Abstract:The operating environment of a highly automated vehicle is subject to change, e.g., weather, illumination, or the scenario containing different objects and other participants in which the highly automated vehicle has to navigate its passengers safely. These situations must be considered when developing and validating highly automated driving functions. This already poses a problem for training and evaluating deep learning models because without the costly labeling of thousands of recordings, not knowing whether the data contains relevant, interesting data for further model training, it is a guess under which conditions and situations the model performs poorly. For this purpose, we present corner case criteria based on the predictive uncertainty. With our corner case criteria, we are able to detect uncertainty-based corner cases of an object instance segmentation model without relying on ground truth (GT) data. We evaluated each corner case criterion using the COCO and the NuImages dataset to analyze the potential of our approach. We also provide a corner case decision function that allows us to distinguish each object into True Positive (TP), localization and/or classification corner case, or False Positive (FP). We also present our first results of an iterative training cycle that outperforms the baseline and where the data added to the training dataset is selected based on the corner case decision function.
Abstract:In safety-critical domains like automated driving (AD), errors by the object detector may endanger pedestrians and other vulnerable road users (VRU). As common evaluation metrics are not an adequate safety indicator, recent works employ approaches to identify safety-critical VRU and back-annotate the risk to the object detector. However, those approaches do not consider the safety factor in the deep neural network (DNN) training process. Thus, state-of-the-art DNN penalizes all misdetections equally irrespective of their criticality. Subsequently, to mitigate the occurrence of critical failure cases, i.e., false negatives, a safety-aware training strategy might be required to enhance the detection performance for critical pedestrians. In this paper, we propose a novel safety-aware loss variation that leverages the estimated per-pedestrian criticality scores during training. We exploit the reachability set-based time-to-collision (TTC-RSB) metric from the motion domain along with distance information to account for the worst-case threat quantifying the criticality. Our evaluation results using RetinaNet and FCOS on the nuScenes dataset demonstrate that training the models with our safety-aware loss function mitigates the misdetection of critical pedestrians without sacrificing performance for the general case, i.e., pedestrians outside the safety-critical zone.
Abstract:Trajectory data analysis is an essential component for highly automated driving. Complex models developed with these data predict other road users' movement and behavior patterns. Based on these predictions - and additional contextual information such as the course of the road, (traffic) rules, and interaction with other road users - the highly automated vehicle (HAV) must be able to reliably and safely perform the task assigned to it, e.g., moving from point A to B. Ideally, the HAV moves safely through its environment, just as we would expect a human driver to do. However, if unusual trajectories occur, so-called trajectory corner cases, a human driver can usually cope well, but an HAV can quickly get into trouble. In the definition of trajectory corner cases, which we provide in this work, we will consider the relevance of unusual trajectories with respect to the task at hand. Based on this, we will also present a taxonomy of different trajectory corner cases. The categorization of corner cases into the taxonomy will be shown with examples and is done by cause and required data sources. To illustrate the complexity between the machine learning (ML) model and the corner case cause, we present a general processing chain underlying the taxonomy.
Abstract:Scaling the distribution of automated vehicles requires handling various unexpected and possibly dangerous situations, termed corner cases (CC). Since many modules of automated driving systems are based on machine learning (ML), CC are an essential part of the data for their development. However, there is only a limited amount of CC data in large-scale data collections, which makes them challenging in the context of ML. With a better understanding of CC, offline applications, e.g., dataset analysis, and online methods, e.g., improved performance of automated driving systems, can be improved. While there are knowledge-based descriptions and taxonomies for CC, there is little research on machine-interpretable descriptions. In this extended abstract, we will give a brief overview of the challenges and goals of such a description.
Abstract:Deep neural networks often suffer from overconfidence which can be partly remedied by improved out-of-distribution detection. For this purpose, we propose a novel approach that allows for the generation of out-of-distribution datasets based on a given in-distribution dataset. This new dataset can then be used to improve out-of-distribution detection for the given dataset and machine learning task at hand. The samples in this dataset are with respect to the feature space close to the in-distribution dataset and therefore realistic and plausible. Hence, this dataset can also be used to safeguard neural networks, i.e., to validate the generalization performance. Our approach first generates suitable representations of an in-distribution dataset using an autoencoder and then transforms them using our novel proposed Soft Brownian Offset method. After transformation, the decoder part of the autoencoder allows for the generation of these implicit out-of-distribution samples. This newly generated dataset then allows for mixing with other datasets and thus improved training of an out-of-distribution classifier, increasing its performance. Experimentally, we show that our approach is promising for time series using synthetic data. Using our new method, we also show in a quantitative case study that we can improve the out-of-distribution detection for the MNIST dataset. Finally, we provide another case study on the synthetic generation of out-of-distribution trajectories, which can be used to validate trajectory prediction algorithms for automated driving.
Abstract:Systems and functions that rely on machine learning (ML) are the basis of highly automated driving. An essential task of such ML models is to reliably detect and interpret unusual, new, and potentially dangerous situations. The detection of those situations, which we refer to as corner cases, is highly relevant for successfully developing, applying, and validating automotive perception functions in future vehicles where multiple sensor modalities will be used. A complication for the development of corner case detectors is the lack of consistent definitions, terms, and corner case descriptions, especially when taking into account various automotive sensors. In this work, we provide an application-driven view of corner cases in highly automated driving. To achieve this goal, we first consider existing definitions from the general outlier, novelty, anomaly, and out-of-distribution detection to show relations and differences to corner cases. Moreover, we extend an existing camera-focused systematization of corner cases by adding RADAR (radio detection and ranging) and LiDAR (light detection and ranging) sensors. For this, we describe an exemplary toolchain for data acquisition and processing, highlighting the interfaces of the corner case detection. We also define a novel level of corner cases, the method layer corner cases, which appear due to uncertainty inherent in the methodology or the data distribution.
Abstract:In this article, we present a novel approach to multivariate probabilistic forecasting. Our approach is based on an extension of single-output quantile regression (QR) to multivariate-targets, called quantile surfaces (QS). QS uses a simple yet compelling idea of indexing observations of a probabilistic forecast through direction and vector length to estimate a central tendency. We extend the single-output QR technique to multivariate probabilistic targets. QS efficiently models dependencies in multivariate target variables and represents probability distributions through discrete quantile levels. Therefore, we present a novel two-stage process. In the first stage, we perform a deterministic point forecast (i.e., central tendency estimation). Subsequently, we model the prediction uncertainty using QS involving neural networks called quantile surface regression neural networks (QSNN). Additionally, we introduce new methods for efficient and straightforward evaluation of the reliability and sharpness of the issued probabilistic QS predictions. We complement this by the directional extension of the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) score. Finally, we evaluate our novel approach on synthetic data and two currently researched real-world challenges in two different domains: First, probabilistic forecasting for renewable energy power generation, second, short-term cyclists trajectory forecasting for autonomously driving vehicles. Especially for the latter, our empirical results show that even a simple one-layer QSNN outperforms traditional parametric multivariate forecasting techniques, thus improving the state-of-the-art performance.
Abstract:This article is about an extension of a recent ensemble method called Coopetitive Soft Gating Ensemble (CSGE) and its application on power forecasting as well as motion primitive forecasting of cyclists. The CSGE has been used successfully in the field of wind power forecasting, outperforming common algorithms in this domain. The principal idea of the CSGE is to weight the models regarding their observed performance during training on different aspects. Several extensions are proposed to the original CSGE within this article, making the ensemble even more flexible and powerful. The extended CSGE (XCSGE as we term it), is used to predict the power generation on both wind- and solar farms. Moreover, the XCSGE is applied to forecast the movement state of cyclists in the context of driver assistance systems. Both domains have different requirements, are non-trivial problems, and are used to evaluate various facets of the novel XCSGE. The two problems differ fundamentally in the size of the data sets and the number of features. Power forecasting is based on weather forecasts that are subject to fluctuations in their features. In the movement primitive forecasting of cyclists, time delays contribute to the difficulty of the prediction. The XCSGE reaches an improvement of the prediction performance of up to 11% for wind power forecasting and 30% for solar power forecasting compared to the worst performing model. For the classification of movement primitives of cyclists, the XCSGE reaches an improvement of up to 28%. The evaluation includes a comparison with other state-of-the-art ensemble methods. We can verify that the XCSGE results are significantly better using the Nemenyi post-hoc test.
Abstract:The recent usage of technical systems in human-centric environments leads to the question, how to teach technical systems, e.g., robots, to understand, learn, and perform tasks desired by the human. Therefore, an accurate representation of knowledge is essential for the system to work as expected. This article mainly gives insight into different knowledge representation techniques and their categorization into various problem domains in artificial intelligence. Additionally, applications of presented knowledge representations are introduced in everyday robotics tasks. By means of the provided taxonomy, the search for a proper knowledge representation technique regarding a specific problem should be facilitated.
Abstract:Fusion is a common tool for the analysis and utilization of available datasets and so an essential part of data mining and machine learning processes. However, a clear definition of the type of fusion is not always provided due to inconsistent literature. In the following, the process of fusion is defined depending on the fusion components and the abstraction level on which the fusion occurs. The focus in the first part of the paper at hand is on the clear definition of the terminology and the development of an appropriate ontology of the fusion components and the fusion level. In the second part, common fusion techniques are presented.