Online Transfer Learning for RSV Case Detection

Transfer learning has become a pivotal technique in machine learning, renowned for its effectiveness in various real-world applications. However, a significant challenge arises when applying this approach to sequential epidemiological data, often characterized by a scarcity of labeled information. To address this challenge, we introduce Predictive Volume-Adaptive Weighting (PVAW), a novel online multi-source transfer learning method. PVAW innovatively implements a dynamic weighting mechanism within an ensemble model, allowing for the automatic adjustment of weights based on the relevance and contribution of each source and target model. We demonstrate the effectiveness of PVAW through its application in analyzing Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) data, collected over multiple seasons at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center. Our method showcases significant improvements in model performance over existing baselines, highlighting the potential of online transfer learning in handling complex, sequential data. This study not only underscores the adaptability and sophistication of transfer learning in healthcare but also sets a new direction for future research in creating advanced predictive models.