Sustaining model performance for covid-19 detection from dynamic audio data: Development and evaluation of a comprehensive drift-adaptive framework

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for robust diagnostic tools capable of detecting the disease from diverse and evolving data sources. Machine learning models, especially convolutional neural networks (CNNs), have shown promise. However, the dynamic nature of real-world data can lead to model drift, where performance degrades over time as the underlying data distribution changes. Addressing this challenge is crucial to maintaining accuracy and reliability in diagnostic applications. Objective: This study aims to develop a framework that monitors model drift and employs adaptation mechanisms to mitigate performance fluctuations in COVID-19 detection models trained on dynamic audio data. Methods: Two crowd-sourced COVID-19 audio datasets, COVID-19 Sounds and COSWARA, were used. Each was divided into development and post-development periods. A baseline CNN model was trained and evaluated using cough recordings from the development period. Maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) was used to detect changes in data distributions and model performance between periods. Upon detecting drift, retraining was triggered to update the baseline model. Two adaptation approaches were compared: unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) and active learning (AL). Results: UDA improved balanced accuracy by up to 22% and 24% for the COVID-19 Sounds and COSWARA datasets, respectively. AL yielded even greater improvements, with increases of up to 30% and 60%, respectively. Conclusions: The proposed framework addresses model drift in COVID-19 detection, enabling continuous adaptation to evolving data. This approach ensures sustained model performance, contributing to robust diagnostic tools for COVID-19 and potentially other infectious diseases.

The smarty4covid dataset and knowledge base: a framework enabling interpretable analysis of audio signals

Harnessing the power of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and m-health towards detecting new bio-markers indicative of the onset and progress of respiratory abnormalities/conditions has greatly attracted the scientific and research interest especially during COVID-19 pandemic. The smarty4covid dataset contains audio signals of cough (4,676), regular breathing (4,665), deep breathing (4,695) and voice (4,291) as recorded by means of mobile devices following a crowd-sourcing approach. Other self reported information is also included (e.g. COVID-19 virus tests), thus providing a comprehensive dataset for the development of COVID-19 risk detection models. The smarty4covid dataset is released in the form of a web-ontology language (OWL) knowledge base enabling data consolidation from other relevant datasets, complex queries and reasoning. It has been utilized towards the development of models able to: (i) extract clinically informative respiratory indicators from regular breathing records, and (ii) identify cough, breath and voice segments in crowd-sourced audio recordings. A new framework utilizing the smarty4covid OWL knowledge base towards generating counterfactual explanations in opaque AI-based COVID-19 risk detection models is proposed and validated.

Interpretability methods of machine learning algorithms with applications in breast cancer diagnosis

Early detection of breast cancer is a powerful tool towards decreasing its socioeconomic burden. Although, artificial intelligence (AI) methods have shown remarkable results towards this goal, their "black box" nature hinders their wide adoption in clinical practice. To address the need for AI guided breast cancer diagnosis, interpretability methods can be utilized. In this study, we used AI methods, i.e., Random Forests (RF), Neural Networks (NN) and Ensembles of Neural Networks (ENN), towards this goal and explained and optimized their performance through interpretability techniques, such as the Global Surrogate (GS) method, the Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) plots and the Shapley values (SV). The Wisconsin Diagnostic Breast Cancer (WDBC) dataset of the open UCI repository was used for the training and evaluation of the AI algorithms. The best performance for breast cancer diagnosis was achieved by the proposed ENN (96.6% accuracy and 0.96 area under the ROC curve), and its predictions were explained by ICE plots, proving that its decisions were compliant with current medical knowledge and can be further utilized to gain new insights in the pathophysiological mechanisms of breast cancer. Feature selection based on features' importance according to the GS model improved the performance of the RF (leading the accuracy from 96.49% to 97.18% and the area under the ROC curve from 0.96 to 0.97) and feature selection based on features' importance according to SV improved the performance of the NN (leading the accuracy from 94.6% to 95.53% and the area under the ROC curve from 0.94 to 0.95). Compared to other approaches on the same dataset, our proposed models demonstrated state of the art performance while being interpretable.

An explainable XGBoost-based approach towards assessing the risk of cardiovascular disease in patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) is an important cause of disability and death among individuals with Diabetes Mellitus (DM). International clinical guidelines for the management of Type 2 DM (T2DM) are founded on primary and secondary prevention and favor the evaluation of CVD related risk factors towards appropriate treatment initiation. CVD risk prediction models can provide valuable tools for optimizing the frequency of medical visits and performing timely preventive and therapeutic interventions against CVD events. The integration of explainability modalities in these models can enhance human understanding on the reasoning process, maximize transparency and embellish trust towards the models' adoption in clinical practice. The aim of the present study is to develop and evaluate an explainable personalized risk prediction model for the fatal or non-fatal CVD incidence in T2DM individuals. An explainable approach based on the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and the Tree SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) method is deployed for the calculation of the 5-year CVD risk and the generation of individual explanations on the model's decisions. Data from the 5-year follow up of 560 patients with T2DM are used for development and evaluation purposes. The obtained results (AUC = 71.13%) indicate the potential of the proposed approach to handle the unbalanced nature of the used dataset, while providing clinically meaningful insights about the ensemble model's decision process.