Beyond Guilt: Legal Judgment Prediction with Trichotomous Reasoning

In legal practice, judges apply the trichotomous dogmatics of criminal law, sequentially assessing the elements of the offense, unlawfulness, and culpability to determine whether an individual's conduct constitutes a crime. Although current legal large language models (LLMs) show promising accuracy in judgment prediction, they lack trichotomous reasoning capabilities due to the absence of an appropriate benchmark dataset, preventing them from predicting innocent outcomes. As a result, every input is automatically assigned a charge, limiting their practical utility in legal contexts. To bridge this gap, we introduce LJPIV, the first benchmark dataset for Legal Judgment Prediction with Innocent Verdicts. Adhering to the trichotomous dogmatics, we extend three widely-used legal datasets through LLM-based augmentation and manual verification. Our experiments with state-of-the-art legal LLMs and novel strategies that integrate trichotomous reasoning into zero-shot prompting and fine-tuning reveal: (1) current legal LLMs have significant room for improvement, with even the best models achieving an F1 score of less than 0.3 on LJPIV; and (2) our strategies notably enhance both in-domain and cross-domain judgment prediction accuracy, especially for cases resulting in an innocent verdict.

ControlBurn: Nonlinear Feature Selection with Sparse Tree Ensembles

ControlBurn is a Python package to construct feature-sparse tree ensembles that support nonlinear feature selection and interpretable machine learning. The algorithms in this package first build large tree ensembles that prioritize basis functions with few features and then select a feature-sparse subset of these basis functions using a weighted lasso optimization criterion. The package includes visualizations to analyze the features selected by the ensemble and their impact on predictions. Hence ControlBurn offers the accuracy and flexibility of tree-ensemble models and the interpretability of sparse generalized additive models. ControlBurn is scalable and flexible: for example, it can use warm-start continuation to compute the regularization path (prediction error for any number of selected features) for a dataset with tens of thousands of samples and hundreds of features in seconds. For larger datasets, the runtime scales linearly in the number of samples and features (up to a log factor), and the package support acceleration using sketching. Moreover, the ControlBurn framework accommodates feature costs, feature groupings, and $\ell_0$-based regularizers. The package is user-friendly and open-source: its documentation and source code appear on https://pypi.org/project/ControlBurn/ and https://github.com/udellgroup/controlburn/.