Variational Deep Survival Machines: Survival Regression with Censored Outcomes

Survival regression aims to predict the time when an event of interest will take place, typically a death or a failure. A fully parametric method [18] is proposed to estimate the survival function as a mixture of individual parametric distributions in the presence of censoring. In this paper, We present a novel method to predict the survival time by better clustering the survival data and combine primitive distributions. We propose two variants of variational auto-encoder (VAE), discrete and continuous, to generate the latent variables for clustering input covariates. The model is trained end to end by jointly optimizing the VAE loss and regression loss. Thorough experiments on dataset SUPPORT and FLCHAIN show that our method can effectively improve the clustering result and reach competitive scores with previous methods. We demonstrate the superior result of our model prediction in the long-term. Our code is available at https://github.com/qinzzz/auton-survival-785.

Poisoning Attacks on Federated Learning-based Wireless Traffic Prediction

Federated Learning (FL) offers a distributed framework to train a global control model across multiple base stations without compromising the privacy of their local network data. This makes it ideal for applications like wireless traffic prediction (WTP), which plays a crucial role in optimizing network resources, enabling proactive traffic flow management, and enhancing the reliability of downstream communication-aided applications, such as IoT devices, autonomous vehicles, and industrial automation systems. Despite its promise, the security aspects of FL-based distributed wireless systems, particularly in regression-based WTP problems, remain inadequately investigated. In this paper, we introduce a novel fake traffic injection (FTI) attack, designed to undermine the FL-based WTP system by injecting fabricated traffic distributions with minimal knowledge. We further propose a defense mechanism, termed global-local inconsistency detection (GLID), which strategically removes abnormal model parameters that deviate beyond a specific percentile range estimated through statistical methods in each dimension. Extensive experimental evaluations, performed on real-world wireless traffic datasets, demonstrate that both our attack and defense strategies significantly outperform existing baselines.