Error Decomposition for Hybrid Localization Systems

Future advanced driver assistance systems and autonomous vehicles rely on accurate localization, which can be divided into three classes: a) viewpoint localization about local references (e.g., via vision-based localization), b) absolute localization about a global reference system (e.g., via satellite navigation), and c) hybrid localization, which presents a combination of the former two. Hybrid localization shares characteristics and strengths of both absolute and viewpoint localization. However, new sources of error, such as inaccurate sensor-setup calibration, complement the potential errors of the respective sub-systems. Therefore, this paper introduces a general approach to analyzing error sources in hybrid localization systems. More specifically, we propose the Kappa-Phi method, which allows for the decomposition of localization errors into individual components, i.e., into a sum of parameterized functions of the measured state (e.g., agent kinematics). The error components can then be leveraged to, e.g., improve localization predictions, correct map data, or calibrate sensor setups. Theoretical derivations and evaluations show that the algorithm presents a promising approach to improve hybrid localization and counter the weaknesses of the system's individual components.

Human-Based Risk Model for Improved Driver Support in Interactive Driving Scenarios

This paper addresses the problem of human-based driver support. Nowadays, driver support systems help users to operate safely in many driving situations. Nevertheless, these systems do not fully use the rich information that is available from sensing the human driver. In this paper, we therefore present a human-based risk model that uses driver information for improved driver support. In contrast to state of the art, our proposed risk model combines a) the current driver perception based on driver errors, such as the driver overlooking another vehicle (i.e., notice error), and b) driver personalization, such as the driver being defensive or confident. In extensive simulations of multiple interactive driving scenarios, we show that our novel human-based risk model achieves earlier warning times and reduced warning errors compared to a baseline risk model not using human driver information.

Towards Probabilistic Clearance, Explanation and Optimization

Employing Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) beyond visual line of sight (BVLOS) is an endearing and challenging task. While UAS have the potential to significantly enhance today's logistics and emergency response capabilities, unmanned flying objects above the heads of unprotected pedestrians induce similarly significant safety risks. In this work, we make strides towards improved safety and legal compliance in applying UAS in two ways. First, we demonstrate navigation within the Probabilistic Mission Design (ProMis) framework. To this end, our approach translates Probabilistic Mission Landscapes (PML) into a navigation graph and derives a cost from the probability of complying with all underlying constraints. Second, we introduce the clearance, explanation, and optimization (CEO) cycle on top of ProMis by leveraging the declaratively encoded domain knowledge, legal requirements, and safety assertions to guide the mission design process. Based on inaccurate, crowd-sourced map data and a synthetic scenario, we illustrate the application and utility of our methods in UAS navigation.

Mission Design for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles using Hybrid Probabilistic Logic Program

Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) is a growing field that demands a deep understanding of legal, spatial and temporal concepts in navigation. Hence, any implementation of AAM is forced to deal with the inherent uncertainties of human-inhabited spaces. Enabling growth and innovation requires the creation of a system for safe and robust mission design, i.e., the way we formalize intentions and decide their execution as trajectories for the Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV). Although legal frameworks have emerged to govern urban air spaces, their full integration into the decision process of autonomous agents and operators remains an open task. In this work we present ProMis, a system architecture for probabilistic mission design. It links the data available from various static and dynamic data sources with legal text and operator requirements by following principles of formal verification and probabilistic modeling. Hereby, ProMis enables the combination of low-level perception and high-level rules in AAM to infer validity over the UAV's state-space. To this end, we employ Hybrid Probabilistic Logic Programs (HPLP) as a unifying, intermediate representation between perception and action-taking. Furthermore, we present methods to connect ProMis with crowd-sourced map data by generating HPLP atoms that represent spatial relations in a probabilistic fashion. Our claims of the utility and generality of ProMis are supported by experiments on a diverse set of scenarios and a discussion of the computational demands associated with probabilistic missions.

Online and Predictive Warning System for Forced Lane Changes using Risk Maps

The survival analysis of driving trajectories allows for holistic evaluations of car-related risks caused by collisions or curvy roads. This analysis has advantages over common Time-To-X indicators, such as its predictive and probabilistic nature. However, so far, the theoretical risks have not been demonstrated in real-world environments. In this paper, we therefore present Risk Maps (RM) for online warning support in situations with forced lane changes, due to the end of roads. For this purpose, we first unify sensor data in a Relational Local Dynamic Map (R-LDM). RM is afterwards able to be run in real-time and efficiently probes a range of situations in order to determine risk-minimizing behaviors. Hereby, we focus on the improvement of uncertainty-awareness and transparency of the system. Risk, utility and comfort costs are included in a single formula and are intuitively visualized to the driver. In the conducted experiments, a low-cost sensor setup with a GNSS receiver for localization and multiple cameras for object detection are leveraged. The final system is successfully applied on two-lane roads and recommends lane change advices, which are separated in gap and no-gap indications. These results are promising and present an important step towards interpretable safety.

Proactive Risk Navigation System for Real-World Urban Intersections

We consider the problem of intelligently navigating through complex traffic. Urban situations are defined by the underlying map structure and special regulatory objects of e.g. a stop line or crosswalk. Thereon dynamic vehicles (cars, bicycles, etc.) move forward, while trying to keep accident risks low. Especially at intersections, the combination and interaction of traffic elements is diverse and human drivers need to focus on specific elements which are critical for their behavior. To support the analysis, we present in this paper the so-called Risk Navigation System (RNS). RNS leverages a graph-based local dynamic map with Time-To-X indicators for extracting upcoming sharp curves, intersection zones and possible vehicle-to-object collision points. In real car recordings, recommended velocity profiles to avoid risks are visualized within a 2D environment. By focusing on communicating not only the positional but also the temporal relation, RNS potentially helps to enhance awareness and prediction capabilities of the user.

Intersection Warning System for Occlusion Risks using Relational Local Dynamic Maps

This work addresses the task of risk evaluation in traffic scenarios with limited observability due to restricted sensorial coverage. Here, we concentrate on intersection scenarios that are difficult to access visually. To identify the area of sight, we employ ray casting on a local dynamic map providing geometrical information and road infrastructure. Based on the area with reduced visibility, we first model scene entities that pose a potential risk without being visually perceivable yet. Then, we predict a worst-case trajectory in the survival analysis for collision risk estimation. Resulting risk indicators are utilized to evaluate the driver's current behavior, to warn the driver in critical situations, to give suggestions on how to act safely or to plan safe trajectories. We validate our approach by applying the resulting intersection warning system on real world scenarios. The proposed system's behavior reveals to mimic the general behavior of a correctly acting human driver.

Importance Filtering with Risk Models for Complex Driving Situations

Self-driving cars face complex driving situations with a large amount of agents when moving in crowded cities. However, some of the agents are actually not influencing the behavior of the self-driving car. Filtering out unimportant agents would inherently simplify the behavior or motion planning task for the system. The planning system can then focus on fewer agents to find optimal behavior solutions for the ego~agent. This is helpful especially in terms of computational efficiency. In this paper, therefore, the research topic of importance filtering with driving risk models is introduced. We give an overview of state-of-the-art risk models and present newly adapted risk models for filtering. Their capability to filter out surrounding unimportant agents is compared in a large-scale experiment. As it turns out, the novel trajectory distance balances performance, robustness and efficiency well. Based on the results, we can further derive a novel filter architecture with multiple filter steps, for which risk models are recommended for each step, to further improve the robustness. We are confident that this will enable current behavior planning systems to better solve complex situations in everyday driving.