Disease Outbreak Detection and Forecasting: A Review of Methods and Data Sources

Infectious diseases occur when pathogens from other individuals or animals infect a person, resulting in harm to both individuals and society as a whole. The outbreak of such diseases can pose a significant threat to human health. However, early detection and tracking of these outbreaks have the potential to reduce the mortality impact. To address these threats, public health authorities have endeavored to establish comprehensive mechanisms for collecting disease data. Many countries have implemented infectious disease surveillance systems, with the detection of epidemics being a primary objective. The clinical healthcare system, local/state health agencies, federal agencies, academic/professional groups, and collaborating governmental entities all play pivotal roles within this system. Moreover, nowadays, search engines and social media platforms can serve as valuable tools for monitoring disease trends. The Internet and social media have become significant platforms where users share information about their preferences and relationships. This real-time information can be harnessed to gauge the influence of ideas and societal opinions, making it highly useful across various domains and research areas, such as marketing campaigns, financial predictions, and public health, among others. This article provides a review of the existing standard methods developed by researchers for detecting outbreaks using time series data. These methods leverage various data sources, including conventional data sources and social media data or Internet data sources. The review particularly concentrates on works published within the timeframe of 2015 to 2022.

A Survey on Graph Representation Learning Methods

Graphs representation learning has been a very active research area in recent years. The goal of graph representation learning is to generate graph representation vectors that capture the structure and features of large graphs accurately. This is especially important because the quality of the graph representation vectors will affect the performance of these vectors in downstream tasks such as node classification, link prediction and anomaly detection. Many techniques are proposed for generating effective graph representation vectors. Two of the most prevalent categories of graph representation learning are graph embedding methods without using graph neural nets (GNN), which we denote as non-GNN based graph embedding methods, and graph neural nets (GNN) based methods. Non-GNN graph embedding methods are based on techniques such as random walks, temporal point processes and neural network learning methods. GNN-based methods, on the other hand, are the application of deep learning on graph data. In this survey, we provide an overview of these two categories and cover the current state-of-the-art methods for both static and dynamic graphs. Finally, we explore some open and ongoing research directions for future work.

Extending Isolation Forest for Anomaly Detection in Big Data via K-Means

Industrial Information Technology (IT) infrastructures are often vulnerable to cyberattacks. To ensure security to the computer systems in an industrial environment, it is required to build effective intrusion detection systems to monitor the cyber-physical systems (e.g., computer networks) in the industry for malicious activities. This paper aims to build such intrusion detection systems to protect the computer networks from cyberattacks. More specifically, we propose a novel unsupervised machine learning approach that combines the K-Means algorithm with the Isolation Forest for anomaly detection in industrial big data scenarios. Since our objective is to build the intrusion detection system for the big data scenario in the industrial domain, we utilize the Apache Spark framework to implement our proposed model which was trained in large network traffic data (about 123 million instances of network traffic) stored in Elasticsearch. Moreover, we evaluate our proposed model on the live streaming data and find that our proposed system can be used for real-time anomaly detection in the industrial setup. In addition, we address different challenges that we face while training our model on large datasets and explicitly describe how these issues were resolved. Based on our empirical evaluation in different use-cases for anomaly detection in real-world network traffic data, we observe that our proposed system is effective to detect anomalies in big data scenarios. Finally, we evaluate our proposed model on several academic datasets to compare with other models and find that it provides comparable performance with other state-of-the-art approaches.

Elastic Bulk Synchronous Parallel Model for Distributed Deep Learning

The bulk synchronous parallel (BSP) is a celebrated synchronization model for general-purpose parallel computing that has successfully been employed for distributed training of machine learning models. A prevalent shortcoming of the BSP is that it requires workers to wait for the straggler at every iteration. To ameliorate this shortcoming of classic BSP, we propose ELASTICBSP a model that aims to relax its strict synchronization requirement. The proposed model offers more flexibility and adaptability during the training phase, without sacrificing on the accuracy of the trained model. We also propose an efficient method that materializes the model, named ZIPLINE. The algorithm is tunable and can effectively balance the trade-off between quality of convergence and iteration throughput, in order to accommodate different environments or applications. A thorough experimental evaluation demonstrates that our proposed ELASTICBSP model converges faster and to a higher accuracy than the classic BSP. It also achieves comparable (if not higher) accuracy than the other sensible synchronization models.

Learning to Determine the Quality of News Headlines

Today, most newsreaders read the online version of news articles rather than traditional paper-based newspapers. Also, news media publishers rely heavily on the income generated from subscriptions and website visits made by newsreaders. Thus, online user engagement is a very important issue for online newspapers. Much effort has been spent on writing interesting headlines to catch the attention of online users. On the other hand, headlines should not be misleading (e.g., clickbaits); otherwise, readers would be disappointed when reading the content. In this paper, we propose four indicators to determine the quality of published news headlines based on their click count and dwell time, which are obtained by website log analysis. Then, we use soft target distribution of the calculated quality indicators to train our proposed deep learning model which can predict the quality of unpublished news headlines. The proposed model not only processes the latent features of both headline and body of the article to predict its headline quality but also considers the semantic relation between headline and body as well. To evaluate our model, we use a real dataset from a major Canadian newspaper. Results show our proposed model outperforms other state-of-the-art NLP models.

Dynamic Graph Embedding via LSTM History Tracking

Many real world networks are very large and constantly change over time. These dynamic networks exist in various domains such as social networks, traffic networks and biological interactions. To handle large dynamic networks in downstream applications such as link prediction and anomaly detection, it is essential for such networks to be transferred into a low dimensional space. Recently, network embedding, a technique that converts a large graph into a low-dimensional representation, has become increasingly popular due to its strength in preserving the structure of a network. Efficient dynamic network embedding, however, has not yet been fully explored. In this paper, we present a dynamic network embedding method that integrates the history of nodes over time into the current state of nodes. The key contribution of our work is 1) generating dynamic network embedding by combining both dynamic and static node information 2) tracking history of neighbors of nodes using LSTM 3) significantly decreasing the time and memory by training an autoencoder LSTM model using temporal walks rather than adjacency matrices of graphs which are the common practice. We evaluate our method in multiple applications such as anomaly detection, link prediction and node classification in datasets from various domains.

Dynamic Joint Variational Graph Autoencoders

Learning network representations is a fundamental task for many graph applications such as link prediction, node classification, graph clustering, and graph visualization. Many real-world networks are interpreted as dynamic networks and evolve over time. Most existing graph embedding algorithms were developed for static graphs mainly and cannot capture the evolution of a large dynamic network. In this paper, we propose Dynamic joint Variational Graph Autoencoders (Dyn-VGAE) that can learn both local structures and temporal evolutionary patterns in a dynamic network. Dyn-VGAE provides a joint learning framework for computing temporal representations of all graph snapshots simultaneously. Each auto-encoder embeds a graph snapshot based on its local structure and can also learn temporal dependencies by collaborating with other autoencoders. We conduct experimental studies on dynamic real-world graph datasets and the results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Dynamic Stale Synchronous Parallel Distributed Training for Deep Learning

Deep learning is a popular machine learning technique and has been applied to many real-world problems. However, training a deep neural network is very time-consuming, especially on big data. It has become difficult for a single machine to train a large model over large datasets. A popular solution is to distribute and parallelize the training process across multiple machines using the parameter server framework. In this paper, we present a distributed paradigm on the parameter server framework called Dynamic Stale Synchronous Parallel (DSSP) which improves the state-of-the-art Stale Synchronous Parallel (SSP) paradigm by dynamically determining the staleness threshold at the run time. Conventionally to run distributed training in SSP, the user needs to specify a particular staleness threshold as a hyper-parameter. However, a user does not usually know how to set the threshold and thus often finds a threshold value through trial and error, which is time-consuming. Based on workers' recent processing time, our approach DSSP adaptively adjusts the threshold per iteration at running time to reduce the waiting time of faster workers for synchronization of the globally shared parameters, and consequently increases the frequency of parameters updates (increases iteration throughput), which speedups the convergence rate. We compare DSSP with other paradigms such as Bulk Synchronous Parallel (BSP), Asynchronous Parallel (ASP), and SSP by running deep neural networks (DNN) models over GPU clusters in both homogeneous and heterogeneous environments. The results show that in a heterogeneous environment where the cluster consists of mixed models of GPUs, DSSP converges to a higher accuracy much earlier than SSP and BSP and performs similarly to ASP. In a homogeneous distributed cluster, DSSP has more stable and slightly better performance than SSP and ASP, and converges much faster than BSP.

dynnode2vec: Scalable Dynamic Network Embedding

Network representation learning in low dimensional vector space has attracted considerable attention in both academic and industrial domains. Most real-world networks are dynamic with addition/deletion of nodes and edges. The existing graph embedding methods are designed for static networks and they cannot capture evolving patterns in a large dynamic network. In this paper, we propose a dynamic embedding method, dynnode2vec, based on the well-known graph embedding method node2vec. Node2vec is a random walk based embedding method for static networks. Applying static network embedding in dynamic settings has two crucial problems: 1) Generating random walks for every time step is time consuming 2) Embedding vector spaces in each timestamp are different. In order to tackle these challenges, dynnode2vec uses evolving random walks and initializes the current graph embedding with previous embedding vectors. We demonstrate the advantages of the proposed dynamic network embedding by conducting empirical evaluations on several large dynamic network datasets.

Using Neural Network for Identifying Clickbaits in Online News Media

Online news media sometimes use misleading headlines to lure users to open the news article. These catchy headlines that attract users but disappointed them at the end, are called Clickbaits. Because of the importance of automatic clickbait detection in online medias, lots of machine learning methods were proposed and employed to find the clickbait headlines. In this research, a model using deep learning methods is proposed to find the clickbaits in Clickbait Challenge 2017's dataset. The proposed model gained the first rank in the Clickbait Challenge 2017 in terms of Mean Squared Error. Also, data analytics and visualization techniques are employed to explore and discover the provided dataset to get more insight from the data.