Abstract:We study a class of interacting particle systems for implementing a marginal maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) procedure to optimize over the parameters of a latent variable model. To do so, we propose a continuous-time interacting particle system which can be seen as a Langevin diffusion over an extended state space, where the number of particles acts as the inverse temperature parameter in classical settings for optimisation. Using Langevin diffusions, we prove nonasymptotic concentration bounds for the optimisation error of the maximum marginal likelihood estimator in terms of the number of particles in the particle system, the number of iterations of the algorithm, and the step-size parameter for the time discretisation analysis.
Abstract:Incorporating unstructured data into physical models is a challenging problem that is emerging in data assimilation. Traditional approaches focus on well-defined observation operators whose functional forms are typically assumed to be known. This prevents these methods from achieving a consistent model-data synthesis in configurations where the mapping from data-space to model-space is unknown. To address these shortcomings, in this paper we develop a physics-informed dynamical variational autoencoder ($\Phi$-DVAE) for embedding diverse data streams into time-evolving physical systems described by differential equations. Our approach combines a standard (possibly nonlinear) filter for the latent state-space model and a VAE, to embed the unstructured data stream into the latent dynamical system. A variational Bayesian framework is used for the joint estimation of the embedding, latent states, and unknown system parameters. To demonstrate the method, we look at three examples: video datasets generated by the advection and Korteweg-de Vries partial differential equations, and a velocity field generated by the Lorenz-63 system. Comparisons with relevant baselines show that the $\Phi$-DVAE provides a data efficient dynamics encoding methodology that is competitive with standard approaches, with the added benefit of incorporating a physically interpretable latent space.