Challenges of Using Real-World Sensory Inputs for Motion Forecasting in Autonomous Driving

Motion forecasting plays a critical role in enabling robots to anticipate future trajectories of surrounding agents and plan accordingly. However, existing forecasting methods often rely on curated datasets that are not faithful to what real-world perception pipelines can provide. In reality, upstream modules that are responsible for detecting and tracking agents, and those that gather road information to build the map, can introduce various errors, including misdetections, tracking errors, and difficulties in being accurate for distant agents and road elements. This paper aims to uncover the challenges of bringing motion forecasting models to this more realistic setting where inputs are provided by perception modules. In particular, we quantify the impacts of the domain gap through extensive evaluation. Furthermore, we design synthetic perturbations to better characterize their consequences, thus providing insights into areas that require improvement in upstream perception modules and guidance toward the development of more robust forecasting methods.