Reliable Probabilistic Human Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Applications

Autonomous systems, like vehicles or robots, require reliable, accurate, fast, resource-efficient, scalable, and low-latency trajectory predictions to get initial knowledge about future locations and movements of surrounding objects for safe human-machine interaction. Furthermore, they need to know the uncertainty of the predictions for risk assessment to provide safe path planning. This paper presents a lightweight method to address these requirements, combining Long Short-Term Memory and Mixture Density Networks. Our method predicts probability distributions, including confidence level estimations for positional uncertainty to support subsequent risk management applications and runs on a low-power embedded platform. We discuss essential requirements for human trajectory prediction in autonomous vehicle applications and demonstrate our method's performance using multiple traffic-related datasets. Furthermore, we explain reliability and sharpness metrics and show how important they are to guarantee the correctness and robustness of a model's predictions and uncertainty assessments. These essential evaluations have so far received little attention for no good reason. Our approach focuses entirely on real-world applicability. Verifying prediction uncertainties and a model's reliability are central to autonomous real-world applications. Our framework and code are available at: https://github.com/kav-institute/mdn_trajectory_forecasting.

Height Change Feature Based Free Space Detection

In the context of autonomous forklifts, ensuring non-collision during travel, pick, and place operations is crucial. To accomplish this, the forklift must be able to detect and locate areas of free space and potential obstacles in its environment. However, this is particularly challenging in highly dynamic environments, such as factory sites and production halls, due to numerous industrial trucks and workers moving throughout the area. In this paper, we present a novel method for free space detection, which consists of the following steps. We introduce a novel technique for surface normal estimation relying on spherical projected LiDAR data. Subsequently, we employ the estimated surface normals to detect free space. The presented method is a heuristic approach that does not require labeling and can ensure real-time application due to high processing speed. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through its application to a real-world dataset obtained on a factory site both indoors and outdoors, and its evaluation on the Semantic KITTI dataset [2]. We achieved a mean Intersection over Union (mIoU) score of 50.90 % on the benchmark dataset, with a processing speed of 105 Hz. In addition, we evaluated our approach on our factory site dataset. Our method achieved a mIoU score of 63.30 % at 54 Hz

The IMPTC Dataset: An Infrastructural Multi-Person Trajectory and Context Dataset

Inner-city intersections are among the most critical traffic areas for injury and fatal accidents. Automated vehicles struggle with the complex and hectic everyday life within those areas. Sensor-equipped smart infrastructures, which can cooperate with vehicles, can benefit automated traffic by extending the perception capabilities of drivers and vehicle perception systems. Additionally, they offer the opportunity to gather reproducible and precise data of a holistic scene understanding, including context information as a basis for training algorithms for various applications in automated traffic. Therefore, we introduce the Infrastructural Multi-Person Trajectory and Context Dataset (IMPTC). We use an intelligent public inner-city intersection in Germany with visual sensor technology. A multi-view camera and LiDAR system perceives traffic situations and road users' behavior. Additional sensors monitor contextual information like weather, lighting, and traffic light signal status. The data acquisition system focuses on Vulnerable Road Users (VRUs) and multi-agent interaction. The resulting dataset consists of eight hours of measurement data. It contains over 2,500 VRU trajectories, including pedestrians, cyclists, e-scooter riders, strollers, and wheelchair users, and over 20,000 vehicle trajectories at different day times, weather conditions, and seasons. In addition, to enable the entire stack of research capabilities, the dataset includes all data, starting from the sensor-, calibration- and detection data until trajectory and context data. The dataset is continuously expanded and is available online for non-commercial research at https://github.com/kav-institute/imptc-dataset.

Smart Infrastructure: A Research Junction

Complex inner-city junctions are among the most critical traffic areas for injury and fatal accidents. The development of highly automated driving (HAD) systems struggles with the complex and hectic everyday life within those areas. Sensor-equipped smart infrastructures, which can communicate and cooperate with vehicles, are essential to enable a holistic scene understanding to resolve occlusions drivers and vehicle perception systems for themselves can not cover. We introduce an intelligent research infrastructure equipped with visual sensor technology, located at a public inner-city junction in Aschaffenburg, Germany. A multiple-view camera system monitors the traffic situation to perceive road users' behavior. Both motorized and non-motorized traffic is considered. The system is used for research in data generation, evaluating new HAD sensors systems, algorithms, and Artificial Intelligence (AI) training strategies using real-, synthetic- and augmented data. In addition, the junction features a highly accurate digital twin. Real-world data can be taken into the digital twin for simulation purposes and synthetic data generation.

Sensor Equivariance by LiDAR Projection Images

In this work, we propose an extension of conventional image data by an additional channel in which the associated projection properties are encoded. This addresses the issue of sensor-dependent object representation in projection-based sensors, such as LiDAR, which can lead to distorted physical and geometric properties due to variations in sensor resolution and field of view. To that end, we propose an architecture for processing this data in an instance segmentation framework. We focus specifically on LiDAR as a key sensor modality for machine vision tasks and highly automated driving (HAD). Through an experimental setup in a controlled synthetic environment, we identify a bias on sensor resolution and field of view and demonstrate that our proposed method can reduce said bias for the task of LiDAR instance segmentation. Furthermore, we define our method such that it can be applied to other projection-based sensors, such as cameras. To promote transparency, we make our code and dataset publicly available. This method shows the potential to improve performance and robustness in various machine vision tasks that utilize projection-based sensors.

Cyclist Trajectory Forecasts by Incorporation of Multi-View Video Information

This article presents a novel approach to incorporate visual cues from video-data from a wide-angle stereo camera system mounted at an urban intersection into the forecast of cyclist trajectories. We extract features from image and optical flow (OF) sequences using 3D convolutional neural networks (3D-ConvNet) and combine them with features extracted from the cyclist's past trajectory to forecast future cyclist positions. By the use of additional information, we are able to improve positional accuracy by about 7.5 % for our test dataset and by up to 22 % for specific motion types compared to a method solely based on past trajectories. Furthermore, we compare the use of image sequences to the use of OF sequences as additional information, showing that OF alone leads to significant improvements in positional accuracy. By training and testing our methods using a real-world dataset recorded at a heavily frequented public intersection and evaluating the methods' runtimes, we demonstrate the applicability in real traffic scenarios. Our code and parts of our dataset are made publicly available.

Pose and Semantic Map Based Probabilistic Forecast of Vulnerable Road Users' Trajectories

In this article, an approach for probabilistic trajectory forecasting of vulnerable road users (VRUs) is presented, which considers past movements and the surrounding scene. Past movements are represented by 3D poses reflecting the posture and movements of individual body parts. The surrounding scene is modeled in the form of semantic maps showing, e.g., the course of streets, sidewalks, and the occurrence of obstacles. The forecasts are generated in grids discretizing the space and in the form of arbitrary discrete probability distributions. The distributions are evaluated in terms of their reliability, sharpness, and positional accuracy. We compare our method with an approach that provides forecasts in the form of Gaussian distributions and discuss the respective advantages and disadvantages. Thereby, we investigate the impact of using poses and semantic maps. With a technique called spatial label smoothing, our approach achieves reliable forecasts. Overall, the poses have a positive impact on the forecasts. The semantic maps offer the opportunity to adapt the probability distributions to the individual situation, although at the considered forecasted time horizon of 2.52 s they play a minor role compared to the past movements of the VRU. Our method is evaluated on a dataset recorded in inner-city traffic using a research vehicle. The dataset is made publicly available.

Towards Sensor Data Abstraction of Autonomous Vehicle Perception Systems

Full-stack autonomous driving perception modules usually consist of data-driven models based on multiple sensor modalities. However, these models might be biased to the sensor setup used for data acquisition. This bias can seriously impair the perception models' transferability to new sensor setups, which continuously occur due to the market's competitive nature. We envision sensor data abstraction as an interface between sensor data and machine learning applications for highly automated vehicles (HAD). For this purpose, we review the primary sensor modalities, camera, lidar, and radar, published in autonomous-driving related datasets, examine single sensor abstraction and abstraction of sensor setups, and identify critical paths towards an abstraction of sensor data from multiple perception configurations.

Cyclist Intention Detection: A Probabilistic Approach

This article presents a holistic approach for probabilistic cyclist intention detection. A basic movement detection based on motion history images (MHI) and a residual convolutional neural network (ResNet) are used to estimate probabilities for the current cyclist motion state. These probabilities are used as weights in a probabilistic ensemble trajectory forecast. The ensemble consists of specialized models, which produce individual forecasts in the form of Gaussian distributions under the assumption of a certain motion state of the cyclist (e.g. cyclist is starting or turning left). By weighting the specialized models, we create forecasts in the from of Gaussian mixtures that define regions within which the cyclists will reside with a certain probability. To evaluate our method, we rate the reliability, sharpness, and positional accuracy of our forecasted distributions. We compare our method to a single model approach which produces forecasts in the form of Gaussian distributions and show that our method is able to produce more reliable and sharper outputs while retaining comparable positional accuracy. Both methods are evaluated using a dataset created at a public traffic intersection. Our code and the dataset are made publicly available.

Cooperative Starting Movement Detection of Cyclists Using Convolutional Neural Networks and a Boosted Stacking Ensemble

In future, vehicles and other traffic participants will be interconnected and equipped with various types of sensors, allowing for cooperation on different levels, such as situation prediction or intention detection. In this article we present a cooperative approach for starting movement detection of cyclists using a boosted stacking ensemble approach realizing feature- and decision level cooperation. We introduce a novel method based on a 3D Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to detect starting motions on image sequences by learning spatio-temporal features. The CNN is complemented by a smart device based starting movement detection originating from smart devices carried by the cyclist. Both model outputs are combined in a stacking ensemble approach using an extreme gradient boosting classifier resulting in a fast and yet robust cooperative starting movement detector. We evaluate our cooperative approach on real-world data originating from experiments with 49 test subjects consisting of 84 starting motions.