes two types of causal information extraction methods, single-stage sequence tagging (SST) and multi-stage sequence tagging (MST), and evaluates their performance using existing documents from a semiconductor manufacturing company, including presentation slides and FMEA (Failure Mode and Effects Analysis) documents. The study also investigates the effect of representation learning on downstream tasks. The presented case study showcases that the proposed MST methods for extracting causal information from industrial documents are suitable for practical applications, especially for semi structured documents such as FMEAs, with a 93\% F1 score. Additionally, MST achieves a 73\% F1 score on texts extracted from presentation slides. Finally, the study highlights the importance of choosing a language model that is more aligned with the domain and in-domain fine-tuning.

Constraining Anomaly Detection with Anomaly-Free Regions

We propose the novel concept of anomaly-free regions (AFR) to improve anomaly detection. An AFR is a region in the data space for which it is known that there are no anomalies inside it, e.g., via domain knowledge. This region can contain any number of normal data points and can be anywhere in the data space. AFRs have the key advantage that they constrain the estimation of the distribution of non-anomalies: The estimated probability mass inside the AFR must be consistent with the number of normal data points inside the AFR. Based on this insight, we provide a solid theoretical foundation and a reference implementation of anomaly detection using AFRs. Our empirical results confirm that anomaly detection constrained via AFRs improves upon unconstrained anomaly detection. Specifically, we show that, when equipped with an estimated AFR, an efficient algorithm based on random guessing becomes a strong baseline that several widely-used methods struggle to overcome. On a dataset with a ground-truth AFR available, the current state of the art is outperformed.

Stylometric Watermarks for Large Language Models

The rapid advancement of large language models (LLMs) has made it increasingly difficult to distinguish between text written by humans and machines. Addressing this, we propose a novel method for generating watermarks that strategically alters token probabilities during generation. Unlike previous works, this method uniquely employs linguistic features such as stylometry. Concretely, we introduce acrostica and sensorimotor norms to LLMs. Further, these features are parameterized by a key, which is updated every sentence. To compute this key, we use semantic zero shot classification, which enhances resilience. In our evaluation, we find that for three or more sentences, our method achieves a false positive and false negative rate of 0.02. For the case of a cyclic translation attack, we observe similar results for seven or more sentences. This research is of particular of interest for proprietary LLMs to facilitate accountability and prevent societal harm.

Recommendation Fairness in Social Networks Over Time

In social recommender systems, it is crucial that the recommendation models provide equitable visibility for different demographic groups, such as gender or race. Most existing research has addressed this problem by only studying individual static snapshots of networks that typically change over time. To address this gap, we study the evolution of recommendation fairness over time and its relation to dynamic network properties. We examine three real-world dynamic networks by evaluating the fairness of six recommendation algorithms and analyzing the association between fairness and network properties over time. We further study how interventions on network properties influence fairness by examining counterfactual scenarios with alternative evolution outcomes and differing network properties. Our results on empirical datasets suggest that recommendation fairness improves over time, regardless of the recommendation method. We also find that two network properties, minority ratio, and homophily ratio, exhibit stable correlations with fairness over time. Our counterfactual study further suggests that an extreme homophily ratio potentially contributes to unfair recommendations even with a balanced minority ratio. Our work provides insights into the evolution of fairness within dynamic networks in social science. We believe that our findings will help system operators and policymakers to better comprehend the implications of temporal changes and interventions targeting fairness in social networks.

Improving OCR Quality in 19th Century Historical Documents Using a Combined Machine Learning Based Approach

This paper addresses a major challenge to historical research on the 19th century. Large quantities of sources have become digitally available for the first time, while extraction techniques are lagging behind. Therefore, we researched machine learning (ML) models to recognise and extract complex data structures in a high-value historical primary source, the Schematismus. It records every single person in the Habsburg civil service above a certain hierarchical level between 1702 and 1918 and documents the genesis of the central administration over two centuries. Its complex and intricate structure as well as its enormous size have so far made any more comprehensive analysis of the administrative and social structure of the later Habsburg Empire on the basis of this source impossible. We pursued two central objectives: Primarily, the improvement of the OCR quality, for which we considered an improved structure recognition to be essential; in the further course, it turned out that this also made the extraction of the data structure possible. We chose Faster R-CNN as base for the ML architecture for structure recognition. In order to obtain the required amount of training data quickly and economically, we synthesised Hof- und Staatsschematismus-style data, which we used to train our model. The model was then fine-tuned with a smaller set of manually annotated historical source data. We then used Tesseract-OCR, which was further optimised for the style of our documents, to complete the combined structure extraction and OCR process. Results show a significant decrease in the two standard parameters of OCR-performance, WER and CER (where lower values are better). Combined structure detection and fine-tuned OCR improved CER and WER values by remarkable 71.98 percent (CER) respectively 52.49 percent (WER).

Recent Advances of Differential Privacy in Centralized Deep Learning: A Systematic Survey

Differential Privacy has become a widely popular method for data protection in machine learning, especially since it allows formulating strict mathematical privacy guarantees. This survey provides an overview of the state-of-the-art of differentially private centralized deep learning, thorough analyses of recent advances and open problems, as well as a discussion of potential future developments in the field. Based on a systematic literature review, the following topics are addressed: auditing and evaluation methods for private models, improvements of privacy-utility trade-offs, protection against a broad range of threats and attacks, differentially private generative models, and emerging application domains.