Do Neural Scaling Laws Exist on Graph Self-Supervised Learning?

Self-supervised learning~(SSL) is essential to obtain foundation models in NLP and CV domains via effectively leveraging knowledge in large-scale unlabeled data. The reason for its success is that a suitable SSL design can help the model to follow the neural scaling law, i.e., the performance consistently improves with increasing model and dataset sizes. However, it remains a mystery whether existing SSL in the graph domain can follow the scaling behavior toward building Graph Foundation Models~(GFMs) with large-scale pre-training. In this study, we examine whether existing graph SSL techniques can follow the neural scaling behavior with the potential to serve as the essential component for GFMs. Our benchmark includes comprehensive SSL technique implementations with analysis conducted on both the conventional SSL setting and many new settings adopted in other domains. Surprisingly, despite the SSL loss continuously decreasing, no existing graph SSL techniques follow the neural scaling behavior on the downstream performance. The model performance only merely fluctuates on different data scales and model scales. Instead of the scales, the key factors influencing the performance are the choices of model architecture and pretext task design. This paper examines existing SSL techniques for the feasibility of Graph SSL techniques in developing GFMs and opens a new direction for graph SSL design with the new evaluation prototype. Our code implementation is available online to ease reproducibility on https://github.com/GraphSSLScaling/GraphSSLScaling.

Measurement Models For Sailboats Price vs. Features And Regional Areas

In this study, we investigated the relationship between sailboat technical specifications and their prices, as well as regional pricing influences. Utilizing a dataset encompassing characteristics like length, beam, draft, displacement, sail area, and waterline, we applied multiple machine learning models to predict sailboat prices. The gradient descent model demonstrated superior performance, producing the lowest MSE and MAE. Our analysis revealed that monohulled boats are generally more affordable than catamarans, and that certain specifications such as length, beam, displacement, and sail area directly correlate with higher prices. Interestingly, lower draft was associated with higher listing prices. We also explored regional price determinants and found that the United States tops the list in average sailboat prices, followed by Europe, Hong Kong, and the Caribbean. Contrary to our initial hypothesis, a country's GDP showed no direct correlation with sailboat prices. Utilizing a 50% cross-validation method, our models yielded consistent results across test groups. Our research offers a machine learning-enhanced perspective on sailboat pricing, aiding prospective buyers in making informed decisions.

Prediction Model For Wordle Game Results With High Robustness

In this study, we delve into the dynamics of Wordle using data analysis and machine learning. Our analysis initially focused on the correlation between the date and the number of submitted results. Due to initial popularity bias, we modeled stable data using an ARIMAX model with coefficient values of 9, 0, 2, and weekdays/weekends as the exogenous variable. We found no significant relationship between word attributes and hard mode results. To predict word difficulty, we employed a Backpropagation Neural Network, overcoming overfitting via feature engineering. We also used K-means clustering, optimized at five clusters, to categorize word difficulty numerically. Our findings indicate that on March 1st, 2023, around 12,884 results will be submitted and the word "eerie" averages 4.8 attempts, falling into the hardest difficulty cluster. We further examined the percentage of loyal players and their propensity to undertake daily challenges. Our models underwent rigorous sensitivity analyses, including ADF, ACF, PACF tests, and cross-validation, confirming their robustness. Overall, our study provides a predictive framework for Wordle gameplay based on date or a given five-letter word. Results have been summarized and submitted to the Puzzle Editor of the New York Times.