Deep Semi-Supervised Embedded Clustering (DSEC) for Stratification of Heart Failure Patients

Determining phenotypes of diseases can have considerable benefits for in-hospital patient care and to drug development. The structure of high dimensional data sets such as electronic health records are often represented through an embedding of the data, with clustering methods used to group data of similar structure. If subgroups are known to exist within data, supervised methods may be used to influence the clusters discovered. We propose to extend deep embedded clustering to a semi-supervised deep embedded clustering algorithm to stratify subgroups through known labels in the data. In this work we apply deep semi-supervised embedded clustering to determine data-driven patient subgroups of heart failure from the electronic health records of 4,487 heart failure and control patients. We find clinically relevant clusters from an embedded space derived from heterogeneous data. The proposed algorithm can potentially find new undiagnosed subgroups of patients that have different outcomes, and, therefore, lead to improved treatments.

Prediction of the onset of cardiovascular diseases from electronic health records using multi-task gated recurrent units

In this work, we propose a multi-task recurrent neural network with attention mechanism for predicting cardiovascular events from electronic health records (EHRs) at different time horizons. The proposed approach is compared to a standard clinical risk predictor (QRISK) and machine learning alternatives using 5-year data from a NHS Foundation Trust. The proposed model outperforms standard clinical risk scores in predicting stroke (AUC=0.85) and myocardial infarction (AUC=0.89), considering the largest time horizon. Benefit of using an \gls{mt} setting becomes visible for very short time horizons, which results in an AUC increase between 2-6%. Further, we explored the importance of individual features and attention weights in predicting cardiovascular events. Our results indicate that the recurrent neural network approach benefits from the hospital longitudinal information and demonstrates how machine learning techniques can be applied to secondary care.