Two-Action Apple Tasting with Switching Costs

We study the two-action apple-tasting problem with switching costs against an oblivious adversary. In an equivalent normalized formulation, at each round the learner chooses between a revealing action and a blind action: the revealing action gives reward $0$ and reveals the hidden value $x_t\in[-1,1]$ of the blind action; the blind action gives reward $x_t$ but reveals nothing. The learner pays one unit whenever they switches actions, and regret is measured against the best fixed action in hindsight. General feedback-graph algorithms with switching costs give $\widetilde O(T^{2/3})$ regret guarantees for this problem. The two-action apple-tasting graph was the natural candidate for the missing $Ω(T^{2/3})$ obstruction in the switching-cost classification: such a lower bound would have transferred to a large family of still-unclassified feedback graphs. We prove that this obstruction is not there: the oblivious minimax expected regret for this problem satisfies \[ \frac{1}{2\sqrt3}\cdot\sqrt T \le R_T^\star \le 2\sqrt{3}\cdot \sqrt{T}. \]

Optimal Gap-Dependent Regret for Private Stochastic Decision-Theoretic Online Learning

We study stochastic decision-theoretic online learning with full information and event-level pure differential privacy. A COLT open problem of Hu and Mehta asks to determine the optimal gap-dependent regret rate for stochastic decision-theoretic online learning under pure event-level differential privacy. For $K$ actions, losses in $[0,1]$, and a unique best action separated from the second-best action by gap $Δ_{\min}$, the known lower bound is of order $ \frac{\log K}{\min\{Δ_{\min},\varepsilon\}}, $ or equivalently, up to universal constants, of order \[ \frac{\log K}{Δ_{\min}}+\frac{\log K}{\varepsilon}. \] We give a horizon-free pure-DP algorithm and prove the explicit regret bound \[ \operatorname{Reg}_T \le 1000 \cdot \left(\frac{\log K}{Δ_{\min}}+\frac{\log K}{\varepsilon}\right) \] for every horizon $T$. The numerical constant is not optimized. The algorithm partitions time into blocks of exponentially increasing size, plays a single action throughout each block, and chooses the next action by an exponential mechanism applied to a data-independent random prefix of the previous block. The random prefix converts block regret into a sum, over all prefix lengths, of softmax selection errors. A single entropy-potential argument controls all privacy-dominated large-gap actions at cost $\log K/\varepsilon$.

A Tight Regret Analysis of Non-Parametric Repeated Contextual Brokerage

We study a contextual version of the repeated brokerage problem. In each interaction, two traders with private valuations for an item seek to buy or sell based on the learner's-a broker-proposed price, which is informed by some contextual information. The broker's goal is to maximize the traders' net utility-also known as the gain from trade-by minimizing regret compared to an oracle with perfect knowledge of traders' valuation distributions. We assume that traders' valuations are zero-mean perturbations of the unknown item's current market value-which can change arbitrarily from one interaction to the next-and that similar contexts will correspond to similar market prices. We analyze two feedback settings: full-feedback, where after each interaction the traders' valuations are revealed to the broker, and limited-feedback, where only transaction attempts are revealed. For both feedback types, we propose algorithms achieving tight regret bounds. We further strengthen our performance guarantees by providing a tight 1/2-approximation result showing that the oracle that knows the traders' valuation distributions achieves at least 1/2 of the gain from trade of the omniscient oracle that knows in advance the actual realized traders' valuations.

Market Making without Regret

We consider a sequential decision-making setting where, at every round $t$, a market maker posts a bid price $B_t$ and an ask price $A_t$ to an incoming trader (the taker) with a private valuation for one unit of some asset. If the trader's valuation is lower than the bid price, or higher than the ask price, then a trade (sell or buy) occurs. If a trade happens at round $t$, then letting $M_t$ be the market price (observed only at the end of round $t$), the maker's utility is $M_t - B_t$ if the maker bought the asset, and $A_t - M_t$ if they sold it. We characterize the maker's regret with respect to the best fixed choice of bid and ask pairs under a variety of assumptions (adversarial, i.i.d., and their variants) on the sequence of market prices and valuations. Our upper bound analysis unveils an intriguing connection relating market making to first-price auctions and dynamic pricing. Our main technical contribution is a lower bound for the i.i.d. case with Lipschitz distributions and independence between prices and valuations. The difficulty in the analysis stems from the unique structure of the reward and feedback functions, allowing an algorithm to acquire information by graduating the "cost of exploration" in an arbitrary way.

Fair Online Bilateral Trade

In online bilateral trade, a platform posts prices to incoming pairs of buyers and sellers that have private valuations for a certain good. If the price is lower than the buyers' valuation and higher than the sellers' valuation, then a trade takes place. Previous work focused on the platform perspective, with the goal of setting prices maximizing the gain from trade (the sum of sellers' and buyers' utilities). Gain from trade is, however, potentially unfair to traders, as they may receive highly uneven shares of the total utility. In this work we enforce fairness by rewarding the platform with the fair gain from trade, defined as the minimum between sellers' and buyers' utilities. After showing that any no-regret learning algorithm designed to maximize the sum of the utilities may fail badly with fair gain from trade, we present our main contribution: a complete characterization of the regret regimes for fair gain from trade when, after each interaction, the platform only learns whether each trader accepted the current price. Specifically, we prove the following regret bounds: $\Theta(\ln T)$ in the deterministic setting, $\Omega(T)$ in the stochastic setting, and $\tilde{\Theta}(T^{2/3})$ in the stochastic setting when sellers' and buyers' valuations are independent of each other. We conclude by providing tight regret bounds when, after each interaction, the platform is allowed to observe the true traders' valuations.

Trading Volume Maximization with Online Learning

We explore brokerage between traders in an online learning framework. At any round $t$, two traders meet to exchange an asset, provided the exchange is mutually beneficial. The broker proposes a trading price, and each trader tries to sell their asset or buy the asset from the other party, depending on whether the price is higher or lower than their private valuations. A trade happens if one trader is willing to sell and the other is willing to buy at the proposed price. Previous work provided guidance to a broker aiming at enhancing traders' total earnings by maximizing the gain from trade, defined as the sum of the traders' net utilities after each interaction. In contrast, we investigate how the broker should behave to maximize the trading volume, i.e., the total number of trades. We model the traders' valuations as an i.i.d. process with an unknown distribution. If the traders' valuations are revealed after each interaction (full-feedback), and the traders' valuations cumulative distribution function (cdf) is continuous, we provide an algorithm achieving logarithmic regret and show its optimality up to constant factors. If only their willingness to sell or buy at the proposed price is revealed after each interaction ($2$-bit feedback), we provide an algorithm achieving poly-logarithmic regret when the traders' valuations cdf is Lipschitz and show that this rate is near-optimal. We complement our results by analyzing the implications of dropping the regularity assumptions on the unknown traders' valuations cdf. If we drop the continuous cdf assumption, the regret rate degrades to $\Theta(\sqrt{T})$ in the full-feedback case, where $T$ is the time horizon. If we drop the Lipschitz cdf assumption, learning becomes impossible in the $2$-bit feedback case.

An Online Learning Theory of Brokerage

We investigate brokerage between traders from an online learning perspective. At any round $t$, two traders arrive with their private valuations, and the broker proposes a trading price. Unlike other bilateral trade problems already studied in the online learning literature, we focus on the case where there are no designated buyer and seller roles: each trader will attempt to either buy or sell depending on the current price of the good. We assume the agents' valuations are drawn i.i.d. from a fixed but unknown distribution. If the distribution admits a density bounded by some constant $M$, then, for any time horizon $T$: $\bullet$ If the agents' valuations are revealed after each interaction, we provide an algorithm achieving regret $M \log T$ and show this rate is optimal, up to constant factors. $\bullet$ If only their willingness to sell or buy at the proposed price is revealed after each interaction, we provide an algorithm achieving regret $\sqrt{M T}$ and show this rate is optimal, up to constant factors. Finally, if we drop the bounded density assumption, we show that the optimal rate degrades to $\sqrt{T}$ in the first case, and the problem becomes unlearnable in the second.

Adaptive maximization of social welfare

We consider the problem of repeatedly choosing policies to maximize social welfare. Welfare is a weighted sum of private utility and public revenue. Earlier outcomes inform later policies. Utility is not observed, but indirectly inferred. Response functions are learned through experimentation. We derive a lower bound on regret, and a matching adversarial upper bound for a variant of the Exp3 algorithm. Cumulative regret grows at a rate of $T^{2/3}$. This implies that (i) welfare maximization is harder than the multi-armed bandit problem (with a rate of $T^{1/2}$ for finite policy sets), and (ii) our algorithm achieves the optimal rate. For the stochastic setting, if social welfare is concave, we can achieve a rate of $T^{1/2}$ (for continuous policy sets), using a dyadic search algorithm. We analyze an extension to nonlinear income taxation, and sketch an extension to commodity taxation. We compare our setting to monopoly pricing (which is easier), and price setting for bilateral trade (which is harder).

The Role of Transparency in Repeated First-Price Auctions with Unknown Valuations

We study the problem of regret minimization for a single bidder in a sequence of first-price auctions where the bidder knows the item's value only if the auction is won. Our main contribution is a complete characterization, up to logarithmic factors, of the minimax regret in terms of the auction's transparency, which regulates the amount of information on competing bids disclosed by the auctioneer at the end of each auction. Our results hold under different assumptions (stochastic, adversarial, and their smoothed variants) on the environment generating the bidder's valuations and competing bids. These minimax rates reveal how the interplay between transparency and the nature of the environment affects how fast one can learn to bid optimally in first-price auctions.

An Improved Uniform Convergence Bound with Fat-Shattering Dimension

The fat-shattering dimension characterizes the uniform convergence property of real-valued functions. The state-of-the-art upper bounds feature a multiplicative squared logarithmic factor on the sample complexity, leaving an open gap with the existing lower bound. We provide an improved uniform convergence bound that closes this gap.