Deep Learning for Systemic Risk Measures

The aim of this paper is to study a new methodological framework for systemic risk measures by applying deep learning method as a tool to compute the optimal strategy of capital allocations. Under this new framework, systemic risk measures can be interpreted as the minimal amount of cash that secures the aggregated system by allocating capital to the single institutions before aggregating the individual risks. This problem has no explicit solution except in very limited situations. Deep learning is increasingly receiving attention in financial modelings and risk management and we propose our deep learning based algorithms to solve both the primal and dual problems of the risk measures, and thus to learn the fair risk allocations. In particular, our method for the dual problem involves the training philosophy inspired by the well-known Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) approach and a newly designed direct estimation of Radon-Nikodym derivative. We close the paper with substantial numerical studies of the subject and provide interpretations of the risk allocations associated to the systemic risk measures. In the particular case of exponential preferences, numerical experiments demonstrate excellent performance of the proposed algorithm, when compared with the optimal explicit solution as a benchmark.

Meta-Graph Based HIN Spectral Embedding: Methods, Analyses, and Insights

In this work, we propose to study the utility of different meta-graphs, as well as how to simultaneously leverage multiple meta-graphs for HIN embedding in an unsupervised manner. Motivated by prolific research on homogeneous networks, especially spectral graph theory, we firstly conduct a systematic empirical study on the spectrum and embedding quality of different meta-graphs on multiple HINs, which leads to an efficient method of meta-graph assessment. It also helps us to gain valuable insight into the higher-order organization of HINs and indicates a practical way of selecting useful embedding dimensions. Further, we explore the challenges of combining multiple meta-graphs to capture the multi-dimensional semantics in HIN through reasoning from mathematical geometry and arrive at an embedding compression method of autoencoder with $\ell_{2,1}$-loss, which finds the most informative meta-graphs and embeddings in an end-to-end unsupervised manner. Finally, empirical analysis suggests a unified workflow to close the gap between our meta-graph assessment and combination methods. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first research effort to provide rich theoretical and empirical analyses on the utility of meta-graphs and their combinations, especially regarding HIN embedding. Extensive experimental comparisons with various state-of-the-art neural network based embedding methods on multiple real-world HINs demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of our framework in finding useful meta-graphs and generating high-quality HIN embeddings.