Abstract:Purpose: To determine whether deep learning-based algorithms applied to breast MR images can aid in the prediction of occult invasive disease following the di- agnosis of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) by core needle biopsy. Material and Methods: In this institutional review board-approved study, we analyzed dynamic contrast-enhanced fat-saturated T1-weighted MRI sequences of 131 patients at our institution with a core needle biopsy-confirmed diagnosis of DCIS. The patients had no preoperative therapy before breast MRI and no prior history of breast cancer. We explored two different deep learning approaches to predict whether there was a hidden (occult) invasive component in the analyzed tumors that was ultimately detected at surgical excision. In the first approach, we adopted the transfer learning strategy, in which a network pre-trained on a large dataset of natural images is fine-tuned with our DCIS images. Specifically, we used the GoogleNet model pre-trained on the ImageNet dataset. In the second approach, we used a pre-trained network to extract deep features, and a support vector machine (SVM) that utilizes these features to predict the upstaging of the DCIS. We used 10-fold cross validation and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) to estimate the performance of the predictive models. Results: The best classification performance was obtained using the deep features approach with GoogleNet model pre-trained on ImageNet as the feature extractor and a polynomial kernel SVM used as the classifier (AUC = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.58- 0.79). For the transfer learning based approach, the highest AUC obtained was 0.53 (95% CI: 0.41-0.62). Conclusion: Convolutional neural networks could potentially be used to identify occult invasive disease in patients diagnosed with DCIS at the initial core needle biopsy.