Abstract:Traditional models reliant solely on pairwise associations often prove insufficient in capturing the complex statistical structure inherent in multivariate data. Yet existing methods for identifying information shared among groups of $d>3$ variables are often intractable; asymmetric around a target variable; or unable to consider all factorisations of the joint probability distribution. Here, we present a framework that systematically derives high-order measures using lattice and operator function pairs, whereby the lattice captures the algebraic relational structure of the variables and the operator function computes measures over the lattice. We show that many existing information-theoretic high-order measures can be derived by using divergences as operator functions on sublattices of the partition lattice, thus preventing the accurate quantification of all interactions for $d>3$. Similarly, we show that using the KL divergence as the operator function also leads to unwanted cancellation of interactions for $d>3$. To characterise all interactions among $d$ variables, we introduce the Streitberg information defined on the full partition lattice using generalisations of the KL divergence as operator functions. We validate our results numerically on synthetic data, and illustrate the use of the Streitberg information through applications to stock market returns and neural electrophysiology data.
Abstract:Models that rely solely on pairwise relationships often fail to capture the complete statistical structure of the complex multivariate data found in diverse domains, such as socio-economic, ecological, or biomedical systems. Non-trivial dependencies between groups of more than two variables can play a significant role in the analysis and modelling of such systems, yet extracting such high-order interactions from data remains challenging. Here, we introduce a hierarchy of $d$-order ($d \geq 2$) interaction measures, increasingly inclusive of possible factorisations of the joint probability distribution, and define non-parametric, kernel-based tests to establish systematically the statistical significance of $d$-order interactions. We also establish mathematical links with lattice theory, which elucidate the derivation of the interaction measures and their composite permutation tests; clarify the connection of simplicial complexes with kernel matrix centring; and provide a means to enhance computational efficiency. We illustrate our results numerically with validations on synthetic data, and through an application to neuroimaging data.
Abstract:Multivariate time-series data that capture the temporal evolution of interconnected systems are ubiquitous in diverse areas. Understanding the complex relationships and potential dependencies among co-observed variables is crucial for the accurate statistical modelling and analysis of such systems. Here, we introduce kernel-based statistical tests of joint independence in multivariate time-series by extending the d-variable Hilbert-Schmidt independence criterion (dHSIC) to encompass both stationary and nonstationary random processes, thus allowing broader real-world applications. By leveraging resampling techniques tailored for both single- and multiple-realization time series, we show how the method robustly uncovers significant higher-order dependencies in synthetic examples, including frequency mixing data, as well as real-world climate and socioeconomic data. Our method adds to the mathematical toolbox for the analysis of complex high-dimensional time-series datasets.