Building Real-time Awareness of Out-of-distribution in Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Vehicles

Trajectory prediction describes the motions of surrounding moving obstacles for an autonomous vehicle; it plays a crucial role in enabling timely decision-making, such as collision avoidance and trajectory replanning. Accurate trajectory planning is the key to reliable vehicle deployments in open-world environment, where unstructured obstacles bring in uncertainties that are impossible to fully capture by training data. For traditional machine learning tasks, such uncertainties are often addressed reasonably well via methods such as continual learning. On the one hand, naively applying those methods to trajectory prediction can result in continuous data collection and frequent model updates, which can be resource-intensive. On the other hand, the predicted trajectories can be far away from the true trajectories, leading to unsafe decision-making. In this paper, we aim to establish real-time awareness of out-of-distribution in trajectory prediction for autonomous vehicles. We focus on the challenging and practically relevant setting where the out-of-distribution is deceptive, that is, the one not easily detectable by human intuition. Drawing on the well-established techniques of sequential analysis, we build real-time awareness of out-of-distribution by monitoring prediction errors using the quickest change point detection (QCD). Our solutions are lightweight and can handle the occurrence of out-of-distribution at any time during trajectory prediction inference. Experimental results on multiple real-world datasets using a benchmark trajectory prediction model demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods.

StressNet: Deep Learning to Predict Stress With Fracture Propagation in Brittle Materials

Catastrophic failure in brittle materials is often due to the rapid growth and coalescence of cracks aided by high internal stresses. Hence, accurate prediction of maximum internal stress is critical to predicting time to failure and improving the fracture resistance and reliability of materials. Existing high-fidelity methods, such as the Finite-Discrete Element Model (FDEM), are limited by their high computational cost. Therefore, to reduce computational cost while preserving accuracy, a novel deep learning model, "StressNet," is proposed to predict the entire sequence of maximum internal stress based on fracture propagation and the initial stress data. More specifically, the Temporal Independent Convolutional Neural Network (TI-CNN) is designed to capture the spatial features of fractures like fracture path and spall regions, and the Bidirectional Long Short-term Memory (Bi-LSTM) Network is adapted to capture the temporal features. By fusing these features, the evolution in time of the maximum internal stress can be accurately predicted. Moreover, an adaptive loss function is designed by dynamically integrating the Mean Squared Error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), to reflect the fluctuations in maximum internal stress. After training, the proposed model is able to compute accurate multi-step predictions of maximum internal stress in approximately 20 seconds, as compared to the FDEM run time of 4 hours, with an average MAPE of 2% relative to test data.

CPAC-Conv: CP-decomposition to Approximately Compress Convolutional Layers in Deep Learning

Feature extraction for tensor data serves as an important step in many tasks such as anomaly detection, process monitoring, image classification, and quality control. Although many methods have been proposed for tensor feature extraction, there are still two challenges that need to be addressed: 1) how to reduce the computation cost for high dimensional and large volume tensor data; 2) how to interpret the output features and evaluate their significance. Although the most recent methods in deep learning, such as Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), have shown outstanding performance in analyzing tensor data, their wide adoption is still hindered by model complexity and lack of interpretability. To fill this research gap, we propose to use CP-decomposition to approximately compress the convolutional layer (CPAC-Conv layer) in deep learning. The contributions of our work could be summarized into three aspects: 1) we adapt CP-decomposition to compress convolutional kernels and derive the expressions of both forward and backward propagations for our proposed CPAC-Conv layer; 2) compared with the original convolutional layer, the proposed CPAC-Conv layer can reduce the number of parameters without decaying prediction performance. It can combine with other layers to build novel Neural Networks; 3) the value of decomposed kernels indicates the significance of the corresponding feature map, which increases model interpretability and provides us insights to guide feature selection.

Knowledge Concentration: Learning 100K Object Classifiers in a Single CNN

Fine-grained image labels are desirable for many computer vision applications, such as visual search or mobile AI assistant. These applications rely on image classification models that can produce hundreds of thousands (e.g. 100K) of diversified fine-grained image labels on input images. However, training a network at this vocabulary scale is challenging, and suffers from intolerable large model size and slow training speed, which leads to unsatisfying classification performance. A straightforward solution would be training separate expert networks (specialists), with each specialist focusing on learning one specific vertical (e.g. cars, birds...). However, deploying dozens of expert networks in a practical system would significantly increase system complexity and inference latency, and consumes large amounts of computational resources. To address these challenges, we propose a Knowledge Concentration method, which effectively transfers the knowledge from dozens of specialists (multiple teacher networks) into one single model (one student network) to classify 100K object categories. There are three salient aspects in our method: (1) a multi-teacher single-student knowledge distillation framework; (2) a self-paced learning mechanism to allow the student to learn from different teachers at various paces; (3) structurally connected layers to expand the student network capacity with limited extra parameters. We validate our method on OpenImage and a newly collected dataset, Entity-Foto-Tree (EFT), with 100K categories, and show that the proposed model performs significantly better than the baseline generalist model.