Novel AI-Based Quantification of Breast Arterial Calcification to Predict Cardiovascular Risk

Women are underdiagnosed and undertreated for cardiovascular disease. Automatic quantification of breast arterial calcification on screening mammography can identify women at risk for cardiovascular disease and enable earlier treatment and management of disease. In this retrospective study of 116,135 women from two healthcare systems, a transformer-based neural network quantified BAC severity (no BAC, mild, moderate, and severe) on screening mammograms. Outcomes included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause mortality. BAC severity was independently associated with MACE after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors, with increasing hazard ratios from mild (HR 1.18-1.22), moderate (HR 1.38-1.47), to severe BAC (HR 2.03-2.22) across datasets (all p<0.001). This association remained significant across all age groups, with even mild BAC indicating increased risk in women under 50. BAC remained an independent predictor when analyzed alongside ASCVD risk scores, showing significant associations with myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, and mortality (all p<0.005). Automated BAC quantification enables opportunistic cardiovascular risk assessment during routine mammography without additional radiation or cost. This approach provides value beyond traditional risk factors, particularly in younger women, offering potential for early CVD risk stratification in the millions of women undergoing annual mammography.

Subgroup Performance of a Commercial Digital Breast Tomosynthesis Model for Breast Cancer Detection

While research has established the potential of AI models for mammography to improve breast cancer screening outcomes, there have not been any detailed subgroup evaluations performed to assess the strengths and weaknesses of commercial models for digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) imaging. This study presents a granular evaluation of the Lunit INSIGHT DBT model on a large retrospective cohort of 163,449 screening mammography exams from the Emory Breast Imaging Dataset (EMBED). Model performance was evaluated in a binary context with various negative exam types (162,081 exams) compared against screen detected cancers (1,368 exams) as the positive class. The analysis was stratified across demographic, imaging, and pathologic subgroups to identify potential disparities. The model achieved an overall AUC of 0.91 (95% CI: 0.90-0.92) with a precision of 0.08 (95% CI: 0.08-0.08), and a recall of 0.73 (95% CI: 0.71-0.76). Performance was found to be robust across demographics, but cases with non-invasive cancers (AUC: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.83-0.87), calcifications (AUC: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.78-0.82), and dense breast tissue (AUC: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.88-0.91) were associated with significantly lower performance compared to other groups. These results highlight the need for detailed evaluation of model characteristics and vigilance in considering adoption of new tools for clinical deployment.