Large Language Models are Powerful EHR Encoders

Electronic Health Records (EHRs) offer rich potential for clinical prediction, yet their inherent complexity and heterogeneity pose significant challenges for traditional machine learning approaches. Domain-specific EHR foundation models trained on large collections of unlabeled EHR data have demonstrated promising improvements in predictive accuracy and generalization; however, their training is constrained by limited access to diverse, high-quality datasets and inconsistencies in coding standards and healthcare practices. In this study, we explore the possibility of using general-purpose Large Language Models (LLMs) based embedding methods as EHR encoders. By serializing patient records into structured Markdown text, transforming codes into human-readable descriptors, we leverage the extensive generalization capabilities of LLMs pretrained on vast public corpora, thereby bypassing the need for proprietary medical datasets. We systematically evaluate two state-of-the-art LLM-embedding models, GTE-Qwen2-7B-Instruct and LLM2Vec-Llama3.1-8B-Instruct, across 15 diverse clinical prediction tasks from the EHRSHOT benchmark, comparing their performance to an EHRspecific foundation model, CLIMBR-T-Base, and traditional machine learning baselines. Our results demonstrate that LLM-based embeddings frequently match or exceed the performance of specialized models, even in few-shot settings, and that their effectiveness scales with the size of the underlying LLM and the available context window. Overall, our findings demonstrate that repurposing LLMs for EHR encoding offers a scalable and effective approach for clinical prediction, capable of overcoming the limitations of traditional EHR modeling and facilitating more interoperable and generalizable healthcare applications.

Diffsurv: Differentiable sorting for censored time-to-event data

Survival analysis is a crucial semi-supervised task in machine learning with numerous real-world applications, particularly in healthcare. Currently, the most common approach to survival analysis is based on Cox's partial likelihood, which can be interpreted as a ranking model optimized on a lower bound of the concordance index. This relation between ranking models and Cox's partial likelihood considers only pairwise comparisons. Recent work has developed differentiable sorting methods which relax this pairwise independence assumption, enabling the ranking of sets of samples. However, current differentiable sorting methods cannot account for censoring, a key factor in many real-world datasets. To address this limitation, we propose a novel method called Diffsurv. We extend differentiable sorting methods to handle censored tasks by predicting matrices of possible permutations that take into account the label uncertainty introduced by censored samples. We contrast this approach with methods derived from partial likelihood and ranking losses. Our experiments show that Diffsurv outperforms established baselines in various simulated and real-world risk prediction scenarios. Additionally, we demonstrate the benefits of the algorithmic supervision enabled by Diffsurv by presenting a novel method for top-k risk prediction that outperforms current methods.