Abstract:The importance of proper data normalization for deep neural networks is well known. However, in continuous-time state-space model estimation, it has been observed that improper normalization of either the hidden state or hidden state derivative of the model estimate, or even of the time interval can lead to numerical and optimization challenges with deep learning based methods. This results in a reduced model quality. In this contribution, we show that these three normalization tasks are inherently coupled. Due to the existence of this coupling, we propose a solution to all three normalization challenges by introducing a normalization constant at the state derivative level. We show that the appropriate choice of the normalization constant is related to the dynamics of the to-be-identified system and we derive multiple methods of obtaining an effective normalization constant. We compare and discuss all the normalization strategies on a benchmark problem based on experimental data from a cascaded tanks system and compare our results with other methods of the identification literature.
Abstract:In a typical car-following scenario, target vehicle speed fluctuations act as an external disturbance to the host vehicle and in turn affect its energy consumption. To control a host vehicle in an energy-efficient manner using model predictive control (MPC), and moreover, enhance the performance of an ecological adaptive cruise control (EACC) strategy, forecasting the future velocities of a target vehicle is essential. For this purpose, a deep recurrent neural network-based vehicle speed prediction using long-short term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent units (GRU) is studied in this work. Besides these, the physics-based constant velocity (CV) and constant acceleration (CA) models are discussed. The sequential time series data for training (e.g. speed trajectories of the target and its preceding vehicles obtained through vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communication, road speed limits, traffic light current and future phases collected using vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I) communication) is gathered from both urban and highway networks created in the microscopic traffic simulator SUMO. The proposed speed prediction models are evaluated for long-term predictions (up to 10 s) of target vehicle future velocities. Moreover, the results revealed that the LSTM-based speed predictor outperformed other models in terms of achieving better prediction accuracy on unseen test datasets, and thereby showcasing better generalization ability. Furthermore, the performance of EACC-equipped host car on the predicted velocities is evaluated, and its energy-saving benefits for different prediction horizons are presented.