DualCast: Disentangling Aperiodic Events from Traffic Series with a Dual-Branch Model

Traffic forecasting is an important problem in the operation and optimisation of transportation systems. State-of-the-art solutions train machine learning models by minimising the mean forecasting errors on the training data. The trained models often favour periodic events instead of aperiodic ones in their prediction results, as periodic events often prevail in the training data. While offering critical optimisation opportunities, aperiodic events such as traffic incidents may be missed by the existing models. To address this issue, we propose DualCast -- a model framework to enhance the learning capability of traffic forecasting models, especially for aperiodic events. DualCast takes a dual-branch architecture, to disentangle traffic signals into two types, one reflecting intrinsic {spatial-temporal} patterns and the other reflecting external environment contexts including aperiodic events. We further propose a cross-time attention mechanism, to capture high-order spatial-temporal relationships from both periodic and aperiodic patterns. DualCast is versatile. We integrate it with recent traffic forecasting models, consistently reducing their forecasting errors by up to 9.6% on multiple real datasets.

DeepMDV: Learning Global Matching for Multi-depot Vehicle Routing Problems

Due to the substantial rise in online retail and e-commerce in recent years, the demand for efficient and fast solutions to Vehicle Routing Problems (VRP) has become critical. To manage the increasing demand, companies have adopted the strategy of adding more depots. However, the presence of multiple depots introduces additional complexities, making existing VRP solutions suboptimal for addressing the Multi-depot Vehicle Routing Problem (MDVRP). Traditional methods for solving the MDVRP often require significant computation time, making them unsuitable for large-scale instances. Additionally, existing learning-based solutions for the MDVRP struggle with generalizability and fail to deliver high-quality results for scenarios involving a large number of customers. In this paper, we propose a novel solution for MDVRP. Our approach employs an attention mechanism, featuring a decoder with two key layers: one layer to consider the states of all vehicles and learn to select the most suitable vehicle based on the proximity of unassigned customers, and another layer to focus on assigning a customer to the selected vehicle. This approach delivers high-quality solutions for large-scale MDVRP instances and demonstrates remarkable generalizability across varying numbers of customers and depots. Its adaptability and performance make it a practical and deployable solution for real-world logistics challenges.

Spatial-temporal Forecasting for Regions without Observations

Spatial-temporal forecasting plays an important role in many real-world applications, such as traffic forecasting, air pollutant forecasting, crowd-flow forecasting, and so on. State-of-the-art spatial-temporal forecasting models take data-driven approaches and rely heavily on data availability. Such models suffer from accuracy issues when data is incomplete, which is common in reality due to the heavy costs of deploying and maintaining sensors for data collection. A few recent studies attempted to address the issue of incomplete data. They typically assume some data availability in a region of interest either for a short period or at a few locations. In this paper, we further study spatial-temporal forecasting for a region of interest without any historical observations, to address scenarios such as unbalanced region development, progressive deployment of sensors or lack of open data. We propose a model named STSM for the task. The model takes a contrastive learning-based approach to learn spatial-temporal patterns from adjacent regions that have recorded data. Our key insight is to learn from the locations that resemble those in the region of interest, and we propose a selective masking strategy to enable the learning. As a result, our model outperforms adapted state-of-the-art models, reducing errors consistently over both traffic and air pollutant forecasting tasks. The source code is available at https://github.com/suzy0223/STSM.

Urban Region Representation Learning with Attentive Fusion

An increasing number of related urban data sources have brought forth novel opportunities for learning urban region representations, i.e., embeddings. The embeddings describe latent features of urban regions and enable discovering similar regions for urban planning applications. Existing methods learn an embedding for a region using every different type of region feature data, and subsequently fuse all learned embeddings of a region to generate a unified region embedding. However, these studies often overlook the significance of the fusion process. The typical fusion methods rely on simple aggregation, such as summation and concatenation, thereby disregarding correlations within the fused region embeddings. To address this limitation, we propose a novel model named HAFusion. Our model is powered by a dual-feature attentive fusion module named DAFusion, which fuses embeddings from different region features to learn higher-order correlations between the regions as well as between the different types of region features. DAFusion is generic - it can be integrated into existing models to enhance their fusion process. Further, motivated by the effective fusion capability of an attentive module, we propose a hybrid attentive feature learning module named HALearning to enhance the embedding learning from each individual type of region features. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate that our model HAFusion outperforms state-of-the-art methods across three different prediction tasks. Using our learned region embedding leads to consistent and up to 31% improvements in the prediction accuracy.

Contrastive Trajectory Similarity Learning with Dual-Feature Attention

Trajectory similarity measures act as query predicates in trajectory databases, making them the key player in determining the query results. They also have a heavy impact on the query efficiency. An ideal measure should have the capability to accurately evaluate the similarity between any two trajectories in a very short amount of time. However, existing heuristic measures are mainly based on pointwise comparisons following hand-crafted rules, thus resulting in either poor quality results or low efficiency in many cases. Although several deep learning-based measures have recently aimed at these problems, their improvements are limited by the difficulties to learn the fine-grained spatial patterns of trajectories. To address these issues, we propose a contrastive learning-based trajectory modelling method named TrajCL, which is robust in application scenarios where the data set contains low-quality trajectories. Specifically, we present four trajectory augmentation methods and a novel dual-feature self-attention-based trajectory backbone encoder. The resultant model can jointly learn both the spatial and the structural patterns of trajectories. Our model does not involve any recurrent structures and thus has a high efficiency. Besides, our pre-trained backbone encoder can be fine-tuned towards other computationally expensive measures with minimal supervision data. Experimental results show that TrajCL is consistently and significantly more accurate and faster than the state-of-the-art trajectory similarity measures. After fine-tuning, i.e., when being used as an estimator for heuristic measures, TrajCL can even outperform the state-of-the-art supervised method by up to 32% in the accuracy for processing trajectory similarity queries.

A Graph and Attentive Multi-Path Convolutional Network for Traffic Prediction

Traffic prediction is an important and yet highly challenging problem due to the complexity and constantly changing nature of traffic systems. To address the challenges, we propose a graph and attentive multi-path convolutional network (GAMCN) model to predict traffic conditions such as traffic speed across a given road network into the future. Our model focuses on the spatial and temporal factors that impact traffic conditions. To model the spatial factors, we propose a variant of the graph convolutional network (GCN) named LPGCN to embed road network graph vertices into a latent space, where vertices with correlated traffic conditions are close to each other. To model the temporal factors, we use a multi-path convolutional neural network (CNN) to learn the joint impact of different combinations of past traffic conditions on the future traffic conditions. Such a joint impact is further modulated by an attention} generated from an embedding of the prediction time, which encodes the periodic patterns of traffic conditions. We evaluate our model on real-world road networks and traffic data. The experimental results show that our model outperforms state-of-art traffic prediction models by up to 18.9% in terms of prediction errors and 23.4% in terms of prediction efficiency.

Intelligent Autonomous Intersection Management

Connected Autonomous Vehicles will make autonomous intersection management a reality replacing traditional traffic signal control. Autonomous intersection management requires time and speed adjustment of vehicles arriving at an intersection for collision-free passing through the intersection. Due to its computational complexity, this problem has been studied only when vehicle arrival times towards the vicinity of the intersection are known beforehand, which limits the applicability of these solutions for real-time deployment. To solve the real-time autonomous traffic intersection management problem, we propose a reinforcement learning (RL) based multiagent architecture and a novel RL algorithm coined multi-discount Q-learning. In multi-discount Q-learning, we introduce a simple yet effective way to solve a Markov Decision Process by preserving both short-term and long-term goals, which is crucial for collision-free speed control. Our empirical results show that our RL-based multiagent solution can achieve near-optimal performance efficiently when minimizing the travel time through an intersection.

Solving Dynamic Graph Problems with Multi-Attention Deep Reinforcement Learning

Graph problems such as traveling salesman problem, or finding minimal Steiner trees are widely studied and used in data engineering and computer science. Typically, in real-world applications, the features of the graph tend to change over time, thus, finding a solution to the problem becomes challenging. The dynamic version of many graph problems are the key for a plethora of real-world problems in transportation, telecommunication, and social networks. In recent years, using deep learning techniques to find heuristic solutions for NP-hard graph combinatorial problems has gained much interest as these learned heuristics can find near-optimal solutions efficiently. However, most of the existing methods for learning heuristics focus on static graph problems. The dynamic nature makes NP-hard graph problems much more challenging to learn, and the existing methods fail to find reasonable solutions. In this paper, we propose a novel architecture named Graph Temporal Attention with Reinforcement Learning (GTA-RL) to learn heuristic solutions for graph-based dynamic combinatorial optimization problems. The GTA-RL architecture consists of an encoder capable of embedding temporal features of a combinatorial problem instance and a decoder capable of dynamically focusing on the embedded features to find a solution to a given combinatorial problem instance. We then extend our architecture to learn heuristics for the real-time version of combinatorial optimization problems where all input features of a problem are not known a prior, but rather learned in real-time. Our experimental results against several state-of-the-art learning-based algorithms and optimal solvers demonstrate that our approach outperforms the state-of-the-art learning-based approaches in terms of effectiveness and optimal solvers in terms of efficiency on dynamic and real-time graph combinatorial optimization.

Dynamic Graph Configuration with Reinforcement Learning for Connected Autonomous Vehicle Trajectories

Traditional traffic optimization solutions assume that the graph structure of road networks is static, missing opportunities for further traffic flow optimization. We are interested in optimizing traffic flows as a new type of graph-based problem, where the graph structure of a road network can adapt to traffic conditions in real time. In particular, we focus on the dynamic configuration of traffic-lane directions, which can help balance the usage of traffic lanes in opposite directions. The rise of connected autonomous vehicles offers an opportunity to apply this type of dynamic traffic optimization at a large scale. The existing techniques for optimizing lane-directions are however not suitable for dynamic traffic environments due to their high computational complexity and the static nature. In this paper, we propose an efficient traffic optimization solution, called Coordinated Learning-based Lane Allocation (CLLA), which is suitable for dynamic configuration of lane-directions. CLLA consists of a two-layer multi-agent architecture, where the bottom-layer agents use a machine learning technique to find a suitable configuration of lane-directions around individual road intersections. The lane-direction changes proposed by the learning agents are then coordinated at a higher level to reduce the negative impact of the changes on other parts of the road network. Our experimental results show that CLLA can reduce the average travel time significantly in congested road networks. We believe our method is general enough to be applied to other types of networks as well.