The legibility of the imaged human brain

Our knowledge of the organisation of the human brain at the population-level is yet to translate into power to predict functional differences at the individual-level, limiting clinical applications, and casting doubt on the generalisability of inferred mechanisms. It remains unknown whether the difficulty arises from the absence of individuating biological patterns within the brain, or from limited power to access them with the models and compute at our disposal. Here we comprehensively investigate the resolvability of such patterns with data and compute at unprecedented scale. Across 23810 unique participants from UK Biobank, we systematically evaluate the predictability of 25 individual biological characteristics, from all available combinations of structural and functional neuroimaging data. Over 4526 GPU*hours of computation, we train, optimize, and evaluate out-of-sample 700 individual predictive models, including multilayer perceptrons of demographic, psychological, serological, chronic morbidity, and functional connectivity characteristics, and both uni- and multi-modal 3D convolutional neural network models of macro- and micro-structural brain imaging. We find a marked discrepancy between the high predictability of sex (balanced accuracy 99.7%), age (mean absolute error 2.048 years, R2 0.859), and weight (mean absolute error 2.609Kg, R2 0.625), for which we set new state-of-the-art performance, and the surprisingly low predictability of other characteristics. Neither structural nor functional imaging predicted individual psychology better than the coincidence of common chronic morbidity (p<0.05). Serology predicted common morbidity (p<0.05) and was best predicted by it (p<0.001), followed by structural neuroimaging (p<0.05). Our findings suggest either more informative imaging or more powerful models will be needed to decipher individual level characteristics from the brain.

Translating automated brain tumour phenotyping to clinical neuroimaging

Background: The complex heterogeneity of brain tumours is increasingly recognized to demand data of magnitudes and richness only fully-inclusive, large-scale collections drawn from routine clinical care could plausibly offer. This is a task contemporary machine learning could facilitate, especially in neuroimaging, but its ability to deal with incomplete data common in real world clinical practice remains unknown. Here we apply state-of-the-art methods to large scale, multi-site MRI data to quantify the comparative fidelity of automated tumour segmentation models replicating the various levels of completeness observed in clinical reality. Methods: We compare deep learning (nnU-Net-derived) tumour segmentation models with all possible combinations of T1, contrast-enhanced T1, T2, and FLAIR imaging sequences, trained and validated with five-fold cross-validation on the 2021 BraTS-RSNA glioma population of 1251 patients, and tested on a diverse, real-world 50 patient sample. Results: Models trained on incomplete data segmented lesions well, often equivalently to those trained on complete data, exhibiting Dice coefficients of 0.907 (single sequence) to 0.945 (full datasets) for whole tumours, and 0.701 (single sequence) to 0.891 (full datasets) for component tissue types. Incomplete data segmentation models could accurately detect enhancing tumour in the absence of contrast imaging, quantifying its volume with an R2 between 0.95-0.97. Conclusions: Deep learning segmentation models characterize tumours well when missing data and can even detect enhancing tissue without the use of contrast. This suggests translation to clinical practice, where incomplete data is common, may be easier than hitherto believed, and may be of value in reducing dependence on contrast use.