Abstract:We introduce a mission planning concept for routing unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) through a set of sampling locations in the immediate aftermath of an incident such as a fire or chemical accident. Using interpolation methods that account for the spatial interdependencies inherent in the surveyed phenomenon, these samples allow predicting the distribution of hazardous substances across the affected area. We define the generalized correlated team orienteering problem (GCorTOP) for selecting {informative} samples considering spatial correlations between observed and unobserved locations as well as priorities in the surveyed area. To quickly provide high-quality solutions in time-sensitive situations, we propose a two-phase multi-start adaptive large neighborhood search (2MLS). We show the competitiveness of the solution approach using benchmark instances for the team orienteering problem and investigate the performance of the proposed models and solution approach in an extensive study based on newly introduced benchmark instances for the mission planning problem.
Abstract:Recent years have seen a rise in interest in terms of using machine learning, particularly reinforcement learning (RL), for production scheduling problems of varying degrees of complexity. The general approach is to break down the scheduling problem into a Markov Decision Process (MDP), whereupon a simulation implementing the MDP is used to train an RL agent. Since existing studies rely on (sometimes) complex simulations for which the code is unavailable, the experiments presented are hard, or, in the case of stochastic environments, impossible to reproduce accurately. Furthermore, there is a vast array of RL designs to choose from. To make RL methods widely applicable in production scheduling and work out their strength for the industry, the standardization of model descriptions - both production setup and RL design - and validation scheme are a prerequisite. Our contribution is threefold: First, we standardize the description of production setups used in RL studies based on established nomenclature. Secondly, we classify RL design choices from existing publications. Lastly, we propose recommendations for a validation scheme focusing on reproducibility and sufficient benchmarking.
Abstract:In this paper, we consider the task of predicting travel times between two arbitrary points in an urban scenario. We view this problem from two temporal perspectives: long-term forecasting with a horizon of several days and short-term forecasting with a horizon of one hour. Both of these perspectives are relevant for planning tasks in the context of urban mobility and transportation services. We utilize tree-based ensemble methods that we train and evaluate on a dataset of taxi trip records from New York City. Through extensive data analysis, we identify relevant temporal and spatial features. We also engineer additional features based on weather and routing data. The latter is obtained via a routing solver operating on the road network. The computational results show that the addition of this routing data can be beneficial to the model performance. Moreover, employing different models for short and long-term prediction is useful as short-term models are better suited to mirror current traffic conditions. In fact, we show that accurate short-term predictions may be obtained with only little training data.