Routine laboratory trajectories encode the onset of organ-level complications in cancer

Routine laboratory panels drawn during cancer treatment constitute longitudinal physiological recordings of organ function, yet their temporal structure is discarded by single-timepoint prognostic tools. A transformer trained on 2,777,595 laboratory measurements from 3,905 patients with multiple myeloma or ovarian cancer predicted the two-year onset of 162 treatment-associated complications, including therapy-related myelodysplastic syndromes, spanning eight clinical categories, achieving 1.5- to 6.1-fold enrichment above prevalence at the group level. It matched or outperformed non-sequential baselines across grouped endpoints (AUROC gains up to +0.11), demonstrating that longitudinal laboratory trajectories capture evolving complication-specific physiology inaccessible from isolated measurements. Predictions generalised across both cancers, divergence concentrating in disease-specific complications, and biomarker masking recovered signatures consistent with established pathophysiology. External validation on MIMIC-IV and MMRF CoMMpass confirmed transferability across independent healthcare systems (AUROC up to 0.85). Routine oncological laboratory data encode organ deterioration weeks to months before clinical onset, enabling complication-specific surveillance without additional testing infrastructure.

Generating Reports or Repeating Templates? Measuring and Mitigating Template Collapse in 3D CT Report Generation

Modern 3D medical vision-language models (VLMs) can generate fluent radiology-style text while exhibit critically low pathology detection and output diversity, collapsing to generic templates that under-report rare yet critical findings. We identify this failure mode as Template Collapse. This failure stems from the unique constraints of 3D medical imaging, e.g., limited data, severe label imbalance, and weak signals from volumetric encoders. Under these constraints, text-generation objectives encourage shortcut learning and fluent but weakly grounded reports. We systematically diagnose the Template Collapse through clinical fidelity, output diversity, normal-template bias, and rare-finding survival. To mitigate it, we propose CLarGen, a decoupled framework that separates what to say (clinical detection) from how to say it (language synthesis). CLarGen uses (i) a Latent Query Transformer for multi-label pathology detection, (ii) pathology-guided retrieval for clinically matched exemplars, and (iii) a medical language model to synthesize the final report from detected findings and retrieved context. Across state-of-the-art 3D CT report generation baselines, CLarGen mitigates Template Collapse and substantially improves clinical accuracy (macro-F1 0.487 vs. 0.189; CRG 0.472 vs. 0.368) while maintaining fluent reporting. Our results suggest that explicit, measurable clinical grounding is essential for template-collapse-resistant 3D CT report generation. Code will be released upon acceptance.

Whole-body CT attenuation and volume charts from routine clinical scans via evidence-grounded LLM report filtering

Interpreting quantitative CT biomarkers, such as organ volume and tissue attenuation, requires large-scale healthy reference distributions. However, creating these is challenging because clinical datasets are often heavily enriched with pathology. Here, we develop an evidence-grounded, cross-verified large language model (LLM) ensemble to filter pathological findings from radiology reports, enabling the construction of pathology-reduced cohorts from over 350,000 CT examinations. Five LLMs, first, flag structure-level abnormality candidates grounded in verbatim report evidence and, second, resolve disagreements via cross-verification. Using distribution-aware generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape, we establish comprehensive whole-body reference charts for 106 anatomical structures (volumes and attenuation) across adulthood, accounting for age, sex, contrast enhancement, and acquisition parameters. Longitudinal analyses reveal structure- and contrast-dependent changes distinct from cross-sectional trends. These resources facilitate covariate-adjusted centile scoring from routine CT, supporting standardized quantitative phenotyping, multi-site imaging studies, and scalable opportunistic screening research.

Conditional Diffusion for 3D CT Volume Reconstruction from 2D X-rays

Computed tomography (CT) provides rich 3D anatomical details but is often constrained by high radiation exposure, substantial costs, and limited availability. While standard chest X-rays are cost-effective and widely accessible, they only provide 2D projections with limited pathological information. Reconstructing 3D CT volumes from 2D X-rays offers a transformative solution to increase diagnostic accessibility, yet existing methods predominantly rely on synthetic X-ray projections, limiting clinical generalization. In this work, we propose AXON, a multi-stage diffusion-based framework that reconstructs high-fidelity 3D CT volumes directly from real X-rays. AXON employs a coarse-to-fine strategy, with a Brownian Bridge diffusion model-based initial stage for global structural synthesis, followed by a ControlNet-based refinement stage for local intensity optimization. It also supports bi-planar X-ray input to mitigate depth ambiguities inherent in 2D-to-3D reconstruction. A super-resolution network is integrated to upscale the generated volumes to achieve diagnostic-grade resolution. Evaluations on both public and external datasets demonstrate that AXON significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, achieving a 11.9% improvement in PSNR and a 11.0% increase in SSIM with robust generalizability across disparate clinical distributions. Our code is available at https://github.com/ai-med/AXON.

Translating MRI to PET through Conditional Diffusion Models with Enhanced Pathology Awareness

Positron emission tomography (PET) is a widely recognized technique for diagnosing neurodegenerative diseases, offering critical functional insights. However, its high costs and radiation exposure hinder its widespread use. In contrast, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) does not involve such limitations. While MRI also detects neurodegenerative changes, it is less sensitive for diagnosis compared to PET. To overcome such limitations, one approach is to generate synthetic PET from MRI. Recent advances in generative models have paved the way for cross-modality medical image translation; however, existing methods largely emphasize structural preservation while neglecting the critical need for pathology awareness. To address this gap, we propose PASTA, a novel image translation framework built on conditional diffusion models with enhanced pathology awareness. PASTA surpasses state-of-the-art methods by preserving both structural and pathological details through its highly interactive dual-arm architecture and multi-modal condition integration. Additionally, we introduce a novel cycle exchange consistency and volumetric generation strategy that significantly enhances PASTA's ability to produce high-quality 3D PET images. Our qualitative and quantitative results demonstrate the high quality and pathology awareness of the synthesized PET scans. For Alzheimer's diagnosis, the performance of these synthesized scans improves over MRI by 4%, almost reaching the performance of actual PET. Our code is available at https://github.com/ai-med/PASTA.

Cortex-Grounded Diffusion Models for Brain Image Generation

Synthetic neuroimaging data can mitigate critical limitations of real-world datasets, including the scarcity of rare phenotypes, domain shifts across scanners, and insufficient longitudinal coverage. However, existing generative models largely rely on weak conditioning signals, such as labels or text, which lack anatomical grounding and often produce biologically implausible outputs. To this end, we introduce Cor2Vox, a cortex-grounded generative framework for brain magnetic resonance image (MRI) synthesis that ties image generation to continuous structural priors of the cerebral cortex. It leverages high-resolution cortical surfaces to guide a 3D shape-to-image Brownian bridge diffusion process, enabling topologically faithful synthesis and precise control over underlying anatomies. To support the generation of new, realistic brain shapes, we developed a large-scale statistical shape model of cortical morphology derived from over 33,000 UK Biobank scans. We validated the fidelity of Cor2Vox based on traditional image quality metrics, advanced cortical surface reconstruction, and whole-brain segmentation quality, outperforming many baseline methods. Across three applications, namely (i) anatomically consistent synthesis, (ii) simulation of progressive gray matter atrophy, and (iii) harmonization of in-house frontotemporal dementia scans with public datasets, Cor2Vox preserved fine-grained cortical morphology at the sub-voxel level, exhibiting remarkable robustness to variations in cortical geometry and disease phenotype without retraining.

Template-Based Cortical Surface Reconstruction with Minimal Energy Deformation

Cortical surface reconstruction (CSR) from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is fundamental to neuroimage analysis, enabling morphological studies of the cerebral cortex and functional brain mapping. Recent advances in learning-based CSR have dramatically accelerated processing, allowing for reconstructions through the deformation of anatomical templates within seconds. However, ensuring the learned deformations are optimal in terms of deformation energy and consistent across training runs remains a particular challenge. In this work, we design a Minimal Energy Deformation (MED) loss, acting as a regularizer on the deformation trajectories and complementing the widely used Chamfer distance in CSR. We incorporate it into the recent V2C-Flow model and demonstrate considerable improvements in previously neglected training consistency and reproducibility without harming reconstruction accuracy and topological correctness.

Spherical Brownian Bridge Diffusion Models for Conditional Cortical Thickness Forecasting

Accurate forecasting of individualized, high-resolution cortical thickness (CTh) trajectories is essential for detecting subtle cortical changes, providing invaluable insights into neurodegenerative processes and facilitating earlier and more precise intervention strategies. However, CTh forecasting is a challenging task due to the intricate non-Euclidean geometry of the cerebral cortex and the need to integrate multi-modal data for subject-specific predictions. To address these challenges, we introduce the Spherical Brownian Bridge Diffusion Model (SBDM). Specifically, we propose a bidirectional conditional Brownian bridge diffusion process to forecast CTh trajectories at the vertex level of registered cortical surfaces. Our technical contribution includes a new denoising model, the conditional spherical U-Net (CoS-UNet), which combines spherical convolutions and dense cross-attention to integrate cortical surfaces and tabular conditions seamlessly. Compared to previous approaches, SBDM achieves significantly reduced prediction errors, as demonstrated by our experiments based on longitudinal datasets from the ADNI and OASIS. Additionally, we demonstrate SBDM's ability to generate individual factual and counterfactual CTh trajectories, offering a novel framework for exploring hypothetical scenarios of cortical development.

DISCO: Mitigating Bias in Deep Learning with Conditional Distance Correlation

During prediction tasks, models can use any signal they receive to come up with the final answer - including signals that are causally irrelevant. When predicting objects from images, for example, the lighting conditions could be correlated to different targets through selection bias, and an oblivious model might use these signals as shortcuts to discern between various objects. A predictor that uses lighting conditions instead of real object-specific details is obviously undesirable. To address this challenge, we introduce a standard anti-causal prediction model (SAM) that creates a causal framework for analyzing the information pathways influencing our predictor in anti-causal settings. We demonstrate that a classifier satisfying a specific conditional independence criterion will focus solely on the direct causal path from label to image, being counterfactually invariant to the remaining variables. Finally, we propose DISCO, a novel regularization strategy that uses conditional distance correlation to optimize for conditional independence in regression tasks. We can show that DISCO achieves competitive results in different bias mitigation experiments, deeming it a valid alternative to classical kernel-based methods.

MedBridge: Bridging Foundation Vision-Language Models to Medical Image Diagnosis

Recent vision-language foundation models deliver state-of-the-art results on natural image classification but falter on medical images due to pronounced domain shifts. At the same time, training a medical foundation model requires substantial resources, including extensive annotated data and high computational capacity. To bridge this gap with minimal overhead, we introduce MedBridge, a lightweight multimodal adaptation framework that re-purposes pretrained VLMs for accurate medical image diagnosis. MedBridge comprises three key components. First, a Focal Sampling module that extracts high-resolution local regions to capture subtle pathological features and compensate for the limited input resolution of general-purpose VLMs. Second, a Query Encoder (QEncoder) injects a small set of learnable queries that attend to the frozen feature maps of VLM, aligning them with medical semantics without retraining the entire backbone. Third, a Mixture of Experts mechanism, driven by learnable queries, harnesses the complementary strength of diverse VLMs to maximize diagnostic performance. We evaluate MedBridge on five medical imaging benchmarks across three key adaptation tasks, demonstrating its superior performance in both cross-domain and in-domain adaptation settings, even under varying levels of training data availability. Notably, MedBridge achieved over 6-15% improvement in AUC compared to state-of-the-art VLM adaptation methods in multi-label thoracic disease diagnosis, underscoring its effectiveness in leveraging foundation models for accurate and data-efficient medical diagnosis. Our code is available at https://github.com/ai-med/MedBridge.