Power one sequential tests exist for weakly compact $\mathscr P$ against $\mathscr P^c$

Suppose we observe data from a distribution $P$ and we wish to test the composite null hypothesis that $P\in\mathscr P$ against a composite alternative $P\in \mathscr Q\subseteq \mathscr P^c$. Herbert Robbins and coauthors pointed out around 1970 that, while no batch test can have a level $α\in(0,1)$ and power equal to one, sequential tests can be constructed with this fantastic property. Since then, and especially in the last decade, a plethora of sequential tests have been developed for a wide variety of settings. However, the literature has not yet provided a clean and general answer as to when such power-one sequential tests exist. This paper provides a remarkably general sufficient condition (that we also prove is not necessary). Focusing on i.i.d. laws in Polish spaces without any further restriction, we show that there exists a level-$α$ sequential test for any weakly compact $\mathscr P$, that is power-one against $\mathscr P^c$ (or any subset thereof). We show how to aggregate such tests into an $e$-process for $\mathscr P$ that increases to infinity under $\mathscr P^c$. We conclude by building an $e$-process that is asymptotically relatively growth rate optimal against $\mathscr P^c$, an extremely powerful result.

Beyond Descriptions: A Generative Scene2Audio Framework for Blind and Low-Vision Users to Experience Vista Landscapes

Current scene perception tools for Blind and Low Vision (BLV) individuals rely on spoken descriptions but lack engaging representations of visually pleasing distant environmental landscapes (Vista spaces). Our proposed Scene2Audio framework generates comprehensible and enjoyable nonverbal audio using generative models informed by psychoacoustics, and principles of scene audio composition. Through a user study with 11 BLV participants, we found that combining the Scene2Audio sounds with speech creates a better experience than speech alone, as the sound effects complement the speech making the scene easier to imagine. A mobile app "in-the-wild" study with 7 BLV users for more than a week further showed the potential of Scene2Audio in enhancing outdoor scene experiences. Our work bridges the gap between visual and auditory scene perception by moving beyond purely descriptive aids, addressing the aesthetic needs of BLV users.

Navigation beyond Wayfinding: Robots Collaborating with Visually Impaired Users for Environmental Interactions

Robotic guidance systems have shown promise in supporting blind and visually impaired (BVI) individuals with wayfinding and obstacle avoidance. However, most existing systems assume a clear path and do not support a critical aspect of navigation - environmental interactions that require manipulating objects to enable movement. These interactions are challenging for a human-robot pair because they demand (i) precise localization and manipulation of interaction targets (e.g., pressing elevator buttons) and (ii) dynamic coordination between the user's and robot's movements (e.g., pulling out a chair to sit). We present a collaborative human-robot approach that combines our robotic guide dog's precise sensing and localization capabilities with the user's ability to perform physical manipulation. The system alternates between two modes: lead mode, where the robot detects and guides the user to the target, and adaptation mode, where the robot adjusts its motion as the user interacts with the environment (e.g., opening a door). Evaluation results show that our system enables navigation that is safer, smoother, and more efficient than both a traditional white cane and a non-adaptive guiding system, with the performance gap widening as tasks demand higher precision in locating interaction targets. These findings highlight the promise of human-robot collaboration in advancing assistive technologies toward more generalizable and realistic navigation support.

Asymptotically optimal sequential change detection for bounded means

We consider the problem of quickest changepoint detection under the Average Run Length (ARL) constraint where the pre-change and post-change laws lie in composite families $\mathscr{P}$ and $\mathscr{Q}$ respectively. In such a problem, a massive challenge is characterizing the best possible detection delay when the "hardest" pre-change law in $\mathscr{P}$ depends on the unknown post-change law $Q\in\mathscr{Q}$. And typical simple-hypothesis likelihood-ratio arguments for Page-CUSUM and Shiryaev-Roberts do not at all apply here. To that end, we derive a universal sharp lower bound in full generality for any ARL-calibrated changepoint detector in the low type-I error ($γ\to\infty$ regime) of the order $\log(γ)/\mathrm{KL}_{\mathrm{inf}}(Q,\mathscr{P})$. We show achievability of this universal lower bound by proving a tight matching upper bound (with the same sharp $\logγ$ constant) in the important bounded mean detection setting. In addition, for separated mean shifts, we also we derive a uniform minimax guarantee of this achievability over the alternatives.

An Asymptotic Law of the Iterated Logarithm for $\mathrm{KL}_{\inf}$

The population $\mathrm{KL}_{\inf}$ is a fundamental quantity that appears in lower bounds for (asymptotically) optimal regret of pure-exploration stochastic bandit algorithms, and optimal stopping time of sequential tests. Motivated by this, an empirical $\mathrm{KL}_{\inf}$ statistic is frequently used in the design of (asymptotically) optimal bandit algorithms and sequential tests. While nonasymptotic concentration bounds for the empirical $\mathrm{KL}_{\inf}$ have been developed, their optimality in terms of constants and rates is questionable, and their generality is limited (usually to bounded observations). The fundamental limits of nonasymptotic concentration are often described by the asymptotic fluctuations of the statistics. With that motivation, this paper presents a tight (upper and lower) law of the iterated logarithm for empirical $\mathrm{KL}_{\inf}$ applying to extremely general (unbounded) data.

CrediRAG: Network-Augmented Credibility-Based Retrieval for Misinformation Detection in Reddit

Fake news threatens democracy and exacerbates the polarization and divisions in society; therefore, accurately detecting online misinformation is the foundation of addressing this issue. We present CrediRAG, the first fake news detection model that combines language models with access to a rich external political knowledge base with a dense social network to detect fake news across social media at scale. CrediRAG uses a news retriever to initially assign a misinformation score to each post based on the source credibility of similar news articles to the post title content. CrediRAG then improves the initial retrieval estimations through a novel weighted post-to-post network connected based on shared commenters and weighted by the average stance of all shared commenters across every pair of posts. We achieve 11% increase in the F1-score in detecting misinformative posts over state-of-the-art methods. Extensive experiments conducted on curated real-world Reddit data of over 200,000 posts demonstrate the superior performance of CrediRAG on existing baselines. Thus, our approach offers a more accurate and scalable solution to combat the spread of fake news across social media platforms.

News Source Credibility Assessment: A Reddit Case Study

In the era of social media platforms, identifying the credibility of online content is crucial to combat misinformation. We present the CREDiBERT (CREDibility assessment using Bi-directional Encoder Representations from Transformers), a source credibility assessment model fine-tuned for Reddit submissions focusing on political discourse as the main contribution. We adopt a semi-supervised training approach for CREDiBERT, leveraging Reddit's community-based structure. By encoding submission content using CREDiBERT and integrating it into a Siamese neural network, we significantly improve the binary classification of submission credibility, achieving a 9% increase in F1 score compared to existing methods. Additionally, we introduce a new version of the post-to-post network in Reddit that efficiently encodes user interactions to enhance the binary classification task by nearly 8% in F1 score. Finally, we employ CREDiBERT to evaluate the susceptibility of subreddits with respect to different topics.

Annotating sleep states in children from wrist-worn accelerometer data using Machine Learning

Sleep detection and annotation are crucial for researchers to understand sleep patterns, especially in children. With modern wrist-worn watches comprising built-in accelerometers, sleep logs can be collected. However, the annotation of these logs into distinct sleep events: onset and wakeup, proves to be challenging. These annotations must be automated, precise, and scalable. We propose to model the accelerometer data using different machine learning (ML) techniques such as support vectors, boosting, ensemble methods, and more complex approaches involving LSTMs and Region-based CNNs. Later, we aim to evaluate these approaches using the Event Detection Average Precision (EDAP) score (similar to the IOU metric) to eventually compare the predictive power and model performance.

Analysis, Identification and Prediction of Parkinson's disease sub-types and progression through Machine Learning

Parkinson's disease (PD) is a prevalent neurodegenerative disorder with varying patient trajectories, yet little is understood about the underlying causes and symptom progression. The Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) has collected comprehensive longitudinal data from diverse patient cohorts to identify biomarkers and aid in the development of interventions. Despite over 110 machine learning studies using the PPMI database, the majority have focused on supervised models for diagnosis prediction, which has limited impact on understanding patient variability and progression. This paper addresses this gap by combining supervised and unsupervised machine learning methods to identify subtypes that accurately predict disease progression in Parkinson's patients. Building upon previous work, we replicate and extend the study by integrating unsupervised patient clustering and prediction of present and future symptoms using 5 additional years of longitudinal data from the Progressive Parkinson's Markers Initiative (PPMI) database. Our findings demonstrate accurate prediction of disease trajectories and symptoms at baseline, offering valuable insights into patient heterogeneity and the potential for personalized interventions. The integration of supervised and unsupervised models presents a promising avenue for uncovering latent subgroups and understanding the complexity of Parkinson's disease progression.

On Evaluating and Comparing Conversational Agents

Conversational agents are exploding in popularity. However, much work remains in the area of non goal-oriented conversations, despite significant growth in research interest over recent years. To advance the state of the art in conversational AI, Amazon launched the Alexa Prize, a 2.5-million dollar university competition where sixteen selected university teams built conversational agents to deliver the best social conversational experience. Alexa Prize provided the academic community with the unique opportunity to perform research with a live system used by millions of users. The subjectivity associated with evaluating conversations is key element underlying the challenge of building non-goal oriented dialogue systems. In this paper, we propose a comprehensive evaluation strategy with multiple metrics designed to reduce subjectivity by selecting metrics which correlate well with human judgement. The proposed metrics provide granular analysis of the conversational agents, which is not captured in human ratings. We show that these metrics can be used as a reasonable proxy for human judgment. We provide a mechanism to unify the metrics for selecting the top performing agents, which has also been applied throughout the Alexa Prize competition. To our knowledge, to date it is the largest setting for evaluating agents with millions of conversations and hundreds of thousands of ratings from users. We believe that this work is a step towards an automatic evaluation process for conversational AIs.