Efficient Localized Adaptation of Neural Weather Forecasting: A Case Study in the MENA Region

Accurate weather and climate modeling is critical for both scientific advancement and safeguarding communities against environmental risks. Traditional approaches rely heavily on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models, which simulate energy and matter flow across Earth's systems. However, heavy computational requirements and low efficiency restrict the suitability of NWP, leading to a pressing need for enhanced modeling techniques. Neural network-based models have emerged as promising alternatives, leveraging data-driven approaches to forecast atmospheric variables. In this work, we focus on limited-area modeling and train our model specifically for localized region-level downstream tasks. As a case study, we consider the MENA region due to its unique climatic challenges, where accurate localized weather forecasting is crucial for managing water resources, agriculture and mitigating the impacts of extreme weather events. This targeted approach allows us to tailor the model's capabilities to the unique conditions of the region of interest. Our study aims to validate the effectiveness of integrating parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) methodologies, specifically Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) and its variants, to enhance forecast accuracy, as well as training speed, computational resource utilization, and memory efficiency in weather and climate modeling for specific regions.

Improving Single Domain-Generalized Object Detection: A Focus on Diversification and Alignment

In this work, we tackle the problem of domain generalization for object detection, specifically focusing on the scenario where only a single source domain is available. We propose an effective approach that involves two key steps: diversifying the source domain and aligning detections based on class prediction confidence and localization. Firstly, we demonstrate that by carefully selecting a set of augmentations, a base detector can outperform existing methods for single domain generalization by a good margin. This highlights the importance of domain diversification in improving the performance of object detectors. Secondly, we introduce a method to align detections from multiple views, considering both classification and localization outputs. This alignment procedure leads to better generalized and well-calibrated object detector models, which are crucial for accurate decision-making in safety-critical applications. Our approach is detector-agnostic and can be seamlessly applied to both single-stage and two-stage detectors. To validate the effectiveness of our proposed methods, we conduct extensive experiments and ablations on challenging domain-shift scenarios. The results consistently demonstrate the superiority of our approach compared to existing methods. Our code and models are available at: https://github.com/msohaildanish/DivAlign

Domain Adaptive Object Detection via Balancing Between Self-Training and Adversarial Learning

Deep learning based object detectors struggle generalizing to a new target domain bearing significant variations in object and background. Most current methods align domains by using image or instance-level adversarial feature alignment. This often suffers due to unwanted background and lacks class-specific alignment. A straightforward approach to promote class-level alignment is to use high confidence predictions on unlabeled domain as pseudo-labels. These predictions are often noisy since model is poorly calibrated under domain shift. In this paper, we propose to leverage model's predictive uncertainty to strike the right balance between adversarial feature alignment and class-level alignment. We develop a technique to quantify predictive uncertainty on class assignments and bounding-box predictions. Model predictions with low uncertainty are used to generate pseudo-labels for self-training, whereas the ones with higher uncertainty are used to generate tiles for adversarial feature alignment. This synergy between tiling around uncertain object regions and generating pseudo-labels from highly certain object regions allows capturing both image and instance-level context during the model adaptation. We report thorough ablation study to reveal the impact of different components in our approach. Results on five diverse and challenging adaptation scenarios show that our approach outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods with noticeable margins.

Cal-DETR: Calibrated Detection Transformer

Albeit revealing impressive predictive performance for several computer vision tasks, deep neural networks (DNNs) are prone to making overconfident predictions. This limits the adoption and wider utilization of DNNs in many safety-critical applications. There have been recent efforts toward calibrating DNNs, however, almost all of them focus on the classification task. Surprisingly, very little attention has been devoted to calibrating modern DNN-based object detectors, especially detection transformers, which have recently demonstrated promising detection performance and are influential in many decision-making systems. In this work, we address the problem by proposing a mechanism for calibrated detection transformers (Cal-DETR), particularly for Deformable-DETR, UP-DETR and DINO. We pursue the train-time calibration route and make the following contributions. First, we propose a simple yet effective approach for quantifying uncertainty in transformer-based object detectors. Second, we develop an uncertainty-guided logit modulation mechanism that leverages the uncertainty to modulate the class logits. Third, we develop a logit mixing approach that acts as a regularizer with detection-specific losses and is also complementary to the uncertainty-guided logit modulation technique to further improve the calibration performance. Lastly, we conduct extensive experiments across three in-domain and four out-domain scenarios. Results corroborate the effectiveness of Cal-DETR against the competing train-time methods in calibrating both in-domain and out-domain detections while maintaining or even improving the detection performance. Our codebase and pre-trained models can be accessed at \url{https://github.com/akhtarvision/cal-detr}.

Bridging Precision and Confidence: A Train-Time Loss for Calibrating Object Detection

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have enabled astounding progress in several vision-based problems. Despite showing high predictive accuracy, recently, several works have revealed that they tend to provide overconfident predictions and thus are poorly calibrated. The majority of the works addressing the miscalibration of DNNs fall under the scope of classification and consider only in-domain predictions. However, there is little to no progress in studying the calibration of DNN-based object detection models, which are central to many vision-based safety-critical applications. In this paper, inspired by the train-time calibration methods, we propose a novel auxiliary loss formulation that explicitly aims to align the class confidence of bounding boxes with the accurateness of predictions (i.e. precision). Since the original formulation of our loss depends on the counts of true positives and false positives in a minibatch, we develop a differentiable proxy of our loss that can be used during training with other application-specific loss functions. We perform extensive experiments on challenging in-domain and out-domain scenarios with six benchmark datasets including MS-COCO, Cityscapes, Sim10k, and BDD100k. Our results reveal that our train-time loss surpasses strong calibration baselines in reducing calibration error for both in and out-domain scenarios. Our source code and pre-trained models are available at https://github.com/akhtarvision/bpc_calibration

Towards Improving Calibration in Object Detection Under Domain Shift

The increasing use of deep neural networks in safety-critical applications requires the trained models to be well-calibrated. Most current calibration techniques address classification problems while focusing on improving calibration on in-domain predictions. Little to no attention is paid towards addressing calibration of visual object detectors which occupy similar space and importance in many decision making systems. In this paper, we study the calibration of current object detection models, particularly under domain shift. To this end, we first introduce a plug-and-play train-time calibration loss for object detection. It can be used as an auxiliary loss function to improve detector's calibration. Second, we devise a new uncertainty quantification mechanism for object detection which can implicitly calibrate the commonly used self-training based domain adaptive detectors. We include in our study both single-stage and two-stage object detectors. We demonstrate that our loss improves calibration for both in-domain and out-of-domain detections with notable margins. Finally, we show the utility of our techniques in calibrating the domain adaptive object detectors in diverse domain shift scenarios.

Synergizing between Self-Training and Adversarial Learning for Domain Adaptive Object Detection

We study adapting trained object detectors to unseen domains manifesting significant variations of object appearance, viewpoints and backgrounds. Most current methods align domains by either using image or instance-level feature alignment in an adversarial fashion. This often suffers due to the presence of unwanted background and as such lacks class-specific alignment. A common remedy to promote class-level alignment is to use high confidence predictions on the unlabelled domain as pseudo labels. These high confidence predictions are often fallacious since the model is poorly calibrated under domain shift. In this paper, we propose to leverage model predictive uncertainty to strike the right balance between adversarial feature alignment and class-level alignment. Specifically, we measure predictive uncertainty on class assignments and the bounding box predictions. Model predictions with low uncertainty are used to generate pseudo-labels for self-supervision, whereas the ones with higher uncertainty are used to generate tiles for an adversarial feature alignment stage. This synergy between tiling around the uncertain object regions and generating pseudo-labels from highly certain object regions allows us to capture both the image and instance level context during the model adaptation stage. We perform extensive experiments covering various domain shift scenarios. Our approach improves upon existing state-of-the-art methods with visible margins.

Localizing Firearm Carriers by Identifying Human-Object Pairs

Visual identification of gunmen in a crowd is a challenging problem, that requires resolving the association of a person with an object (firearm). We present a novel approach to address this problem, by defining human-object interaction (and non-interaction) bounding boxes. In a given image, human and firearms are separately detected. Each detected human is paired with each detected firearm, allowing us to create a paired bounding box that contains both object and the human. A network is trained to classify these paired-bounding-boxes into human carrying the identified firearm or not. Extensive experiments were performed to evaluate effectiveness of the algorithm, including exploiting full pose of the human, hand key-points, and their association with the firearm. The knowledge of spatially localized features is key to success of our method by using multi-size proposals with adaptive average pooling. We have also extended a previously firearm detection dataset, by adding more images and tagging in extended dataset the human-firearm pairs (including bounding boxes for firearms and gunmen). The experimental results ($AP_{hold} = 78.5$) demonstrate effectiveness of the proposed method.

Orientation Aware Object Detection with Application to Firearms

Automatic detection of firearms is important for enhancing security and safety of people, however, it is a challenging task owing to the wide variations in shape, size and appearance of firearms. To handle these challenges we propose an Orientation Aware Object Detector (OAOD) which has achieved improved firearm detection and localization performance. The proposed detector has two phases. In the Phase-1 it predicts orientation of the object which is used to rotate the object proposal. Maximum area rectangles are cropped from the rotated object proposals which are again classified and localized in the Phase-2 of the algorithm. The oriented object proposals are mapped back to the original coordinates resulting in oriented bounding boxes which localize the weapons much better than the axis aligned bounding boxes. Being orientation aware, our non-maximum suppression is able to avoid multiple detection of the same object and it can better resolve objects which lie in close proximity to each other. This two phase system leverages OAOD to predict object oriented bounding boxes while being trained only on the axis aligned boxes in the ground-truth. In order to train object detectors for firearm detection, a dataset consisting of around eleven thousand firearm images is collected from the internet and manually annotated. The proposed ITU Firearm (ITUF) dataset contains wide range of guns and rifles. The OAOD algorithm is evaluated on the ITUF dataset and compared with current state of the art object detectors. Our experiments demonstrate the excellent performance of the proposed detector for the task of firearm detection.