Meta-Learning from Learning Curves for Budget-Limited Algorithm Selection

Training a large set of machine learning algorithms to convergence in order to select the best-performing algorithm for a dataset is computationally wasteful. Moreover, in a budget-limited scenario, it is crucial to carefully select an algorithm candidate and allocate a budget for training it, ensuring that the limited budget is optimally distributed to favor the most promising candidates. Casting this problem as a Markov Decision Process, we propose a novel framework in which an agent must select in the process of learning the most promising algorithm without waiting until it is fully trained. At each time step, given an observation of partial learning curves of algorithms, the agent must decide whether to allocate resources to further train the most promising algorithm (exploitation), to wake up another algorithm previously put to sleep, or to start training a new algorithm (exploration). In addition, our framework allows the agent to meta-learn from learning curves on past datasets along with dataset meta-features and algorithm hyperparameters. By incorporating meta-learning, we aim to avoid myopic decisions based solely on premature learning curves on the dataset at hand. We introduce two benchmarks of learning curves that served in international competitions at WCCI'22 and AutoML-conf'22, of which we analyze the results. Our findings show that both meta-learning and the progression of learning curves enhance the algorithm selection process, as evidenced by methods of winning teams and our DDQN baseline, compared to heuristic baselines or a random search. Interestingly, our cost-effective baseline, which selects the best-performing algorithm w.r.t. a small budget, can perform decently when learning curves do not intersect frequently.

Large Language Models for In-Context Student Modeling: Synthesizing Student's Behavior in Visual Programming from One-Shot Observation

Student modeling is central to many educational technologies as it enables the prediction of future learning outcomes and targeted instructional strategies. However, open-ended learning environments pose challenges for accurately modeling students due to the diverse behaviors exhibited by students and the absence of a well-defined set of learning skills. To approach these challenges, we explore the application of Large Language Models (LLMs) for in-context student modeling in open-ended learning environments. We introduce a novel framework, LLM-SS, that leverages LLMs for synthesizing student's behavior. More concretely, given a particular student's solving attempt on a reference task as observation, the goal is to synthesize the student's attempt on a target task. Our framework can be combined with different LLMs; moreover, we fine-tune LLMs using domain-specific expertise to boost their understanding of domain background and student behaviors. We evaluate several concrete methods based on LLM-SS using the StudentSyn benchmark, an existing student's attempt synthesis benchmark in visual programming. Experimental results show a significant improvement compared to baseline methods included in the StudentSyn benchmark. Furthermore, our method using the fine-tuned Llama2-70B model improves noticeably compared to using the base model and becomes on par with using the state-of-the-art GPT-4 model.

Meta-learning from Learning Curves Challenge: Lessons learned from the First Round and Design of the Second Round

Meta-learning from learning curves is an important yet often neglected research area in the Machine Learning community. We introduce a series of Reinforcement Learning-based meta-learning challenges, in which an agent searches for the best suited algorithm for a given dataset, based on feedback of learning curves from the environment. The first round attracted participants both from academia and industry. This paper analyzes the results of the first round (accepted to the competition program of WCCI 2022), to draw insights into what makes a meta-learner successful at learning from learning curves. With the lessons learned from the first round and the feedback from the participants, we have designed the second round of our challenge with a new protocol and a new meta-dataset. The second round of our challenge is accepted at the AutoML-Conf 2022 and currently ongoing .