Navigating the Maze of Explainable AI: A Systematic Approach to Evaluating Methods and Metrics

Explainable AI (XAI) is a rapidly growing domain with a myriad of proposed methods as well as metrics aiming to evaluate their efficacy. However, current studies are often of limited scope, examining only a handful of XAI methods and ignoring underlying design parameters for performance, such as the model architecture or the nature of input data. Moreover, they often rely on one or a few metrics and neglect thorough validation, increasing the risk of selection bias and ignoring discrepancies among metrics. These shortcomings leave practitioners confused about which method to choose for their problem. In response, we introduce LATEC, a large-scale benchmark that critically evaluates 17 prominent XAI methods using 20 distinct metrics. We systematically incorporate vital design parameters like varied architectures and diverse input modalities, resulting in 7,560 examined combinations. Through LATEC, we showcase the high risk of conflicting metrics leading to unreliable rankings and consequently propose a more robust evaluation scheme. Further, we comprehensively evaluate various XAI methods to assist practitioners in selecting appropriate methods aligning with their needs. Curiously, the emerging top-performing method, Expected Gradients, is not examined in any relevant related study. LATEC reinforces its role in future XAI research by publicly releasing all 326k saliency maps and 378k metric scores as a (meta-)evaluation dataset.

Interactive dense pixel visualizations for time series and model attribution explanations

The field of Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) for Deep Neural Network models has developed significantly, offering numerous techniques to extract explanations from models. However, evaluating explanations is often not trivial, and differences in applied metrics can be subtle, especially with non-intelligible data. Thus, there is a need for visualizations tailored to explore explanations for domains with such data, e.g., time series. We propose DAVOTS, an interactive visual analytics approach to explore raw time series data, activations of neural networks, and attributions in a dense-pixel visualization to gain insights into the data, models' decisions, and explanations. To further support users in exploring large datasets, we apply clustering approaches to the visualized data domains to highlight groups and present ordering strategies for individual and combined data exploration to facilitate finding patterns. We visualize a CNN trained on the FordA dataset to demonstrate the approach.

Interactive Counterfactual Generation for Univariate Time Series

We propose an interactive methodology for generating counterfactual explanations for univariate time series data in classification tasks by leveraging 2D projections and decision boundary maps to tackle interpretability challenges. Our approach aims to enhance the transparency and understanding of deep learning models' decision processes. The application simplifies the time series data analysis by enabling users to interactively manipulate projected data points, providing intuitive insights through inverse projection techniques. By abstracting user interactions with the projected data points rather than the raw time series data, our method facilitates an intuitive generation of counterfactual explanations. This approach allows for a more straightforward exploration of univariate time series data, enabling users to manipulate data points to comprehend potential outcomes of hypothetical scenarios. We validate this method using the ECG5000 benchmark dataset, demonstrating significant improvements in interpretability and user understanding of time series classification. The results indicate a promising direction for enhancing explainable AI, with potential applications in various domains requiring transparent and interpretable deep learning models. Future work will explore the scalability of this method to multivariate time series data and its integration with other interpretability techniques.

Finding the DeepDream for Time Series: Activation Maximization for Univariate Time Series

Understanding how models process and interpret time series data remains a significant challenge in deep learning to enable applicability in safety-critical areas such as healthcare. In this paper, we introduce Sequence Dreaming, a technique that adapts Activation Maximization to analyze sequential information, aiming to enhance the interpretability of neural networks operating on univariate time series. By leveraging this method, we visualize the temporal dynamics and patterns most influential in model decision-making processes. To counteract the generation of unrealistic or excessively noisy sequences, we enhance Sequence Dreaming with a range of regularization techniques, including exponential smoothing. This approach ensures the production of sequences that more accurately reflect the critical features identified by the neural network. Our approach is tested on a time series classification dataset encompassing applications in predictive maintenance. The results show that our proposed Sequence Dreaming approach demonstrates targeted activation maximization for different use cases so that either centered class or border activation maximization can be generated. The results underscore the versatility of Sequence Dreaming in uncovering salient temporal features learned by neural networks, thereby advancing model transparency and trustworthiness in decision-critical domains.

Introducing the Attribution Stability Indicator: a Measure for Time Series XAI Attributions

Given the increasing amount and general complexity of time series data in domains such as finance, weather forecasting, and healthcare, there is a growing need for state-of-the-art performance models that can provide interpretable insights into underlying patterns and relationships. Attribution techniques enable the extraction of explanations from time series models to gain insights but are hard to evaluate for their robustness and trustworthiness. We propose the Attribution Stability Indicator (ASI), a measure to incorporate robustness and trustworthiness as properties of attribution techniques for time series into account. We extend a perturbation analysis with correlations of the original time series to the perturbed instance and the attributions to include wanted properties in the measure. We demonstrate the wanted properties based on an analysis of the attributions in a dimension-reduced space and the ASI scores distribution over three whole time series classification datasets.

Visual Explanations with Attributions and Counterfactuals on Time Series Classification

With the rising necessity of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), we see an increase in task-dependent XAI methods on varying abstraction levels. XAI techniques on a global level explain model behavior and on a local level explain sample predictions. We propose a visual analytics workflow to support seamless transitions between global and local explanations, focusing on attributions and counterfactuals on time series classification. In particular, we adapt local XAI techniques (attributions) that are developed for traditional datasets (images, text) to analyze time series classification, a data type that is typically less intelligible to humans. To generate a global overview, we apply local attribution methods to the data, creating explanations for the whole dataset. These explanations are projected onto two dimensions, depicting model behavior trends, strategies, and decision boundaries. To further inspect the model decision-making as well as potential data errors, a what-if analysis facilitates hypothesis generation and verification on both the global and local levels. We constantly collected and incorporated expert user feedback, as well as insights based on their domain knowledge, resulting in a tailored analysis workflow and system that tightly integrates time series transformations into explanations. Lastly, we present three use cases, verifying that our technique enables users to (1)~explore data transformations and feature relevance, (2)~identify model behavior and decision boundaries, as well as, (3)~the reason for misclassifications.

A Deep Dive into Perturbations as Evaluation Technique for Time Series XAI

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) has gained significant attention recently as the demand for transparency and interpretability of machine learning models has increased. In particular, XAI for time series data has become increasingly important in finance, healthcare, and climate science. However, evaluating the quality of explanations, such as attributions provided by XAI techniques, remains challenging. This paper provides an in-depth analysis of using perturbations to evaluate attributions extracted from time series models. A perturbation analysis involves systematically modifying the input data and evaluating the impact on the attributions generated by the XAI method. We apply this approach to several state-of-the-art XAI techniques and evaluate their performance on three time series classification datasets. Our results demonstrate that the perturbation analysis approach can effectively evaluate the quality of attributions and provide insights into the strengths and limitations of XAI techniques. Such an approach can guide the selection of XAI methods for time series data, e.g., focusing on return time rather than precision, and facilitate the development of more reliable and interpretable machine learning models for time series analysis.

ViNNPruner: Visual Interactive Pruning for Deep Learning

Neural networks grow vastly in size to tackle more sophisticated tasks. In many cases, such large networks are not deployable on particular hardware and need to be reduced in size. Pruning techniques help to shrink deep neural networks to smaller sizes by only decreasing their performance as little as possible. However, such pruning algorithms are often hard to understand by applying them and do not include domain knowledge which can potentially be bad for user goals. We propose ViNNPruner, a visual interactive pruning application that implements state-of-the-art pruning algorithms and the option for users to do manual pruning based on their knowledge. We show how the application facilitates gaining insights into automatic pruning algorithms and semi-automatically pruning oversized networks to make them more efficient using interactive visualizations.

Time Series Model Attribution Visualizations as Explanations

Attributions are a common local explanation technique for deep learning models on single samples as they are easily extractable and demonstrate the relevance of input values. In many cases, heatmaps visualize such attributions for samples, for instance, on images. However, heatmaps are not always the ideal visualization to explain certain model decisions for other data types. In this review, we focus on attribution visualizations for time series. We collect attribution heatmap visualizations and some alternatives, discuss the advantages as well as disadvantages and give a short position towards future opportunities for attributions and explanations for time series.

TS-MULE: Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations for Time Series Forecast Models

Time series forecasting is a demanding task ranging from weather to failure forecasting with black-box models achieving state-of-the-art performances. However, understanding and debugging are not guaranteed. We propose TS-MULE, a local surrogate model explanation method specialized for time series extending the LIME approach. Our extended LIME works with various ways to segment and perturb the time series data. In our extension, we present six sampling segmentation approaches for time series to improve the quality of surrogate attributions and demonstrate their performances on three deep learning model architectures and three common multivariate time series datasets.