Gradient-free online learning of subgrid-scale dynamics with neural emulators

In this paper, we propose a generic algorithm to train machine learning-based subgrid parametrizations online, i.e., with $\textit{a posteriori}$ loss functions for non-differentiable numerical solvers. The proposed approach leverage neural emulators to train an approximation of the reduced state-space solver, which is then used to allows gradient propagation through temporal integration steps. The algorithm is able to recover most of the benefit of online strategies without having to compute the gradient of the original solver. It is demonstrated that training the neural emulator and parametrization components separately with respective loss quantities is necessary in order to minimize the propagation of some approximation bias.

OceanBench: The Sea Surface Height Edition

The ocean profoundly influences human activities and plays a critical role in climate regulation. Our understanding has improved over the last decades with the advent of satellite remote sensing data, allowing us to capture essential quantities over the globe, e.g., sea surface height (SSH). However, ocean satellite data presents challenges for information extraction due to their sparsity and irregular sampling, signal complexity, and noise. Machine learning (ML) techniques have demonstrated their capabilities in dealing with large-scale, complex signals. Therefore we see an opportunity for ML models to harness the information contained in ocean satellite data. However, data representation and relevant evaluation metrics can be the defining factors when determining the success of applied ML. The processing steps from the raw observation data to a ML-ready state and from model outputs to interpretable quantities require domain expertise, which can be a significant barrier to entry for ML researchers. OceanBench is a unifying framework that provides standardized processing steps that comply with domain-expert standards. It provides plug-and-play data and pre-configured pipelines for ML researchers to benchmark their models and a transparent configurable framework for researchers to customize and extend the pipeline for their tasks. In this work, we demonstrate the OceanBench framework through a first edition dedicated to SSH interpolation challenges. We provide datasets and ML-ready benchmarking pipelines for the long-standing problem of interpolating observations from simulated ocean satellite data, multi-modal and multi-sensor fusion issues, and transfer-learning to real ocean satellite observations. The OceanBench framework is available at github.com/jejjohnson/oceanbench and the dataset registry is available at github.com/quentinf00/oceanbench-data-registry.

Training neural mapping schemes for satellite altimetry with simulation data

Satellite altimetry combined with data assimilation and optimal interpolation schemes have deeply renewed our ability to monitor sea surface dynamics. Recently, deep learning (DL) schemes have emerged as appealing solutions to address space-time interpolation problems. The scarcity of real altimetry dataset, in terms of space-time coverage of the sea surface, however impedes the training of state-of-the-art neural schemes on real-world case-studies. Here, we leverage both simulations of ocean dynamics and satellite altimeters to train simulation-based neural mapping schemes for the sea surface height and demonstrate their performance for real altimetry datasets. We analyze further how the ocean simulation dataset used during the training phase impacts this performance. This experimental analysis covers both the resolution from eddy-present configurations to eddy-rich ones, forced simulations vs. reanalyses using data assimilation and tide-free vs. tide-resolving simulations. Our benchmarking framework focuses on a Gulf Stream region for a realistic 5-altimeter constellation using NEMO ocean simulations and 4DVarNet mapping schemes. All simulation-based 4DVarNets outperform the operational observation-driven and reanalysis products, namely DUACS and GLORYS. The more realistic the ocean simulation dataset used during the training phase, the better the mapping. The best 4DVarNet mapping was trained from an eddy-rich and tide-free simulation datasets. It improves the resolved longitudinal scale from 151 kilometers for DUACS and 241 kilometers for GLORYS to 98 kilometers and reduces the root mean squared error (RMSE) by 23% and 61%. These results open research avenues for new synergies between ocean modelling and ocean observation using learning-based approaches.

Scale-aware neural calibration for wide swath altimetry observations

Sea surface height (SSH) is a key geophysical parameter for monitoring and studying meso-scale surface ocean dynamics. For several decades, the mapping of SSH products at regional and global scales has relied on nadir satellite altimeters, which provide one-dimensional-only along-track satellite observations of the SSH. The Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission deploys a new sensor that acquires for the first time wide-swath two-dimensional observations of the SSH. This provides new means to observe the ocean at previously unresolved spatial scales. A critical challenge for the exploiting of SWOT data is the separation of the SSH from other signals present in the observations. In this paper, we propose a novel learning-based approach for this SWOT calibration problem. It benefits from calibrated nadir altimetry products and a scale-space decomposition adapted to SWOT swath geometry and the structure of the different processes in play. In a supervised setting, our method reaches the state-of-the-art residual error of ~1.4cm while proposing a correction on the entire spectral from 10km to 1000k

Inversion of sea surface currents from satellite-derived SST-SSH synergies with 4DVarNets

Satellite altimetry is a unique way for direct observations of sea surface dynamics. This is however limited to the surface-constrained geostrophic component of sea surface velocities. Ageostrophic dynamics are however expected to be significant for horizontal scales below 100~km and time scale below 10~days. The assimilation of ocean general circulation models likely reveals only a fraction of this ageostrophic component. Here, we explore a learning-based scheme to better exploit the synergies between the observed sea surface tracers, especially sea surface height (SSH) and sea surface temperature (SST), to better inform sea surface currents. More specifically, we develop a 4DVarNet scheme which exploits a variational data assimilation formulation with trainable observations and {\em a priori} terms. An Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) in a region of the Gulf Stream suggests that SST-SSH synergies could reveal sea surface velocities for time scales of 2.5-3.0 days and horizontal scales of 0.5$^\circ$-0.7$^\circ$, including a significant fraction of the ageostrophic dynamics ($\approx$ 47\%). The analysis of the contribution of different observation data, namely nadir along-track altimetry, wide-swath SWOT altimetry and SST data, emphasizes the role of SST features for the reconstruction at horizontal spatial scales ranging from \nicefrac{1}{20}$^\circ$ to \nicefrac{1}{4}$^\circ$.

Neural Fields for Fast and Scalable Interpolation of Geophysical Ocean Variables

Optimal Interpolation (OI) is a widely used, highly trusted algorithm for interpolation and reconstruction problems in geosciences. With the influx of more satellite missions, we have access to more and more observations and it is becoming more pertinent to take advantage of these observations in applications such as forecasting and reanalysis. With the increase in the volume of available data, scalability remains an issue for standard OI and it prevents many practitioners from effectively and efficiently taking advantage of these large sums of data to learn the model hyperparameters. In this work, we leverage recent advances in Neural Fields (NerFs) as an alternative to the OI framework where we show how they can be easily applied to standard reconstruction problems in physical oceanography. We illustrate the relevance of NerFs for gap-filling of sparse measurements of sea surface height (SSH) via satellite altimetry and demonstrate how NerFs are scalable with comparable results to the standard OI. We find that NerFs are a practical set of methods that can be readily applied to geoscience interpolation problems and we anticipate a wider adoption in the future.

A DNN Framework for Learning Lagrangian Drift With Uncertainty

Reconstructions of Lagrangian drift, for example for objects lost at sea, are often uncertain due to unresolved physical phenomena within the data. Uncertainty is usually overcome by introducing stochasticity into the drift, but this approach requires specific assumptions for modelling uncertainty. We remove this constraint by presenting a purely data-driven framework for modelling probabilistic drift in flexible environments. We train a CNN to predict the temporal evolution of probability density maps of particle locations from $t$ to $t+1$ given an input velocity field. We generate groundtruth density maps on the basis of ocean circulation model simulations by simulating uncertainty in the initial position of particle trajectories. Several loss functions for regressing the predicted density maps are tested. Through evaluating our model on unseen velocities from a different year, we find its outputs to be in good agreement with numerical simulations, suggesting satisfactory generalisation to different dynamical situations.

A posteriori learning for quasi-geostrophic turbulence parametrization

The use of machine learning to build subgrid parametrizations for climate models is receiving growing attention. State-of-the-art strategies address the problem as a supervised learning task and optimize algorithms that predict subgrid fluxes based on information from coarse resolution models. In practice, training data are generated from higher resolution numerical simulations transformed in order to mimic coarse resolution simulations. By essence, these strategies optimize subgrid parametrizations to meet so-called $\textit{a priori}$ criteria. But the actual purpose of a subgrid parametrization is to obtain good performance in terms of $\textit{a posteriori}$ metrics which imply computing entire model trajectories. In this paper, we focus on the representation of energy backscatter in two dimensional quasi-geostrophic turbulence and compare parametrizations obtained with different learning strategies at fixed computational complexity. We show that strategies based on $\textit{a priori}$ criteria yield parametrizations that tend to be unstable in direct simulations and describe how subgrid parametrizations can alternatively be trained end-to-end in order to meet $\textit{a posteriori}$ criteria. We illustrate that end-to-end learning strategies yield parametrizations that outperform known empirical and data-driven schemes in terms of performance, stability and ability to apply to different flow configurations. These results support the relevance of differentiable programming paradigms for climate models in the future.

A posteriori learning of quasi-geostrophic turbulence parametrization: an experiment on integration steps

Modeling the subgrid-scale dynamics of reduced models is a long standing open problem that finds application in ocean, atmosphere and climate predictions where direct numerical simulation (DNS) is impossible. While neural networks (NNs) have already been applied to a range of three-dimensional flows with success, two dimensional flows are more challenging because of the backscatter of energy from small to large scales. We show that learning a model jointly with the dynamical solver and a meaningful \textit{a posteriori}-based loss function lead to stable and realistic simulations when applied to quasi-geostrophic turbulence.

Joint calibration and mapping of satellite altimetry data using trainable variational models

Satellite radar altimeters are a key source of observation of ocean surface dynamics. However, current sensor technology and mapping techniques do not yet allow to systematically resolve scales smaller than 100km. With their new sensors, upcoming wide-swath altimeter missions such as SWOT should help resolve finer scales. Current mapping techniques rely on the quality of the input data, which is why the raw data go through multiple preprocessing stages before being used. Those calibration stages are improved and refined over many years and represent a challenge when a new type of sensor start acquiring data. Here we show how a data-driven variational data assimilation framework could be used to jointly learn a calibration operator and an interpolator from non-calibrated data . The proposed framework significantly outperforms the operational state-of-the-art mapping pipeline and truly benefits from wide-swath data to resolve finer scales on the global map as well as in the SWOT sensor geometry.