Abstract:In this paper, we present Deep Functional Factor Model (DF2M), a Bayesian nonparametric model for analyzing high-dimensional functional time series. The DF2M makes use of the Indian Buffet Process and the multi-task Gaussian Process with a deep kernel function to capture non-Markovian and nonlinear temporal dynamics. Unlike many black-box deep learning models, the DF2M provides an explainable way to use neural networks by constructing a factor model and incorporating deep neural networks within the kernel function. Additionally, we develop a computationally efficient variational inference algorithm for inferring the DF2M. Empirical results from four real-world datasets demonstrate that the DF2M offers better explainability and superior predictive accuracy compared to conventional deep learning models for high-dimensional functional time series.
Abstract:Training deep graph neural networks (GNNs) poses a challenging task, as the performance of GNNs may suffer from the number of hidden message-passing layers. The literature has focused on the proposals of over-smoothing and under-reaching to explain the performance deterioration of deep GNNs. In this paper, we propose a new explanation for such deteriorated performance phenomenon, mis-simplification, that is, mistakenly simplifying graphs by preventing self-loops and forcing edges to be unweighted. We show that such simplifying can reduce the potential of message-passing layers to capture the structural information of graphs. In view of this, we propose a new framework, edge enhanced graph neural network(EEGNN). EEGNN uses the structural information extracted from the proposed Dirichlet mixture Poisson graph model, a Bayesian nonparametric model for graphs, to improve the performance of various deep message-passing GNNs. Experiments over different datasets show that our method achieves considerable performance increase compared to baselines.