Towards certification: A complete statistical validation pipeline for supervised learning in industry

Methods of Machine and Deep Learning are gradually being integrated into industrial operations, albeit at different speeds for different types of industries. The aerospace and aeronautical industries have recently developed a roadmap for concepts of design assurance and integration of neural network-related technologies in the aeronautical sector. This paper aims to contribute to this paradigm of AI-based certification in the context of supervised learning, by outlining a complete validation pipeline that integrates deep learning, optimization and statistical methods. This pipeline is composed by a directed graphical model of ten steps. Each of these steps is addressed by a merging key concepts from different contributing disciplines (from machine learning or optimization to statistics) and adapting them to an industrial scenario, as well as by developing computationally efficient algorithmic solutions. We illustrate the application of this pipeline in a realistic supervised problem arising in aerostructural design: predicting the likelikood of different stress-related failure modes during different airflight maneuvers based on a (large) set of features characterising the aircraft internal loads and geometric parameters.

Dynamical stability and chaos in artificial neural network trajectories along training

The process of training an artificial neural network involves iteratively adapting its parameters so as to minimize the error of the network's prediction, when confronted with a learning task. This iterative change can be naturally interpreted as a trajectory in network space -- a time series of networks -- and thus the training algorithm (e.g. gradient descent optimization of a suitable loss function) can be interpreted as a dynamical system in graph space. In order to illustrate this interpretation, here we study the dynamical properties of this process by analyzing through this lens the network trajectories of a shallow neural network, and its evolution through learning a simple classification task. We systematically consider different ranges of the learning rate and explore both the dynamical and orbital stability of the resulting network trajectories, finding hints of regular and chaotic behavior depending on the learning rate regime. Our findings are put in contrast to common wisdom on convergence properties of neural networks and dynamical systems theory. This work also contributes to the cross-fertilization of ideas between dynamical systems theory, network theory and machine learning

An effective theory of collective deep learning

Unraveling the emergence of collective learning in systems of coupled artificial neural networks is an endeavor with broader implications for physics, machine learning, neuroscience and society. Here we introduce a minimal model that condenses several recent decentralized algorithms by considering a competition between two terms: the local learning dynamics in the parameters of each neural network unit, and a diffusive coupling among units that tends to homogenize the parameters of the ensemble. We derive the coarse-grained behavior of our model via an effective theory for linear networks that we show is analogous to a deformed Ginzburg-Landau model with quenched disorder. This framework predicts (depth-dependent) disorder-order-disorder phase transitions in the parameters' solutions that reveal the onset of a collective learning phase, along with a depth-induced delay of the critical point and a robust shape of the microscopic learning path. We validate our theory in realistic ensembles of coupled nonlinear networks trained in the MNIST dataset under privacy constraints. Interestingly, experiments confirm that individual networks -- trained only with private data -- can fully generalize to unseen data classes when the collective learning phase emerges. Our work elucidates the physics of collective learning and contributes to the mechanistic interpretability of deep learning in decentralized settings.

Predicting e-commerce customer conversion from minimal temporal patterns on symbolized clickstream trajectories

Knowing if a user is a buyer or window shopper solely based on clickstream data is of crucial importance for e-commerce platforms seeking to implement real-time accurate NBA (next best action) policies. However, due to the low frequency of conversion events and the noisiness of browsing data, classifying user sessions is very challenging. In this paper, we address the clickstream classification problem in the eCommerce industry and present three major contributions to the burgeoning field of AI-for-retail: first, we collected, normalized and prepared a novel dataset of live shopping sessions from a major European e-commerce website; second, we use the dataset to test in a controlled environment strong baselines and SOTA models from the literature; finally, we propose a new discriminative neural model that outperforms neural architectures recently proposed at Rakuten labs.

Prediction is very hard, especially about conversion. Predicting user purchases from clickstream data in fashion e-commerce

Knowing if a user is a buyer vs window shopper solely based on clickstream data is of crucial importance for ecommerce platforms seeking to implement real-time accurate NBA (next best action) policies. However, due to the low frequency of conversion events and the noisiness of browsing data, classifying user sessions is very challenging. In this paper, we address the clickstream classification problem in the fashion industry and present three major contributions to the burgeoning field of AI in fashion: first, we collected, normalized and prepared a novel dataset of live shopping sessions from a major European e-commerce fashion website; second, we use the dataset to test in a controlled environment strong baselines and SOTA models from the literature; finally, we propose a new discriminative neural model that outperforms neural architectures recently proposed at Rakuten labs.

Effect of antipsychotics on community structure in functional brain networks

Schizophrenia, a mental disorder that is characterized by abnormal social behavior and failure to distinguish one's own thoughts and ideas from reality, has been associated with structural abnormalities in the architecture of functional brain networks. Using various methods from network analysis, we examine the effect of two classical therapeutic antipsychotics --- Aripiprazole and Sulpiride --- on the structure of functional brain networks of healthy controls and patients who have been diagnosed with schizophrenia. We compare the community structures of functional brain networks of different individuals using mesoscopic response functions, which measure how community structure changes across different scales of a network. We are able to do a reasonably good job of distinguishing patients from controls, and we are most successful at this task on people who have been treated with Aripiprazole. We demonstrate that this increased separation between patients and controls is related only to a change in the control group, as the functional brain networks of the patient group appear to be predominantly unaffected by this drug. This suggests that Aripiprazole has a significant and measurable effect on community structure in healthy individuals but not in individuals who are diagnosed with schizophrenia. In contrast, we find for individuals are given the drug Sulpiride that it is more difficult to separate the networks of patients from those of controls. Overall, we observe differences in the effects of the drugs (and a placebo) on community structure in patients and controls and also that this effect differs across groups. We thereby demonstrate that different types of antipsychotic drugs selectively affect mesoscale structures of brain networks, providing support that mesoscale structures such as communities are meaningful functional units in the brain.

Visibility graphs for image processing

The family of image visibility graphs (IVGs) have been recently introduced as simple algorithms by which scalar fields can be mapped into graphs. Here we explore the usefulness of such operator in the scenario of image processing and image classification. We demonstrate that the link architecture of the image visibility graphs encapsulates relevant information on the structure of the images and we explore their potential as image filters and compressors. We introduce several graph features, including the novel concept of Visibility Patches, and show through several examples that these features are highly informative, computationally efficient and universally applicable for general pattern recognition and image classification tasks.

Emergence of linguistic laws in human voice

Linguistic laws constitute one of the quantitative cornerstones of modern cognitive sciences and have been routinely investigated in written corpora, or in the equivalent transcription of oral corpora. This means that inferences of statistical patterns of language in acoustics are biased by the arbitrary, language-dependent segmentation of the signal, and virtually precludes the possibility of making comparative studies between human voice and other animal communication systems. Here we bridge this gap by proposing a method that allows to measure such patterns in acoustic signals of arbitrary origin, without needs to have access to the language corpus underneath. The method has been applied to six different human languages, recovering successfully some well-known laws of human communication at timescales even below the phoneme and finding yet another link between complexity and criticality in a biological system. These methods further pave the way for new comparative studies in animal communication or the analysis of signals of unknown code.

Sequential visibility-graph motifs

Visibility algorithms transform time series into graphs and encode dynamical information in their topology, paving the way for graph-theoretical time series analysis as well as building a bridge between nonlinear dynamics and network science. In this work we introduce and study the concept of sequential visibility graph motifs, smaller substructures of n consecutive nodes that appear with characteristic frequencies. We develop a theory to compute in an exact way the motif profiles associated to general classes of deterministic and stochastic dynamics. We find that this simple property is indeed a highly informative and computationally efficient feature capable to distinguish among different dynamics and robust against noise contamination. We finally confirm that it can be used in practice to perform unsupervised learning, by extracting motif profiles from experimental heart-rate series and being able, accordingly, to disentangle meditative from other relaxation states. Applications of this general theory include the automatic classification and description of physical, biological, and financial time series.

Speech earthquakes: scaling and universality in human voice

Speech is a distinctive complex feature of human capabilities. In order to understand the physics underlying speech production, in this work we empirically analyse the statistics of large human speech datasets ranging several languages. We first show that during speech the energy is unevenly released and power-law distributed, reporting a universal robust Gutenberg-Richter-like law in speech. We further show that such earthquakes in speech show temporal correlations, as the interevent statistics are again power-law distributed. Since this feature takes place in the intra-phoneme range, we conjecture that the responsible for this complex phenomenon is not cognitive, but it resides on the physiological speech production mechanism. Moreover, we show that these waiting time distributions are scale invariant under a renormalisation group transformation, suggesting that the process of speech generation is indeed operating close to a critical point. These results are put in contrast with current paradigms in speech processing, which point towards low dimensional deterministic chaos as the origin of nonlinear traits in speech fluctuations. As these latter fluctuations are indeed the aspects that humanize synthetic speech, these findings may have an impact in future speech synthesis technologies. Results are robust and independent of the communication language or the number of speakers, pointing towards an universal pattern and yet another hint of complexity in human speech.