Abstract:This paper introduces Fusion PEFT Energy LLM (FPE-LLM), a large language model (LLM) fine-tuned for energy system forecasting using a combination of Prefix and Lora Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (PEFT) methods. FPE-LLM addresses three key challenges in the energy system and LLM fields: 1. Enhancing few-shot learning for handling extreme environmental conditions. FPE-LLM can leverage both textual and time-series data to achieve accurate predictions in few-shot contexts. 2. Reducing dependence on expert input to improve efficiency. FPE-LLM can provide guidance and results on related problems, acting like an expert system. Even non-experts can use FPE-LLM to complete all tasks related to forecasting and its associated tasks. 3. Mitigating hallucination risks through standardized fine-tuning. We validated this through multi-task learning and the self-reasoning characteristics of LLMs. Our research opens the door to fully realizing the intelligent potential of FPE-LLM in the energy forecasting field. With the injection of more knowledge and data, FPE-LLM is expected to replace a significant amount of manual work and contribute to the stability and efficiency of energy forecasting.
Abstract:Mitigating cybersecurity risk in electric vehicle (EV) charging demand forecasting plays a crucial role in the safe operation of collective EV chargings, the stability of the power grid, and the cost-effective infrastructure expansion. However, existing methods either suffer from the data privacy issue and the susceptibility to cyberattacks or fail to consider the spatial correlation among different stations. To address these challenges, a federated graph learning approach involving multiple charging stations is proposed to collaboratively train a more generalized deep learning model for demand forecasting while capturing spatial correlations among various stations and enhancing robustness against potential attacks. Firstly, for better model performance, a Graph Neural Network (GNN) model is leveraged to characterize the geographic correlation among different charging stations in a federated manner. Secondly, to ensure robustness and deal with the data heterogeneity in a federated setting, a message passing that utilizes a global attention mechanism to aggregate personalized models for each client is proposed. Thirdly, by concerning cyberattacks, a special credit-based function is designed to mitigate potential threats from malicious clients or unwanted attacks. Extensive experiments on a public EV charging dataset are conducted using various deep learning techniques and federated learning methods to demonstrate the prediction accuracy and robustness of the proposed approach.
Abstract:Energy storage systems (ESS) are pivotal component in the energy market, serving as both energy suppliers and consumers. ESS operators can reap benefits from energy arbitrage by optimizing operations of storage equipment. To further enhance ESS flexibility within the energy market and improve renewable energy utilization, a heterogeneous photovoltaic-ESS (PV-ESS) is proposed, which leverages the unique characteristics of battery energy storage (BES) and hydrogen energy storage (HES). For scheduling tasks of the heterogeneous PV-ESS, cost description plays a crucial role in guiding operator's strategies to maximize benefits. We develop a comprehensive cost function that takes into account degradation, capital, and operation/maintenance costs to reflect real-world scenarios. Moreover, while numerous methods excel in optimizing ESS energy arbitrage, they often rely on black-box models with opaque decision-making processes, limiting practical applicability. To overcome this limitation and enable transparent scheduling strategies, a prototype-based policy network with inherent interpretability is introduced. This network employs human-designed prototypes to guide decision-making by comparing similarities between prototypical situations and encountered situations, which allows for naturally explained scheduling strategies. Comparative results across four distinct cases underscore the effectiveness and practicality of our proposed pre-hoc interpretable optimization method when contrasted with black-box models.