Fine-Grained Dynamic Framework for Bias-Variance Joint Optimization on Data Missing Not at Random

In most practical applications such as recommendation systems, display advertising, and so forth, the collected data often contains missing values and those missing values are generally missing-not-at-random, which deteriorates the prediction performance of models. Some existing estimators and regularizers attempt to achieve unbiased estimation to improve the predictive performance. However, variances and generalization bound of these methods are generally unbounded when the propensity scores tend to zero, compromising their stability and robustness. In this paper, we first theoretically reveal that limitations of regularization techniques. Besides, we further illustrate that, for more general estimators, unbiasedness will inevitably lead to unbounded variance. These general laws inspire us that the estimator designs is not merely about eliminating bias, reducing variance, or simply achieve a bias-variance trade-off. Instead, it involves a quantitative joint optimization of bias and variance. Then, we develop a systematic fine-grained dynamic learning framework to jointly optimize bias and variance, which adaptively selects an appropriate estimator for each user-item pair according to the predefined objective function. With this operation, the generalization bounds and variances of models are reduced and bounded with theoretical guarantees. Extensive experiments are conducted to verify the theoretical results and the effectiveness of the proposed dynamic learning framework.

Towards Open-world Cross-Domain Sequential Recommendation: A Model-Agnostic Contrastive Denoising Approach

Cross-domain sequential recommendation (CDSR) aims to address the data sparsity problems that exist in traditional sequential recommendation (SR) systems. The existing approaches aim to design a specific cross-domain unit that can transfer and propagate information across multiple domains by relying on overlapping users with abundant behaviors. However, in real-world recommender systems, CDSR scenarios usually consist of a majority of long-tailed users with sparse behaviors and cold-start users who only exist in one domain. This leads to a drop in the performance of existing CDSR methods in the real-world industry platform. Therefore, improving the consistency and effectiveness of models in open-world CDSR scenarios is crucial for constructing CDSR models (\textit{1st} CH). Recently, some SR approaches have utilized auxiliary behaviors to complement the information for long-tailed users. However, these multi-behavior SR methods cannot deliver promising performance in CDSR, as they overlook the semantic gap between target and auxiliary behaviors, as well as user interest deviation across domains (\textit{2nd} CH).

Adaptive Pattern Extraction Multi-Task Learning for Multi-Step Conversion Estimations

Multi-task learning (MTL) has been successfully used in many real-world applications, which aims to simultaneously solve multiple tasks with a single model. The general idea of multi-task learning is designing kinds of global parameter sharing mechanism and task-specific feature extractor to improve the performance of all tasks. However, challenge still remains in balancing the trade-off of various tasks since model performance is sensitive to the relationships between them. Less correlated or even conflict tasks will deteriorate the performance by introducing unhelpful or negative information. Therefore, it is important to efficiently exploit and learn fine-grained feature representation corresponding to each task. In this paper, we propose an Adaptive Pattern Extraction Multi-task (APEM) framework, which is adaptive and flexible for large-scale industrial application. APEM is able to fully utilize the feature information by learning the interactions between the input feature fields and extracted corresponding tasks-specific information. We first introduce a DeepAuto Group Transformer module to automatically and efficiently enhance the feature expressivity with a modified set attention mechanism and a Squeeze-and-Excitation operation. Second, explicit Pattern Selector is introduced to further enable selectively feature representation learning by adaptive task-indicator vectors. Empirical evaluations show that APEM outperforms the state-of-the-art MTL methods on public and real-world financial services datasets. More importantly, we explore the online performance of APEM in a real industrial-level recommendation scenario.