Metal Price Spike Prediction via a Neurosymbolic Ensemble Approach

Predicting price spikes in critical metals such as Cobalt, Copper, Magnesium, and Nickel is crucial for mitigating economic risks associated with global trends like the energy transition and reshoring of manufacturing. While traditional models have focused on regression-based approaches, our work introduces a neurosymbolic ensemble framework that integrates multiple neural models with symbolic error detection and correction rules. This framework is designed to enhance predictive accuracy by correcting individual model errors and offering interpretability through rule-based explanations. We show that our method provides up to 6.42% improvement in precision, 29.41% increase in recall at 13.24% increase in F1 over the best performing neural models. Further, our method, as it is based on logical rules, has the benefit of affording an explanation as to which combination of neural models directly contribute to a given prediction.

On Stacked Denoising Autoencoder based Pre-training of ANN for Isolated Handwritten Bengali Numerals Dataset Recognition

This work attempts to find the most optimal parameter setting of a deep artificial neural network (ANN) for Bengali digit dataset by pre-training it using stacked denoising autoencoder (SDA). Although SDA based recognition is hugely popular in image, speech and language processing related tasks among the researchers, it was never tried in Bengali dataset recognition. For this work, a dataset of 70000 handwritten samples were used from (Chowdhury and Rahman, 2016) and was recognized using several settings of network architecture. Among all these settings, the most optimal setting being found to be five or more deeper hidden layers with sigmoid activation and one output layer with softmax activation. We proposed the optimal number of neurons that can be used in the hidden layer is 1500 or more. The minimum validation error found from this work is 2.34% which is the lowest error rate on handwritten Bengali dataset proposed till date.