Early Concept Drift Detection via Prediction Uncertainty

Concept drift, characterized by unpredictable changes in data distribution over time, poses significant challenges to machine learning models in streaming data scenarios. Although error rate-based concept drift detectors are widely used, they often fail to identify drift in the early stages when the data distribution changes but error rates remain constant. This paper introduces the Prediction Uncertainty Index (PU-index), derived from the prediction uncertainty of the classifier, as a superior alternative to the error rate for drift detection. Our theoretical analysis demonstrates that: (1) The PU-index can detect drift even when error rates remain stable. (2) Any change in the error rate will lead to a corresponding change in the PU-index. These properties make the PU-index a more sensitive and robust indicator for drift detection compared to existing methods. We also propose a PU-index-based Drift Detector (PUDD) that employs a novel Adaptive PU-index Bucketing algorithm for detecting drift. Empirical evaluations on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate PUDD's efficacy in detecting drift in structured and image data.

Regularly Truncated M-estimators for Learning with Noisy Labels

The sample selection approach is very popular in learning with noisy labels. As deep networks learn pattern first, prior methods built on sample selection share a similar training procedure: the small-loss examples can be regarded as clean examples and used for helping generalization, while the large-loss examples are treated as mislabeled ones and excluded from network parameter updates. However, such a procedure is arguably debatable from two folds: (a) it does not consider the bad influence of noisy labels in selected small-loss examples; (b) it does not make good use of the discarded large-loss examples, which may be clean or have meaningful information for generalization. In this paper, we propose regularly truncated M-estimators (RTME) to address the above two issues simultaneously. Specifically, RTME can alternately switch modes between truncated M-estimators and original M-estimators. The former can adaptively select small-losses examples without knowing the noise rate and reduce the side-effects of noisy labels in them. The latter makes the possibly clean examples but with large losses involved to help generalization. Theoretically, we demonstrate that our strategies are label-noise-tolerant. Empirically, comprehensive experimental results show that our method can outperform multiple baselines and is robust to broad noise types and levels.