SMLE: Safe Machine Learning via Embedded Overapproximation

Despite the extent of recent advances in Machine Learning (ML) and Neural Networks, providing formal guarantees on the behavior of these systems is still an open problem, and a crucial requirement for their adoption in regulated or safety-critical scenarios. We consider the task of training differentiable ML models guaranteed to satisfy designer-chosen properties, stated as input-output implications. This is very challenging, due to the computational complexity of rigorously verifying and enforcing compliance in modern neural models. We provide an innovative approach based on three components: 1) a general, simple architecture enabling efficient verification with a conservative semantic; 2) a rigorous training algorithm based on the Projected Gradient Method; 3) a formulation of the problem of searching for strong counterexamples. The proposed framework, being only marginally affected by model complexity, scales well to practical applications, and produces models that provide full property satisfaction guarantees. We evaluate our approach on properties defined by linear inequalities in regression, and on mutually exclusive classes in multilabel classification. Our approach is competitive with a baseline that includes property enforcement during preprocessing, i.e. on the training data, as well as during postprocessing, i.e. on the model predictions. Finally, our contributions establish a framework that opens up multiple research directions and potential improvements.

QAL-BP: An Augmented Lagrangian Quantum Approach for Bin Packing Problem

The bin packing is a well-known NP-Hard problem in the domain of artificial intelligence, posing significant challenges in finding efficient solutions. Conversely, recent advancements in quantum technologies have shown promising potential for achieving substantial computational speedup, particularly in certain problem classes, such as combinatorial optimization. In this study, we introduce QAL-BP, a novel Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization (QUBO) formulation designed specifically for bin packing and suitable for quantum computation. QAL-BP utilizes the augmented Lagrangian method to incorporate the bin packing constraints into the objective function while also facilitating an analytical estimation of heuristic, but empirically robust, penalty multipliers. This approach leads to a more versatile and generalizable model that eliminates the need for empirically calculating instance-dependent Lagrangian coefficients, a requirement commonly encountered in alternative QUBO formulations for similar problems. To assess the effectiveness of our proposed approach, we conduct experiments on a set of bin-packing instances using a real Quantum Annealing device. Additionally, we compare the results with those obtained from two different classical solvers, namely simulated annealing and Gurobi. The experimental findings not only confirm the correctness of the proposed formulation but also demonstrate the potential of quantum computation in effectively solving the bin-packing problem, particularly as more reliable quantum technology becomes available.

Score Function Gradient Estimation to Widen the Applicability of Decision-Focused Learning

Many real-world optimization problems contain unknown parameters that must be predicted prior to solving. To train the predictive machine learning (ML) models involved, the commonly adopted approach focuses on maximizing predictive accuracy. However, this approach does not always lead to the minimization of the downstream task loss. Decision-focused learning (DFL) is a recently proposed paradigm whose goal is to train the ML model by directly minimizing the task loss. However, state-of-the-art DFL methods are limited by the assumptions they make about the structure of the optimization problem (e.g., that the problem is linear) and by the fact that can only predict parameters that appear in the objective function. In this work, we address these limitations by instead predicting \textit{distributions} over parameters and adopting score function gradient estimation (SFGE) to compute decision-focused updates to the predictive model, thereby widening the applicability of DFL. Our experiments show that by using SFGE we can: (1) deal with predictions that occur both in the objective function and in the constraints; and (2) effectively tackle two-stage stochastic optimization problems.

Computational Asymmetries in Robust Classification

In the context of adversarial robustness, we make three strongly related contributions. First, we prove that while attacking ReLU classifiers is $\mathit{NP}$-hard, ensuring their robustness at training time is $\Sigma^2_P$-hard (even on a single example). This asymmetry provides a rationale for the fact that robust classifications approaches are frequently fooled in the literature. Second, we show that inference-time robustness certificates are not affected by this asymmetry, by introducing a proof-of-concept approach named Counter-Attack (CA). Indeed, CA displays a reversed asymmetry: running the defense is $\mathit{NP}$-hard, while attacking it is $\Sigma_2^P$-hard. Finally, motivated by our previous result, we argue that adversarial attacks can be used in the context of robustness certification, and provide an empirical evaluation of their effectiveness. As a byproduct of this process, we also release UG100, a benchmark dataset for adversarial attacks.

An analysis of Universal Differential Equations for data-driven discovery of Ordinary Differential Equations

In the last decade, the scientific community has devolved its attention to the deployment of data-driven approaches in scientific research to provide accurate and reliable analysis of a plethora of phenomena. Most notably, Physics-informed Neural Networks and, more recently, Universal Differential Equations (UDEs) proved to be effective both in system integration and identification. However, there is a lack of an in-depth analysis of the proposed techniques. In this work, we make a contribution by testing the UDE framework in the context of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) discovery. In our analysis, performed on two case studies, we highlight some of the issues arising when combining data-driven approaches and numerical solvers, and we investigate the importance of the data collection process. We believe that our analysis represents a significant contribution in investigating the capabilities and limitations of Physics-informed Machine Learning frameworks.

Generalized Disparate Impact for Configurable Fairness Solutions in ML

We make two contributions in the field of AI fairness over continuous protected attributes. First, we show that the Hirschfeld-Gebelein-Renyi (HGR) indicator (the only one currently available for such a case) is valuable but subject to a few crucial limitations regarding semantics, interpretability, and robustness. Second, we introduce a family of indicators that are: 1) complementary to HGR in terms of semantics; 2) fully interpretable and transparent; 3) robust over finite samples; 4) configurable to suit specific applications. Our approach also allows us to define fine-grained constraints to permit certain types of dependence and forbid others selectively. By expanding the available options for continuous protected attributes, our approach represents a significant contribution to the area of fair artificial intelligence.

UNIFY: a Unified Policy Designing Framework for Solving Constrained Optimization Problems with Machine Learning

The interplay between Machine Learning (ML) and Constrained Optimization (CO) has recently been the subject of increasing interest, leading to a new and prolific research area covering (e.g.) Decision Focused Learning and Constrained Reinforcement Learning. Such approaches strive to tackle complex decision problems under uncertainty over multiple stages, involving both explicit (cost function, constraints) and implicit knowledge (from data), and possibly subject to execution time restrictions. While a good degree of success has been achieved, the existing methods still have limitations in terms of both applicability and effectiveness. For problems in this class, we propose UNIFY, a unified framework to design a solution policy for complex decision-making problems. Our approach relies on a clever decomposition of the policy in two stages, namely an unconstrained ML model and a CO problem, to take advantage of the strength of each approach while compensating for its weaknesses. With a little design effort, UNIFY can generalize several existing approaches, thus extending their applicability. We demonstrate the method effectiveness on two practical problems, namely an Energy Management System and the Set Multi-cover with stochastic coverage requirements. Finally, we highlight some current challenges of our method and future research directions that can benefit from the cross-fertilization of the two fields.

Machine Learning for Combinatorial Optimisation of Partially-Specified Problems: Regret Minimisation as a Unifying Lens

It is increasingly common to solve combinatorial optimisation problems that are partially-specified. We survey the case where the objective function or the relations between variables are not known or are only partially specified. The challenge is to learn them from available data, while taking into account a set of hard constraints that a solution must satisfy, and that solving the optimisation problem (esp. during learning) is computationally very demanding. This paper overviews four seemingly unrelated approaches, that can each be viewed as learning the objective function of a hard combinatorial optimisation problem: 1) surrogate-based optimisation, 2) empirical model learning, 3) decision-focused learning (`predict + optimise'), and 4) structured-output prediction. We formalise each learning paradigm, at first in the ways commonly found in the literature, and then bring the formalisations together in a compatible way using regret. We discuss the differences and interactions between these frameworks, highlight the opportunities for cross-fertilization and survey open directions.

Deep Learning for Virus-Spreading Forecasting: a Brief Survey

The advent of the coronavirus pandemic has sparked the interest in predictive models capable of forecasting virus-spreading, especially for boosting and supporting decision-making processes. In this paper, we will outline the main Deep Learning approaches aimed at predicting the spreading of a disease in space and time. The aim is to show the emerging trends in this area of research and provide a general perspective on the possible strategies to approach this problem. In doing so, we will mainly focus on two macro-categories: classical Deep Learning approaches and Hybrid models. Finally, we will discuss the main advantages and disadvantages of different models, and underline the most promising development directions to improve these approaches.

Discrete solution pools and noise-contrastive estimation for predict-and-optimize

Numerous real-life decision-making processes involve solving a combinatorial optimization problem with uncertain input that can be estimated from historic data. There is a growing interest in decision-focused learning methods, where the loss function used for learning to predict the uncertain input uses the outcome of solving the combinatorial problem over a set of predictions. Different surrogate loss functions have been identified, often using a continuous approximation of the combinatorial problem. However, a key bottleneck is that to compute the loss, one has to solve the combinatorial optimisation problem for each training instance in each epoch, which is computationally expensive even in the case of continuous approximations. We propose a different solver-agnostic method for decision-focused learning, namely by considering a pool of feasible solutions as a discrete approximation of the full combinatorial problem. Solving is now trivial through a single pass over the solution pool. We design several variants of a noise-contrastive loss over the solution pool, which we substantiate theoretically and empirically. Furthermore, we show that by dynamically re-solving only a fraction of the training instances each epoch, our method performs on par with the state of the art, whilst drastically reducing the time spent solving, hence increasing the feasibility of predict-and-optimize for larger problems.